Europaudvalget 2017
KOM (2017) 0090
Offentligt
1728502_0001.png
EUROPEAN
COMMISSION
Brussels, 22.2.2017
SWD(2017) 85 final
COMMISSION STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT
Country Report Austria 2017
Accompanying the document
COMMUNICATION FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE EUROPEAN
PARLIAMENT, THE COUNCIL, THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK AND THE
EUROGROUP
2017 European Semester: Assessment of progress on structural reforms, prevention and
correction of macroeconomic imbalances, and results of in-depth reviews
under Regulation (EU) No 1176/2011
{COM(2017) 90 final}
{SWD(2017) 67 final to SWD(2017) 93 final}
EN
EN
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
CONTENTS
Executive summary
1.
2.
3.
Economic situation and outlook
Progress with country-specific recommendations
Reform priorities
3.1.
3.2.
3.3.
3.4.
3.5.
Public finances and taxation
Financial sector
Labour market, education and social policies
Investment
Sectoral policies
1
4
11
14
14
20
23
29
34
A.
B.
C.
Overview table
MIP Scoreboard
Standard tables
37
43
44
References
49
LIST OF TABLES
1.1.
2.1.
B.1.
C.1.
C.2.
C.3.
C.4.
C.5.
Key economic, financial and social indicators – Austria
Summary table on 2016 CSR assessment
The MIP Scoreboard for Austria
Financial market indicators
Labour market and social indicators
Labour market and social indictors (continued)
Product market performance and policy indicators
Green growth
10
12
43
44
45
46
47
48
LIST OF GRAPHS
1.1.
1.2.
1.3.
1.4.
1.5.
Real GDP growth and contributions, output gap
Corporate financing positions
Headline and core HICP (harmonised index of consumer prices)
Labour force and unemployment rate (15-64 years)
Labour productivity
4
4
5
5
6
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1.6.
1.7.
1.8.
1.9.
1.10.
1.11.
3.1.1.
3.1.2.
3.1.3.
3.1.4.
3.2.1.
3.2.2.
3.3.1.
3.3.2.
3.3.3.
3.3.4.
3.3.5.
3.3.6.
3.4.1.
3.4.2.
3.4.3.
3.5.1.
3.5.2.
Trade balance and export market share
House prices and rental costs
House price to income and rent ratio
General government debt and deficit
Tax wedge (% of labour costs, 2015)
Hospital discharges and hospital beds 2014
The effect of the fiscal drag in Austria
Revenues from recurrent property taxes (2014)
Share of homeowners by deciles of equivalised disposable income
Public expenditure for healthcare (2014)
Intra-group liquidity to CESEE subsidiaries
Net profits of Austrian subsidiaries in CESEE
Labour market — key indicators
Unemployment rate by country of birth
Unemployment rate by educational attainment
Regional dispersion of unemployment
Employment rate by qualifications and country of birth (2015)
PISA performance 2012 -2015 in science - share of top and low performers
Regulatory restrictiveness indicator 2016 Austria and the EU
High-growth enterprises as % of all active enterprises with at least 10 employees
Venture capital as % of GDP
Evolution of business and public R&D intensity
Europe 2020 emission reduction targets
7
7
7
8
8
9
15
15
16
18
21
21
23
23
24
24
25
26
29
31
32
34
35
LIST OF BOXES
2.1.
3.3.1.
3.4.1.
3.5.1.
Contribution of the EU budget to structural change in Austria
Integration of refugees
Investment challenges and reforms in Austria
Selected highlights
13
28
33
36
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This report assesses Austria’s economy in the light
of the European Commission’s Annual Growth
Survey published on 16 November 2016. In the
survey the Commission calls on EU Member
States to redouble their efforts on the three
elements of the virtuous triangle of economic
policy — boosting investment, pursuing structural
reforms and ensuring responsible fiscal policies. In
so doing, Member States should focus on
enhancing social fairness in order to deliver more
inclusive growth.
Economic growth in Austria is gaining
momentum with the support of stronger private
consumption and investment.
In 2016 growth
accelerated to 1.5 % after 4 years of rather modest
expansion, and is expected at 1.6 % in 2017 and
2018. The 2016 tax reform stimulated private
consumption as households used their higher
disposable incomes to spend more. Improved
domestic demand conditions have also spurred
higher investment by corporations, particularly in
machinery and equipment, and non-residential
construction. The need for replacements after years
of subdued investment, together with favourable
financing conditions, has further contributed to the
upturn in 2016. Following this more dynamic
phase, investment dynamics are expected to slow
over the coming 2 years.
Austriaʼs unemployment rate has increased but
remains low compared with the rest of the EU.
Austria remains an attractive destination for
foreign workers and is seeing a continuous inflow
from EU and non-EU countries alike. This,
together with the longer working lives of elder
workers (due to restrictions on early retirement)
and increasing female labour market participation,
is helping to increase the labour supply and
potential growth. Employment has also been
increasing, but somewhat more slowly than the
labour supply. This has led to an increase in the
unemployment rate, which reached 6.1 % in the
second and third quarter of 2016, slightly above its
previous peak in 2004. The increase in
employment since the crisis has mainly been
driven by part-time jobs rather than full-time work.
Work is thus distributed among more employees.
This is limiting unemployment to some extent but
also resulting in stagnating labour productivity per
employee (while productivity per hour worked has
been increasing).
Inflation above the euro area average is pushing
up
wages
and
undermining
price
competitiveness.
Since the crisis, inflation in
Austria has been driven by robust demand for
tourism and business services. At the same time,
however, rising wages in combination with slower
productivity growth are reducing the price
competitiveness of Austrian exporters.
Public finances are expected to recover as bank
support measures fade out.
Following the
financial crisis Austria's government debt
increased significantly, peaking at 85.5 % of GDP
in 2015, due to the impact of support measures for
the banking sector. Following the agreement
reached in the HETA case (the ‘bad bank’ of the
former Hypo Alpe Adria bank), the restructuring
of the banking sector is expected to proceed
smoothly and without significant risks.
Government debt is projected to gradually decline
to below 80 % of GDP by 2018.
Overall, Austria has made some progress in
addressing
the
2016
country-specific
recommendations.
In view of ensuring fiscal
sustainability, some progress was made with
respect to the healthcare system and limited
progress with respect to the pension system.
However, no progress was made in linking the
statutory retirement age to life expectancy. Some
progress was made towards reforming the fiscal
relations between the various layers of
government. On balance, in these fields Austria
made some progress.
Austria made some progress in improving the
labour market participation of women as well as
the educational achievements of disadvantaged
young people. On balance, Austria achieved in
these areas some progress.
There has been some progress on improving the
sustainability of the healthcare and pension
systems and streamlining fiscal relations across the
various levels of government. Austria has also
made some progress in improving the labour
market participation of women — as childcare
infrastructure and services have expanded — and
in taking some measures aimed at improving the
educational achievements of disadvantaged young
people. On reducing investment barriers in the
services sector it has made only limited progress:
only a narrow draft revision of the trade licence act
1
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
Executive summary
(Gewerbeordnung) was put forward, and some
measures of administrative simplification.
Regarding progress in reaching the national targets
under the Europe 2020 strategy, Austria has
already reached its targets on tertiary education
attainment and limiting early school leaving. It is
on track to meet the renewable energy and the
energy efficiency targets. However, more effort is
needed to raise the employment rate, increase
research and development expenditure, cut
greenhouse gas emissions and reduce poverty and
social exclusion.
The main findings of the analysis in this report,
and the related policy challenges, are as follows:
The new financial agreement between the
different levels of government is a step
forward, but the fiscal framework remains
complex with weak incentives for cost
efficiency.
The 2017 financial equalisation law
slightly simplifies the system of transfers
between the various layers of government. It
also creates the legal basis for benchmarks and
spending reviews and ratifies the commitment
to reform the responsibilities of the
sub-national governments. Their spending
responsibilities are nevertheless still far greater
than their revenue-raising powers, while the
overall organisational set-up remains overly
fragmented (see also Section 3.1).
Despite the 2016 tax reform, the tax wedge –
i.e. the burden on labour in form of taxes
and social security contributions – is
relatively high, while more growth-friendly
sources of revenue are underutilised.
Like in
the past the recent tax reform has mainly
countered the effect of inflation, while the tax
wedge on labour has remained significantly
above the EU average. By contrast, revenues
from recurrent property taxes are remarkably
low, mainly because the tax base is outdated.
Pension and healthcare spending poses a
medium risk to fiscal sustainability in the
medium and long term, due to a rapidly
ageing population.
This is the case for
pensions partly because the effective retirement
age remains relatively low despite the recent
pension reforms. Furthermore, the statutory
retirement age for women is particularly low
and will not be aligned with that of men before
2024. This raises concerns about the
sustainability and adequacy of pensions.
Linking the statutory retirement age to life
expectancy would help curb public spending on
pensions. For healthcare, the more stringent
caps on expenditure growth set by the 2017
financial equalisation law are expected to help,
but they are not sufficient to ensure
sustainability (see also Section 3.1).
The efficiency of the healthcare sector is
suboptimal, with a very large hospital sector
and underutilised outpatient care.
The
fragmented organisational and financial
structure of the healthcare sector does not
encourage cost efficiency. It is characterised by
a disproportionately large hospital sector with
unexploited savings potential, for instance
through better use of ambulatory care and
improved public procurement. The 2017
financial equalisation law includes measures to
strengthen outpatient care outside hospitals,
which could improve cost efficiency in the
medium term. Nevertheless, the success of this
initiative also depends on reforming the
financial arrangements between healthcare
providers and social security funds (see also
Section 3.1).
Banking sector developments point to a
steady but slow improvement, but continue
to
require
close
monitoring.
The
capitalisation of Austrian banks remains below
that of its EU peers’ and their ability to
generate profits in the domestic market has
been under pressure. In their Central Eastern
and South-Eastern European operations, asset
quality and profitability have improved further
in several markets but still face some risks. At
the same time, the increase in real estate prices
and housing loans underscore the importance
of macro-prudential measures (see also Section
3.2).
The labour market is performing better in
Austria than in most EU countries, but
challenges remain.
Despite the comparatively
high female labour market participation,
several indicators still point to unexploited
labour potential and significant gender
2
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
Executive summary
inequalities. These indicators include the rates
of part-time work and the gender gap in pay
and pensions. While the expanded and targeted
policies to get people into work are delivering
good results, finding employment remains a
challenge for older workers, low skilled and
people with a migrant background (especially
women born outside the EU). The recent
inflow of migrants into Austria and the
increasing number of recognised refugees
makes it all the more important to integrate
them into the labour market and in education
successfully (see also Section 3.3).
Education results in Austria are still in the
middle of the range compared to other
countries.
Basic skills in reading, writing and
mathematics continue to deteriorate, hampering
Austria’s overall skills base and its ambition to
become one of Europe’s innovation leaders.
Austria faces challenges in meeting the
increasing demand for computer specialists and
digitally
skilled
employees.
Parents’
socioeconomic status and their eventual
migrant background continue to have a major
influence on their children’s education results.
In 2015, first generation immigrant students are
3 times more likely than native born students to
be low achievers in science and 3 times more
likely to leave school early before completing
upper secondary education (see also Section
3.3).
Social welfare standards are still high
overall, but some groups are at greater risk
of poverty and inequality is on the rise.
The
proportion of the population at risk of poverty
or social exclusion is one of the lowest among
EU Member States. However, inequality on the
labour market — reflected in the large gender
gap in pay and pensions — means that women
aged 65 and over are at much higher risk of
poverty than men of the same age, adding to
overall income inequality. Furthermore, the ‘at
risk of poverty’ rate is higher for specific
groups, such as children of foreign-born
parents and the long-term unemployed (see
also Section 3.3).
Rigidities in service markets and regulated
professions are hampering competition and
discouraging investment.
High access barriers
and restrictive rules on the exercise of key
trades and professions — such as specific
shareholding requirements, extensive reserved
activities and interdisciplinary restrictions —
are limiting business dynamism and
investment.
The
restrictive
business
environment for services is not conducive to
investment and job creation in the sector. It
also affects other parts of the economy for
which services are an important input (see also
Section 3.4).
Regulatory and administrative barriers are
holding back company growth and the
creation of start-ups.
Low interest rates,
improved consumer demand and the need to
renew equipment have led to an increase in
investment. However, structural barriers are
still significant and are constraining investment
in creating and expanding businesses.
Insufficient investment in business creation and
expansion hampers job creation and adaptation
to new opportunities of digital technology.
Small and medium-sized enterprises and
start-ups in Austria lack diversified financing
options, notably as regards equity financing.
The current fiscal rules do not contribute
sufficiently to the investment climate (see also
Section 3.4).
3
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0007.png
1.
ECONOMIC SITUATION AND OUTLOOK
favourable and demand is strong, housing
investment remains subdued, pushing up house
prices. Corporations have increased their net
lending position since the crisis and the bank loans
to corporations as a percentage of GDP
continuously declined (see Graph 1.2). However,
especially in recent years this happened through
passive deleveraging, i.e. the growth in loans to
corporations was outpaced by GDP growth and
inflation. Dividend payments, although they have
declined, remain high. It is thus not a lack of
financing resources that is hampering investment
activity but rather a lack of opportunities in an
environment of economic and political uncertainty
and subdued domestic demand dynamics (see also
Section 3.4).
Graph 1.2:
16
14
5
GDP growth
Austria’s economy is leaving behind the 4 years
of slow growth seen since 2012.
In the aftermath
of the financial crisis Austria entered a phase of
subdued growth, with GDP growth fluctuating
between 0 % and 1 % and only reaching the upper
limit in 2015. For 2016 and the coming years, the
Commission 2017 winter forecast expects growth
to stabilise at around 1.5 % (see Graph 1.1). The
main reasons for this pick-up can be found in
increased
private
consumption,
benefiting
noticeably from the income tax reform that took
effect at the start of 2016 and turning positive for
the first time since 2012. This has also stimulated
investment activity, which recovered since the last
quarter of 2015 and gained momentum throughout
2016.
Graph 1.1:
Real GDP growth and contributions, output
gap
% of pot.
GDP
Corporate financing positions
% of GDP
70
68
% of GDP
5
pps
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
4
3
2
4
3
2
66
64
62
60
58
Net lending / net borrowing corporations
NFC Distributed income (National accounts)
NFC Loans (national accounts) (rhs)
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
Forecast
1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
-6
Output gap
Public consumption
Private consumption
Investment
Inventories
Real GDP (% change)
Net exports
Source:
European Commission
Source:
European Commission
Inflation
Investment
Investment increased in 2016 after several years
of relative stagnation.
Overall investment in
Austria remained relatively stable during the crisis,
fluctuating around 22 % of GDP, which is only 1
percentage point (pp.) less than before the crisis.
After improving in 2015, investment is forecast to
continue growing, though at a declining rate (by
3.6 % in 2016, by 2.4 % in 2017 and 2.0 % in
2018) The recovery in investment activity is being
driven by greater spending on equipment and non-
residential construction, which is reducing the
backlog of replacement investment that had been
postponed. Although financing conditions are
Austria continues to experience higher inflation
than the other euro area countries, widening the
price gap.
Headline inflation has increased much
more rapidly than in the euro area since 2012,
while core inflation is growing faster since 2010
(see Graph 1.3). Due to Austria's important and
thriving tourism sector, prices in accommodation
and hospitality services continuously increase.
This helped to counterbalance the dampening
effect of low oil prices in recent years, keeping
inflation positive at all times. HICP inflation in
2015 reached a low at 0.8 % and is expected to
creep up to 1.0 % in 2016 before more than
doubling to 1.8 % in 2017 with rising oil prices.
4
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0008.png
1. Economic situation and outlook
Graph 1.3:
Headline and core HICP (harmonised index of
consumer prices)
Index,
2005=100
140
135
130
125
120
115
Forecast
Graph 1.4:
Labour force and unemployment rate (15-64
years)
% of active
pop.
7
6
5
4
130
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
Index,
2005=100
4500
4400
4300
4200
4100
4000
3900
3800
3700
3600
3500
1000
persons
3
2
1
0
110
105
100
16Q3
16Q1
15Q3
15Q1
14Q3
14Q1
13Q3
13Q1
12Q3
12Q1
11Q3
11Q1
10Q3
10Q1
09Q3
09Q1
08Q3
08Q1
05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
HICP inflation, Austria
HICP inflation, euro area
Core inflation, Austria (rhs)
Core inflation, euro area (rhs)
Unemployment rate(rhs)
Employment
Labour supply
Source:
European Commission
Source:
European Commission
Labour market
Social developments
Although employment is continuously rising,
the unemployment rate is also increasing.
The
economy cannot fully absorb the growth in the
labour force (see Graph 1.4) also resulting from
the continued inflow of foreign workers. In
general, migration is expected to positively
contribute to the demographic trend and potential
growth. Other factors behind the increase in the
labour force include longer working lives (a
consequence of restricted access to early
retirement and invalidity pensions) and increasing
female labour market participation. While a large
proportion of the increasing labour supply can still
be absorbed by the continuous growth in
employment, unemployment has also increased,
especially for the low-skilled. The impact of
refugees and asylum seekers on the labour force is
expected to be limited in comparison (see also
Section 3.3).
Inequality of income is low, while inequality of
wealth is high.
For 2015 data, disposable income
inequality in Austria with a Gini coefficient at 0.27
was among the lowest in the EU (
1
). The income of
the richest 20 % of households was 4.0 times
greater than that of the poorest 20 % of households
(S80 / S20), well below the EU average of 5.2 (
2
).
By contrast, Austria is among the countries with
highest net wealth (
3
) inequality in the EU (ECB
2016). Wealth inequality is thus much more
pronounced and decisive than income inequality as
the tax and social benefit systems are effective in
reducing market income inequality. In Austria,
market income inequality before taxes and social
transfers (0.50) is only marginally reduced by the
tax system (0.48) and relies largely on social
redistribution (0.27). These different Gini
coefficients were rather stable in the period 2010
to 2015. Comparing layers of society, over 2007 to
2015 real median income increased in total by
9.6 % despite the financial and economic crisis.
However, the lowest 10 % of income earners saw
their real incomes hardly grow, by just 0.5 %. In
general, over this period households’ real income
(
1
) The Gini coefficient takes values between 0 and 1 and is a
measure of equal or unequal distribution, with higher
values indicating a higher degree of inequality.
(
2
) The income quintile share ratio (S80 /S20 ) is the ratio of
total income received by the 20 % of the population with
the highest income to that received by the 20 % with the
lowest.
(
3
) Difference between total assets and total liabilities.
5
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0009.png
1. Economic situation and outlook
per capita fell while real GDP growth per capita
stagnated.(
4
) In addition, the creation of
predominantly low-paid and part-time jobs over
recent years has aggravated the segmentation of
the labour market and income inequalities.
The social situation remains good overall,
although some groups are at higher poverty
risk.
The proportion of the population at risk of
poverty or social exclusion, at 18.3 %, is one of the
lowest in the EU and below the EU average of
23.7 %. However, 15.1 % of women aged 65 and
over are at risk of poverty, much higher than the
10.7 % rate for men of the same age. This is
because of the large gender gap in pay and
pensions and a pension system which reflects the
inequality in the labour market. Possible further
reforms may also consider the situation of specific
groups, in particular the children of foreign-born
parents, who face at-risk-of-poverty rates of
34.6 %, above the EU average of 33.2 % (see also
Section 3.3).
Productivity
growth in total factor productivity is also visible in
Austria’s weak GDP growth since 2011.
Graph 1.5:
140
135
Labour productivity
Index,
2000=100
130
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nominal compensation per employee
Total factor productivity - AT
Total factor productivity - EA
Real labour productivity per person
Real labour productivity per hour worked
Source:
European Commission
External position
Productivity in Austria remains high but is
shared among a rising number of employees.
Productivity per employee grew until 2007 (see
Graph 1.5) but dropped sharply during the crisis. It
has remained flat at a lower level since then while
the EU average has risen continuously. However,
Austria’s productivity per hour worked has grown
constantly since 2000 and, unlike the EU average,
did not drop even during the crisis years. The
explanation is that the increase in employment
since the crisis has created more part-time jobs and
fewer full-time ones. Overall, Austria’s
productivity is doing well and growing above the
EU average. However, as wage growth is
increasing faster than productivity per hour worked
since 2008, Austria is losing slightly in price
competitiveness and rebalancing within the euro
area. Total factor productivity incorporating
technological progress and innovative capacity has
been on a constant decline in Austria since 2011,
staying below pre-crisis levels, while the euro area
average has been rising again since 2013. Weak
(
4
) While real GDP per capita grew annually by 0.28 %
between 2007 and 2012 and shrank by -0.18 % between
2012 and 2015, real income of households per capita
shrank annually by -0.28 % between 2007 and 2012 and
by -0.52 % between 2012 and 2015.
Austria’s current account and net international
investment position remain in the black.
Austria
has had current account surpluses for many years,
thanks to its important tourism industry and the
continuously growing export of business services.
Despite the important role of the export industry in
the Austrian economy, the trade balance in goods
contributes only marginally to the current account
surplus and recovered only recently from its
negative contribution in the aftermath of the
financial crisis. Austria has seen its export market
share constantly decline since 2007, both overall as
well as relative to other advanced economies (see
Graph 1.6), although the decline was more limited
in volume terms. Austria’s non-EU trade however
continues to rely heavily on markets in Central,
Eastern and South-Eastern Europe, including
Russia. More recently it has also come to rely on
the US market, but is less present in fast-growing
markets in Asia and South America. On the level
of sectors, households and non-financial
corporations have a positive net lending position
which more than compensates for the negative net
lending position of financial corporations and the
government. Overall, the net international
investment position, which turned positive in 2013,
continues to improve (see Graph 1.6).
6
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0010.png
1. Economic situation and outlook
Graph 1.6:
Trade balance and export market share
% of GDP
Graph 1.7:
170
House prices and rental costs
Index,
Jan08=100
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
%
15
10
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
Index,
2008Q1
=100
5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
Trade balance goods (rhs)
Trade balance services (rhs)
Export market share AT, values
Export performance AT vs. advanced economies, values
Net international investment position (rhs)
1.2
1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
90
90
Source:
European Commission
Source:
ECB, Statistics Austria, OeNB
Housing market
The strong growth in house prices over recent
years has accelerated since mid-2015.
Austria is
one of the European countries where house prices
have been constantly rising since the financial
crisis unlike in many other European countries (see
Graph 1.7). The quarterly house price index shows
accelerated growth since Q3-2015, when the year-
on-year increase was 9.3 % before reaching 13.4 %
in Q1-2016, 8.9% in Q2-2016 and 5.2% in
Q3-2016. Unlike in 2012, when the rise in house
prices could be attributed largely to Vienna, the
capital, the bigger cities throughout the country are
now also contributing to the acceleration in prices.
Since 2011 house prices are growing faster than
rental costs and income, leading to increasingly
high price-to-rent and price-to-income ratios which
point to considerable overvaluation. The increase
in Austria’s price-to-income ratio since the crisis
has been among the strongest in the EU, with the
majority of Member States seeing their ratio drop
(see Graph 1.8). As this trend accelerated in the
first months of 2016, Austria was flagged in
December by the European Systemic Risk Board
(see also Section 3.2).
In Austria, both rental costs and house prices are
rising much more steeply than overall inflation.
This could pose a risk for private consumption if
the increasing living costs were to limit spending
on consumption goods. Growth in housing
mortgages is also accelerating, but the overall
mortgage-to-GDP ratio is still relatively low.
Graph 1.8:
60
50
40
30
20
08Q1
% change
08Q3
09Q1
09Q3
House price to income and rent ratio
% of GDP
110
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
-80
-90
-100
-110
10Q1
10Q3
House price index
Housing mortgages
Gross disposable income (4qma)
Rent inflation (rhs)
HICP (rhs)
11Q1
11Q3
12Q1
12Q3
13Q1
13Q3
14Q1
14Q3
15Q1
15Q3
16Q1
16Q3
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
Source:
European Commission, ECB
The concentration of homeowners in the higher
income deciles helps to mitigate risks (Graph
3.1.3) as higher-income households have the
financial resources to react to changing market
conditions. The development of building supply
and construction investment appears moderate
compared to changes in house prices. In order to
7
RO
ES
PL
MT
HU
SI
HR
NL
IT
IE
BG
EL
SK
LT
EA19
PT
FI
FR
LV
CZ
DK
UK
BE
DE
CY
EE
SE
LU
AT
Price to income change (2010-2015)
Price to rent change (2010-2015)
Lending for house purchase (2015) (rhs)
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0011.png
1. Economic situation and outlook
increase housing supply the government plans
several measures, such as easing investment and
land provision for social housing.
Public finances
Public finances are expected to improve in the
coming years as the impact of bank support
measures fades out.
Government debt strongly
increased in 2009 due to the nationalisation of the
Austrian bank Kommunalkredit and was further
swollen in 2014 and 2015 by the creation of the
defeasance vehicle HETA for the former bank
Hypo Alpe Adria (see Graph 1.9). In 2016, an
agreement was reached with HETA’s creditors on
the guarantee provided by Carinthia, significantly
reducing the risk of additional costs for bank
support measures. Government debt peaked at
85.5 % in 2015 but is expected to decline markedly
in the coming years if, as planned, the assets of
nationalised banks included in government
accounts are gradually sold off. Even without
considering these assets government debt would
have stood at around 75 % of GDP in 2016, i.e.
significantly above the 60 % threshold.
Exceptional spending for refugee-related costs in
2015 and 2016 added to the government deficit but
is modest compared with the bank support
measures.
Graph 1.9:
35
25
% of GDP
Austria had one of the highest tax wedges (
5
) in the
EU at 49.5 % (for a single earner at 100 % of
average wage without children). With the reform,
this has fallen to 46.7 % and Austria improved
some places in EU comparison (see Graph 1.10).
The government announced in January 2017 the
introduction of an automatic indexation of tax
brackets according to inflation for countering the
effect of the fiscal drag. Together with measures to
reduce non-wage labour costs for employers
annually by around EUR 1 billion this will support
efforts for further lowering the tax wedge on
labour. The analysis in Section 3.1 shows that, in
the past, tax reforms have been implemented every
couple of years to counter the effect of a rising tax
wedge due to fiscal drag.
Graph 1.10:
60
50
40
%
Tax wedge (% of labour costs, 2015)
30
20
10
0
General government debt and deficit
% of GDP
100
90
80
70
60
50
15
5
-5
Source:
OECD
40
30
20
10
-25
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
Impact of bank support measures on debt
Bank support measures
Expenditure for refugees
Government deficit
Government debt (rhs)
Government debt w/o liabilities from nationalised banks
0
Healthcare
-15
Source:
European Commission
Austria’s healthcare system is characterised by
a large and costly hospital sector which,
together with projected ageing of the
population,
threatens
its
long-term
sustainability.
In general the accessibility and
quality of healthcare provided are good but
compared to other European countries Austria
spends a relatively high percentage of GDP on
healthcare. Equally, the proportion of hospital
expenditure in overall healthcare costs is one of the
(
5
) The tax wedge on labour represents the difference between
the total labour cost of employing a worker and the
worker’s net earnings. It is defined as personal income tax
and employer and employee social security contributions.
Despite the income tax reform in 2016 the tax
burden on labour remains high compared to
other European countries.
Before the tax reform
8
BE
AT 15
DE
HU
FR
IT
AT 16
FI
CZ
SE
SI
PT
SK
ES
EL
EE
LU
DK
NL
OECD
PL
UK
IE
Income tax
Employee social security contributions
Employer social security contributions
Forecast
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0012.png
1. Economic situation and outlook
highest in the EU. The number of hospital
discharges and the number of hospital beds per
capita is significantly higher than in other
European countries with the exception of Germany
(see Graph 1.11). As an ageing society, Austria
faces considerable financial challenges as
healthcare, long-term care and pension costs are
expected to increase markedly in future (see also
Section 3.1).
Graph 1.11:
Hospital discharges and hospital beds 2014
per 100 000
population
1400
1200
1000
800
600
10
strategy for the digital future till 2025. Also in the
government programme 2017-18 digitalisation is
addressed as one of the key priorities. Austrian
businesses are doing well on many digitalisation
aspects and public authorities are offering a wide
range of e-government solutions. Austria,
however, ranks below or merely in line with the
EU average on aspects such as investment in
digital skills, e-commerce, e-procurement and the
deployment of high-speed broadband in rural areas
(see also Sections 3.4 and 3.5).
per 100
population
25
20
15
400
5
200
0
0
Source:
OECD
Education
Austria reaches its national EU 2020 targets on
tertiary education and early school leaving,
which is markedly better than the EU average,
however national and international tests show
deficiencies in basic skills.
Weaknesses in some
basic skills (reading and science) were confirmed
by their deterioration in the last 2015 OECD
Programme for International Student Assessment
(PISA) test. For instance, the proportion of low
achievers in science amounts to 20.8 % in 2015,
while the proportion of high achievers ranks only
in the mid-field. These results do not help Austria
realise its ambition of becoming an innovation
leader (see also Section 3.3).
Digitalisation
Austria aspires to become one of the innovation
leaders in Europe but remains around the EU
average in key aspects of the digitalisation of its
economy and society. In January 2017, Austria has
adopted the Digital Roadmap Austria, its national
AT
DE
CZ
HU
SK
EL
LV
FR
SI
EE
PL
FI
BE
DK
LU
SE
IE
UK
NL
IT
ES
PO
Inpatient care discharges
Total hospital beds (rhs)
9
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0013.png
1. Economic situation and outlook
Table 1.1:
Key economic, financial and social indicators – Austria
2004-2008 2009
2.7
-3.8
2.2
0.6
2.4
2.5
1.7
-7.3
6.5
-15.0
5.2
-12.0
0.7
-2.5
2.0
0.7
1.8
0.2
0.8
0.2
0.7
1.1
3.2
4.0
-0.8
-0.1
-12.3
-15.1
173.0
13.0
-0.9
2.2
11.1
5.8
124.5
51.4
73.1
-0.2
26.8
5.3
0.4
4.2
2.1
2.2
2.7
1.2
1.5
-0.6
0.2
-0.2
33.3
21.6*
11.6
.
.
.
5.1
1.3
9.8
72.1
18.1
7.6
-2.6
42.3
.
66.7
-0.9
-0.8
-2.1
-0.3
0.5
0.6
2.6
3.6
2.2
0.0
-5.1
-10.8
184.7
1.9
-1.7
0.3
11.3
1.3
132.8
53.9
78.9
2.0
24.7
5.2
3.5
4.4
1.9
0.4
1.6
-3.4
5.2
3.2
2.1
1.1
32.6
21.0
-0.4
9.6
1.2
2.7
5.3
1.2
10.7
74.3
19.1
7.1
-5.4
42.1
.
79.7
2010
1.9
1.0
0.1
-2.1
13.8
12.0
-1.5
0.9
0.1
0.5
1.2
0.0
0.4
0.5
2.9
3.0
-1.8
0.1
-5.2
-18.0
185.3
-5.5
-10.4
2.0
9.3
0.3
132.8
54.8
78.0
3.8
24.9
3.9
4.4
4.4
1.0
1.7
1.1
1.2
-0.1
-1.1
-2.2
-3.4
32.7
21.2
0.8
10.0
6.6
3.9
4.8
1.2
9.5
74.4
18.9
7.8
-4.5
42.0
-3.3
82.4
2011
2.8
1.3
0.0
6.7
6.0
6.2
0.3
0.9
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.4
1.6
2.3
-1.7
-0.1
-1.9
-20.8
186.2
-4.5
-2.4
3.6
7.9
3.0
130.1
53.5
76.6
2.0
25.1
2.4
3.0
4.4
1.9
3.6
2.0
1.2
0.8
-1.1
-0.1
0.5
33.4
20.9
1.5
10.3
1.2
4.0
4.6
1.2
8.9
74.6
19.2
8.6
-2.6
42.1
-2.6
82.2
2012
0.7
0.5
0.2
1.4
1.7
1.1
0.1
0.9
0.6
-0.4
0.3
0.1
0.5
0.3
1.5
2.4
-0.4
-0.1
-3.2
-23.7
183.7
-12.3
-6.0
3.2
8.7
1.3
129.2
52.4
76.8
0.7
24.2
3.0
4.8
4.3
2.0
2.6
2.7
-0.3
3.0
1.0
-0.6
-1.8
33.9
21.7
2.0
11.3
4.5
4.3
4.9
1.2
9.4
75.1
18.5
7.7
-2.2
42.7
-1.9
82.0
2013
0.1
-0.1
0.7
2.2
0.5
0.7
-0.7
0.9
0.6
-0.5
0.0
0.1
0.5
0.3
2.0
2.9
0.1
-0.2
1.3
-20.1
172.7
-10.6
1.7
2.4
7.0
0.6
128.0
51.6
76.4
0.8
23.6
2.0
2.9
4.4
1.6
2.1
2.1
-0.2
2.3
0.8
3.2
2.1
34.4
23.1
-1.5
11.9
1.0
4.2
5.4
1.3
9.7
75.5
18.8
7.8
-1.4
43.5
-1.2
81.3
2014
0.6
-0.3
0.8
-0.9
2.3
1.3
-0.9
0.9
-0.2
0.3
0.5
0.0
0.5
0.4
2.4
3.2
0.5
-0.1
2.2
-21.1
171.1
-10.0
0.2
-0.6
7.0
0.9
126.2
51.6
74.6
2.5
23.5
2.6
1.4
4.3
1.8
1.5
1.9
-0.3
2.1
0.4
1.7
1.7
34.7
22.8
1.1
12.3
-1.9
6.2
5.6
1.5
10.3
75.4
19.2
9.1
-2.7
43.7
-0.7
84.4
2015
1.0
0.0
2.1
0.7
3.6
3.4
-0.9
1.0
0.6
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.5
0.4
1.8
3.4
1.3
-0.5
2.9
-21.8
161.6
-7.69
-3.3
1.9
7.3
2.1
126.4
52.3
74.1
0.6
23.4
2.5
3.5
4.3
1.9
0.8
1.9
0.3
1.5
-0.3
-1.7
-1.9
34.9
23.1
0.9
13.2
6.3
5.5
5.7
1.7
10.6
75.5
18.3
8.2
-1.0
44.3
0.0
85.5
2016
1.5
1.3
1.8
3.6
2.7
3.7
-0.7
1.3
1.9
0.0
-0.4
0.3
0.5
0.5
.
.
1.1
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
0.9
23.8
3.3
.
.
1.7
1.0
1.4
.
0.8
-0.9
0.1
1.6
.
.
.
.
.
.
6.0
.
11.3
.
.
.
-1.4
43.2
-0.9
83.5
forecast
2017
1.6
1.2
1.0
2.4
2.9
2.8
-0.4
1.3
1.4
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.5
0.6
.
.
-0.6
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
1.3
24.3
2.7
.
.
1.4
1.9
1.6
.
0.8
-0.5
-0.4
-1.0
.
.
.
.
.
.
6.1
.
.
.
.
.
-1.2
43.1
-0.8
81.3
2018
1.6
1.1
0.8
2.0
3.1
2.5
-0.2
1.4
1.2
0.0
0.4
0.3
0.5
0.6
.
.
-0.1
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
1.8
24.8
2.2
.
.
1.6
1.6
1.7
.
0.8
-0.8
-1.0
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
6.2
.
.
.
.
.
-0.9
43.1
-0.7
79.3
Real GDP (y-o-y)
Private consumption (y-o-y)
Public consumption (y-o-y)
Gross fixed capital formation (y-o-y)
Exports of goods and services (y-o-y)
Imports of goods and services (y-o-y)
Output gap
Potential growth (y-o-y)
Contribution to GDP growth:
Domestic demand (y-o-y)
Inventories (y-o-y)
Net exports (y-o-y)
Contribution to potential GDP growth:
Total Labour (hours) (y-o-y)
Capital accumulation (y-o-y)
Total factor productivity (y-o-y)
Current account balance (% of GDP), balance of payments
Trade balance (% of GDP), balance of payments
Terms of trade of goods and services (y-o-y)
Capital account balance (% of GDP)
Net international investment position (% of GDP)
Net marketable external debt (% of GDP) (1)
Gross marketable external debt (% of GDP) (1)
Export performance vs. advanced countries (% change over 5 years)
Export market share, goods and services (y-o-y)
Net FDI flows (% of GDP)
Savings rate of households (net saving as percentage of net disposable income)
Private credit flow, consolidated (% of GDP)
Private sector debt, consolidated (% of GDP)
of which household debt, consolidated (% of GDP)
of which non-financial corporate debt, consolidated (% of GDP)
Corporations, net lending (+) or net borrowing (-) (% of GDP)
Corporations, gross operating surplus (% of GDP)
Households, net lending (+) or net borrowing (-) (% of GDP)
Deflated house price index (y-o-y)
Residential investment (% of GDP)
GDP deflator (y-o-y)
Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP, y-o-y)
Nominal compensation per employee (y-o-y)
Labour productivity (real, person employed, y-o-y)
Unit labour costs (ULC, whole economy, y-o-y)
Real unit labour costs (y-o-y)
Real effective exchange rate (ULC, y-o-y)
Real effective exchange rate (HICP, y-o-y)
Tax rate for a single person earning the average wage (%)
Tax rate for a single person earning 50% of the average wage (%)
Total Financial sector liabilities, non-consolidated (y-o-y)
Tier 1 ratio (%) (2)
Return on equity (%) (3)
Gross non-performing debt (% of total debt instruments and total loans and
advances) (4)
Unemployment rate
Long-term unemployment rate (% of active population)
Youth unemployment rate (% of active population in the same age group)
Activity rate (15-64 year-olds)
People at risk of poverty or social exclusion (% total population)
Persons living in households with very low work intensity (% of total
population aged below 60)
General government balance (% of GDP)
Tax-to-GDP ratio (%)
Structural budget balance (% of GDP)
General government gross debt (% of GDP)
(1) Sum of portfolio debt instruments, other investment and reserve assets.
(2,3) Domestic banking groups and stand-alone banks.
(4) Domestic banking groups and stand-alone banks, EU and non-EU foreign-controlled subsidiaries and EU and non-EU
foreign-controlled branches.
(*) Indicates BPM 5 and/or ESA 95
Source:
European Commission, ECB
10
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0014.png
2.
PROGRESS WITH COUNTRY-SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS
Nevertheless, the organisational and financing
structure of the healthcare sector remains overly
complex and ensuring its sustainability in the
medium and long term remains a challenge.
The labour market participation of women has
increased
in recent years but this is mainly due to
part-time employment. Women would gain more
from the labour market if the gender gap in pay
and pensions were narrowed and childcare and
long-term care facilities expanded.
Measures have been taken to improve the
educational achievements of disadvantaged
young people
— including those from a migrant
background — but education outcomes have so far
not improved, rather deteriorated.
Austria has made some efforts to improve
competition and investment in the services
sector
by reducing regulatory and administrative
barriers. These efforts have focused notably on
administrative simplification (such as the
introduction of an electronic trade register). This
reduces compliance costs and mitigates some of
the negative effects of regulation without,
however, resolving the underlying issue of
restrictiveness. Austria also removed some
regulatory obstacles in reaction to national court
rulings or EU infringement procedures. It has
recently tabled a proposal for a limited revision of
the trade licence act (Gewerbeordnung). Austria
participated actively in the mutual evaluation of
professional regulation at EU level which took
place between 2014 and 2016. The action plan it
presented as part of this exercise was however
unambitious and has not yet resulted in a
systematic attempt to remove administrative and
regulatory obstacles across professions and trades.
Overall, Austria has made some(
7
) progress in
addressing
the
2016
country-specific
recommendations (CSRs).
Some progress was
made on CSR1 in addressing the sustainability of
the pension and healthcare system together with
streamlining the fiscal framework. Some progress
was made on CSR2 in improving the labour
(
7
) Information on the level of progress and actions taken to
address the policy advice in each respective subpart of a
CSR is presented in the Overview Table in the Annex. This
overall assessment does not include an assessment of
compliance with the Stability and Growth Pact.
Progress with the implementation of the
recommendations addressed to Austria in
2016(
6
) has to be seen in a longer term
perspective since the introduction of the
European Semester in 2011.
Austria has
undertaken several reforms since then.
By increasing financial surveillance and
implementing targeted measures,
Austria
managed to restructure most of its nationalised and
partly nationalised banks by 2016 so that
remaining risks are contained and relate to legacy
issues. By activating several macro-prudential
measures, it also reduced risks related to the
quality of foreign assets.
The 2017 financial equalisation law helped
simplify the financial relations between the
different layers of government.
The agreement
also introduced several new elements which have
the potential to increase the efficiency and
adaptability of Austria's fiscal framework.
Nevertheless, the framework remains overly
complex and still suffers from a misalignment
between limited revenue-raising powers and
broader spending responsibilities.
Several measures were taken to reduce taxation
on labour,
such as the 2016 income tax reform
and the reduction of non-wage labour costs for
employers. Austria nonetheless still has one of the
highest tax wedges in Europe.
Austria has managed to increase the effective
retirement age
by limiting access to early
retirement and invalidity pension schemes as from
2014. Earlier harmonisation of the pension age of
men and women as well as a linking of the
statutory pension age to life expectancy have been
recommended several times but have not been
implemented.
The 2013 healthcare reform comprised several
measures to improve the efficiency of the
healthcare sector,
including a cost-containment
path up to 2016. The 2017 financial equalisation
law established more stringent expenditure ceilings
up to 2021 and also took some steps to strengthen
the provision of outpatient care outside hospitals.
(
6
) For the assessment of other reforms implemented in the
past, see in particular Section 3.
11
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0015.png
2. Progress with country-specific recommendations
market participation of women and the educational
achievements of disadvantaged young people.
Limited progress was made on CSR3 on reducing
barriers to investment in the services sector.
Table 2.1:
Summary table on 2016 CSR assessment
Austria
CSR 1:
Ensure that the deviation from the medium-term
budgetary objective in 2016 and in 2017 is limited to the
allowance linked to the budgetary impact of the
exceptional inflow of refugees in 2015, and to that effect
achieve an annual fiscal adjustment of 0,3 % of GDP in
2017 unless the medium-term budgetary objective is
respected with a lower effort. Ensure the sustainability
of the healthcare system, and of the pension system by
linking the statutory pension age to life expectancy.
Simplify, rationalise and streamline fiscal relations and
responsibilities across the various layers of government.
Overall assessment of progress with 2016 CSRs:
Some progress
Some progress
Some progress in ensuring the financial sustainability
of the healthcare system
Limited progress in ensuring
sustainability of the pension system
the
financial
*
No progress in linking the statutory retirement age to
life expectancy
Some progress in reforming fiscal relations between
the various layers of government
CSR 2:
Improve the labour market participation of
Some progress
women. Take steps to improve the educational
Some progress in improving the labour market
participation of women
achievements of disadvantaged young people, in
particular those from a migrant background.
Some progress in improving the educational
achievements of disadvantaged young people
CSR 3:
Reduce, in the area of services, administrative
Limited progress
and regulatory barriers for investments, such as
Limited progress in reducing administrative and
regulatory barriers to investment in services
restrictive authorisation requirements and restrictions
on legal form and shareholding, and impediments to
No progress in reducing impediments to setting up
setting up interdisciplinary companies.
interdisciplinary services companies
* This overall assessment of CSR1 does not include an assessment of compliance with the Stability and Growth Pact.
Source:
European Commission
12
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0016.png
2. Progress with country-specific recommendations
Box 2.1:
Contribution of the EU budget to structural change in Austria
Austria receives up to EUR 4.9 billion from the European Structural and Investment Funds (ESIF) for the
period 2014-2020. This is equivalent to around 0.2 % of GDP annually (over 2014-2017) and 5 % of
national public investment (
1
). By 31 December 2016, an estimated EUR 1.4 billion, which represents about
28 % of the total allocation for ESI Funds, have already been allocated to concrete projects.
Financing under the European Fund for Strategic Investments, Horizon 2020, the Connecting Europe
Facility and other directly managed EU funds is additional to the ESI Funds. By end 2016, Austria has
signed agreements for EUR 738 million for projects under the Connecting Europe Facility. The EIB Group
approved financing under EFSI amounts to EUR 188 million, which is expected to trigger nearly EUR 492
million in total investments (as of end 2016).
All necessary reforms and strategies as required by the ex-ante conditionalities (
2
) have been met,
thus
ensuring a timely and efficient up-take of the funds.
All relevant CSRs were taken into account when designing the 2014-2020 programmes.
The European
Regional Development Fund (ERDF) will contribute to stimulating private investments in research and
development and to improve the cooperation between public and private investments actors. Furthermore,
Austria already improved with the help of the ERDF the coordination between the regional and Federal
levels through the national Smart Specialisation Strategy.
A considerable part of the ESI Funds (EAFRD EUR 3.9 billion) addresses rural development, with the aim
of improving competitiveness in the agricultural sector, preserving eco-systems with a view to ensuring
biodiversity and supporting the socio-economic regeneration of rural areas. The ESI Funds also support
various labour market policies, particularly skills upgrading and contribute to increasing the employability
of the labour force. Austria also uses ESI Funds assistance for different social policies supporting social
inclusion measures, especially for minorities and migrants. Specifically, the ESF supports the
implementation of country specific recommendations, by assisting measures to improve the employability of
women, older workers and workers with migrant background in particular.
https://cohesiondata.ec.europa.eu/countries/AT
(
1
) National public investment is defined as gross capital formation + investment grants + national expenditure on
agriculture and fisheries.
2
( ) At the adoption of programmes, Member States are required to comply with a number of ex-ante conditionalities,
which aim at improving framework and investment conditions for the majority of areas of public investments. For
Members States that do not fulfil all the ex-ante conditionalities by the end 2016, the Commission has the possibility
to propose the temporary suspension of all or part of interim payments.
13
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
3.
REFORM PRIORITIES
3.1. PUBLIC FINANCES AND TAXATION
3.1.1. FISCAL FRAMEWORK
The 2017 financial equalisation law takes some
steps to reduce the complexity of the fiscal
framework.
In 2016, representatives of the central
government, the federal states and the
municipalities agreed on a new financial
equalisation law, which will govern financial
relations between the different layers of
government from January 2017 for 5 years.
Several inter-sector transfers have been abolished
and integrated into the general revenue-sharing
system. A first step has also been taken to make
the revenue-sharing system itself more task-
oriented: starting in 2018 the funds for childcare
will be allocated to municipalities based on the
services provided rather than the number of
inhabitants. From 2019, the same system will also
apply to compulsory schooling. The law also
introduced a uniform formula for calculating the
maximum amount of liabilities and guarantees for
each sub-sectoral government, at the same time
implementing a general ban on financial
speculation. Nevertheless, the responsibilities of
each government subsector towards other sectors’
liabilities remain unclear.
The new agreement also introduces several
elements to improve the efficiency and
flexibility of the fiscal framework.
The legal
basis has been created for regular reviews of tasks
and expenditure in individual areas in order to
consider progress, results and the potential for
savings or redistribution of tasks. By the end of
2018, a system of benchmarks will also be
developed to compare federal states’ performance
in several areas in order to encourage efficiency
and improve monitoring. These include
administration, hospitals, long-term care and
compulsory schools. The three government
subsectors (central government, federal states and
municipalities) also committed to reform the
distribution of their respective competencies, for
which an agreement will have to be reached by the
end of 2018. The reform will aim at unbundling
competencies both in the legislative and executive
field, and will include subsequent changes in the
financial arrangements. The legal basis for
spending reviews and benchmarks improves the
adaptability of the fiscal framework, while the
reform of competencies could make it possible to
tackle the complexity of the system at its roots.
However, the effectiveness of these measures will
depend on their thorough implementation.
The 2017 financial equalisation law does little to
correct the misalignment of revenue-raising
powers and spending responsibilities across the
different layers of government.
The new
agreement slightly increases tax autonomy at the
sub-national level, leaving the federal states free to
set the tariff for the housing subsidy contribution
from 2018. While this measure has the potential to
increase federal states’ revenues from autonomous
taxes from EUR 500 million to around EUR 1.5
billion, this would be still low compared to their
overall budget of around EUR 30 billion in 2015.
At the same time, the law increases yearly
transfers to federal states and municipalities by
EUR 300 million, which will raise their spending
capacity, thus widening the misalignment with
their revenue-raising powers.
Regarding the implementation of the national
fiscal rules, the complexity of the 2012 Austrian
Stability Pact makes an effective monitoring at
the sub-national level difficult.
The 2012
Austrian Stability Pact introduced several
numerical rules for the budgets of each
government subsector. As part of these rules,
federal states and municipalities were required not
to exceed a specific share of the general
government structural budget deficit. For this
purpose they should keep a structural balance
control account from 2017 onwards where
deviations from targets would be recorded.
Similarly, increases in expenditure at the sub-
national level have been made subject to the same
rules as set at EU level (Council Regulation (EC)
No 1175/2011). Both the structural budget control
account and the implementation of the expenditure
rule are very difficult and resource-consuming at
the
sub-national
level,
especially
for
municipalities. This is particularly relevant given
the current heterogeneity of the accounting
standards and practices across sub-national
governments (accounting standards will be fully
14
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0018.png
3.1. Public finances and taxation
harmonised only from 2020 onwards) as well as
the complexity of intergovernmental transfers and
subsidies. Similar conclusions are shared by the
Fiscal Advisory Council (Fiskalrat, 2016), which
since 2013 has the mandate to analyse the
sustainability and the quality of budgetary policies.
earners remains significantly above the EU
average of 33.5 %.
In the absence of an indexation of tax brackets,
the tax burden on personal income tends to
increase over time as an effect of the fiscal drag.
The Austrian tax system currently does not
envisage any mechanism to automatically adjust
tax brackets to inflation. Consequently, as wages
grow to adjust for inflation, taxpayers
progressively move to higher tax brackets with a
corresponding increase in their tax liability. To
some extent, the income tax reforms implemented
in recent years countered the effect of the fiscal
drag and did not reduce the tax wedge on labour in
a structural way. For this reason, since the early
2000s the tax wedge on labour in Austria has
fluctuated between 47 % and 49 %, always
remaining far above the EU average (Graph 3.1.1).
In January 2017, the government agreed to
automatically index the two lowest income tax
brackets when the cumulative inflation reaches
5%. If adopted, this measure would provide for a
more stable reduction of the tax burden on labour
from 2019 onwards.
Graph 3.1.2:
Revenues from recurrent property taxes (2014)
3.1.2. TAXATION
Despite the 2016 tax reform, the tax wedge on
labour in Austria remains comparatively high.
The tax reform implemented from January 2016
has reduced the tax wedge on labour. Tax brackets
for personal income tax have been adjusted, with a
substantial reduction of the entry rate. The tax
wedge for a single person with average income has
decreased by 2.8 percentage points, from 49.5 % to
46.7 %. The reform also provided work incentives,
with a significant reduction of the low-wage trap
for second earners (from 43.9 % to 37.7 %)(
8
).
Graph 3.1.1:
The effect of the fiscal drag in Austria
60
50
40
30
bn euro
2001
tax
reform
2005 tax
reform
2009 tax
reform
% of earning
2016 tax
reform
65
60
55
3.5
50
% of GDP
% of
population
100
90
80
3.0
20
10
0
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Taxes on production and imports, receivable
Current taxes on income, wealth, etc., receivable
AT - Tax wedge, single person, average income (rhs)
EU average, GDP weighted - Tax wedge, single person, average income (rhs)
45
2.5
40
70
60
50
2.0
35
1.5
1.0
0.5
40
30
20
10
(1) The dashed values are Commission forecast
Source:
OECD, European Commission
0.0
FR
UK
EL
DK
IT
BE
ES
PL
CY
IE
NL
PT
SE
LV
FI
RO
HU
SI
SK
DE
BG
EE
LT
CZ
AT
LU
HR
MT
0
Recurrent property tax revenue
Average recurrent property tax revenue
Share of houseowners (% of population)
Average share of houseowners
Nevertheless, even after the reform the tax wedge
on labour in Austria is among the highest in the
EU, and far above the EU average of 40.6 %.
Similarly, at 37.7 % the low-wage trap for second
(
8
) The low-wage trap shows the share of a family’s additional
earnings arising from an increase in work productivity
which are wiped out by increasing taxes and benefit
withdrawal. The family considered here has two-earners
with two children, where the principal earner earns the
average wage and the second earner increases its gross
wage from 33 % of the average wage to 67 %.
Source:
OECD
Austria has potential scope to shift the tax
burden from labour to recurrent property
taxes.
Revenues from recurrent property taxes are
significantly lower in Austria than the rest of the
EU: in 2014 they amounted to 0.2 % of GDP
versus an EU average of 1.6 % of GDP (Graph
3.1.2). Empirical research shows that recurrent
15
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0019.png
3.1. Public finances and taxation
Graph 3.1.3:
Share of homeowners by deciles of
equivalised disposable income
80
70
60
50
40
40
30
30
20
10
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Income deciles
Mean annual equivalised disposable income of homeowners (rhs)
Share of homeowners per decile
Distribution of homeowners across deciles
%
1000 Euro
70
60
50
20
10
0
(1) Homeowners are defined as outright owners and owners
paying a mortgage.
(2) EUROMOD simulates benefit entitlements and tax
liabilities (including social security contributions) of individual
and households. The simulations are based on
representative survey data from the European Statistics on
Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC).
Source:
European Commission, Joint Research Centre
based on the EUROMOD model
Commission, 2014)(
9
). However, the tax base is
extremely low, as the last assessment of property
values for tax purposes occurred in 1973 and the
assessed values bear little correlation with today's
market values. This misalignment affects revenues,
limits the stabilising role that property taxation can
play in the housing market, and may produce a
regressive distributional effect as the market values
of properties have evolved very differently across
the country. The 2016 tax reform introduced
several measures to update the assessed values of
immovable properties for tax purposes, in order to
better reflect their market values. Nevertheless, the
new tax base applies only to taxes on gratuitous
transfers, not to recurrent taxes.
3.1.3. AGE RELATED SPENDING
taxes on immovable property are the least
distortive to growth (Arnold
et al.,
2011), and
other studies indicate that shifting the tax burden
from labour to consumption or property would
have positive effects on GDP and employment
(European Commission, 2013). While the design
of such a shift would need to avoid potential
negative distributional impacts, in the case of
Austria these would be limited by the
comparatively low share of house-owners in the
overall population (Graph 3.1.2) and their
concentration in the higher income deciles (Graph
3.1.3). As recurrent property taxes are one of the
few sub-national own taxes in Austria, increasing
the corresponding revenues would also reduce the
transfer dependency of sub-national governments.
For this reason, the 2017 financial equalisation law
established a working group with the specific
mandate to propose a reform of the property tax by
mid-2017. Austria is also one of the few Member
States without an inheritance tax, which was
suspended in 2008.
The outdated tax base for recurrent taxes on
immovable property leads to low revenues and
distortive distributional effects.
In Austria the
rates of recurrent property taxes are relatively high,
ranging up to 1 % depending on the municipality
(EU average of 0.36 % in 2012) (European
Austria faces a medium risk to its fiscal
sustainability in the medium- and long-term,
mainly due to the effects of ageing.
Based on a
debt sustainability analysis by Commission staff
(European Commission 2017a) as updated
following the Commission 2017 winter forecast, in
a no-policy-change scenario Austria's public debt
is projected to decrease by about 18 pps of GDP
between 2016 and 2027, reaching 65.5 % of GDP.
A cumulative gradual improvement in the
structural primary balance of 0.5 % of GDP over 5
years (starting from the year after the forecasts,
currently 2019) would be required in order to reach
the 60 % debt-to-GDP ratio by 2031. This is
mainly due to the unfavourable current level of
debt and, to a lesser extent, to an age-related effect
over the medium term. In the long-term, the
projections point to a required fiscal adjustment of
2.2 % of GDP to ensure the sustainability of public
finances, qualifying Austria as facing medium
fiscal sustainability. This is mainly due to the
stronger projected impact of age-related spending
(2.5 % of GDP) over the longer term.
3.1.4. PENSIONS
Austria's public expenditure on pensions is
relatively high compared to the rest of Europe
and is expected to increase significantly due to a
rapidly ageing population.
According to the
(
9
) Data refer to 2012 and to tax rates on the possession of a
dwelling with a value of EUR 213 000.
16
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0020.png
3.1. Public finances and taxation
2015 Ageing Report (European Commission,
2015a), for the period 2013-2060, Austria is
expected to be among the EU Member States with
the largest predicted increase in pensions. The
report projects that by 2060 Austria's spending on
pensions will increase by 0.5 pps of GDP (vs EU
average of a 0.2 pps reduction).
The government's budgetary support for
pensions is still increasing.
In its Budget Report
2017 and Strategy Report 2017-2020 (BMF,
2017), the Ministry of Finance projects an increase
of 30.3 % in federal contributions to the pension
insurance (excluding civil servants) over 2015-
2020 (from EUR 10.2 billion in 2015 to EUR 13.3
billion in 2020). Similarly, pension expenditure for
public servants (including expenditure for long-
term care) is expected to increase in the same
period by 15.6 % (from EUR 9 billion in 2015 to
EUR 10.4 billion in 2020).
Increasing life expectancy and the low effective
retirement age are the main drivers of higher
pension expenditure.
Significant changes in the
age structure of the Austrian population are
expected by 2040 due to the persistently low
fertility rate and rising life expectancy. As a result,
the population aged over 65 is expected to increase
from 1.6 million in 2015 to 2.8 million in 2060. In
contrast, the number of potential workers is
expected to gradually decrease after 2025, so that
in 2060 the ratio between the population aged 65
and more as a percentage of the population aged
15-64 will be 0.5 (old-age dependency ratio). At
the same time, given the low effective retirement
age, the number of pensioners as a share of the 65+
population (coverage ratio) is projected to remain
far above the EU average up to 2060, though the
gap is expected to decrease (148 % vs 133 % in
2013, 116 % vs 105 % in 2060). The gradual
decline in the working-age population from 2020
and the simultaneous increase in pensioners will
have a dampening effect on economic growth and
change the public revenue and expenditure
structure.
Although pension reform measures launched
since 2014 led to an increase, the effective
retirement age is still relatively low.
Reducing
access to invalidity pensions, better transparency
created by the individual pension accounts, the
higher penalties for entering retirement earlier and
the higher benefits resulting from longer working
lives led to an increase in the effective retirement
age. In the first half of 2015, the effective
retirement age increased by 13 months compared
to the same period in 2014 (
10
) and by additional 2
months in the first half of 2016, reaching 60 years
and 3 months (BMASK, 2016). (
11
) However, this
figure still appears low compared to the EU
average, which in 2014 stood at 63 and 6 months
for men and 62 years and 6 months for women.
For men, the gap from the statutory retirement age
of 65 years also remains significant. For women,
the current statutory retirement age of 60 years is
among the lowest in the EU, and it will start to be
aligned with the statutory retirement age for men
only in 2024. In its programme 2017-18, the
government is planning to further harmonise the
pension system of civil servants with the general
pension system (ASVG).
The low labour market participation of women
and the high gender pay gap, combined with
lower pension contributions, led to less
adequate pensions for women.
Austria continues
to face a challenge in terms of pension adequacy
for women, particularly those aged 65+. The
gender pension gap increased from 35 % in 2008
to 39 % in 2015.
3.1.5. HEALTHCARE
Public expenditure on healthcare in Austria
poses a sustainability challenge, as it is expected
to rise significantly in the medium and long
term from already high levels.
At 7.9 % of GDP,
the public expenditure for healthcare in Austria is
among the highest in the EU (EU average of 7.2 %
of GDP, 2014 data). On the basis of the
2015 Ageing Report, healthcare expenditure is
projected to increase by 1.3 pps of GDP from 2013
to 2060, significantly above the average projected
increase for the EU (0.9 pps of GDP). Together
with the projected rise in spending on pensions and
long-term care, this projected increase represents a
medium risk to fiscal sustainability in the medium
and long term.
(
10
) Part of the increase in the effective retirement age recorded
in 2015 is due to a change in the criteria for classification.
(
11
) This figure does not consider civil servants. The effective
retirement age of civil servants of the federal
administration was 61 years and 2 months in 2015.
17
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0021.png
3.1. Public finances and taxation
The financial targets set by the 2013 healthcare
reform and the 2017 financial equalisation law
are not sufficient to ensure the sustainability of
the healthcare system.
With the 2013 healthcare
reform the annual increase in healthcare
expenditure has been limited to 3.6 % from 2013
to 2016, a level which had been set to match future
nominal GDP growth as estimated by the
government. Although it is being met (GÖG and
BMGF, 2016), the expenditure ceiling lacked
ambition and did not imply significant changes in
the existing trend. For health insurance institutions,
this was confirmed by the joint monitoring report
issued on July 2016 (Rechnungshof, 2016). The
2017 financial equalisation law has set more
stringent financial targets, as the cap on healthcare
expenditure growth will be gradually decreased
from 3.6 % in 2016 to 3.2 % in 2021. The new
targets are likely to play a positive role in
containing the overall spending path and
encouraging
efficiency.
Nevertheless,
the
projections of the 2015 Ageing Report pointed to
medium risks for fiscal sustainability even though
they assumed lower growth rates for healthcare
expenditure over the same years. Therefore,
Austria will still face a sustainability challenge
even if the financial targets are met.
Despite the high costs, the outcomes of the
healthcare system are around the EU average,
pointing to unexploited efficiency gains.
The
Austrian healthcare system does not seem to suffer
from problems of accessibility: according to the
EU statistics on income and living conditions,
Austria consistently scores as one of the Member
States with the lowest self-reported unmet needs
for medical care due to costs, distance and waiting
times. However, recent evidence at the local level
suggests some inefficiencies and long waiting
times in specific sectors (Stadtrechnungshof Wien,
2017a/b). Life expectancy is above the EU
average, both for females and males (84 and 79.1
respectively, versus an EU average of 83.6 and
78.1). Nevertheless, the number of healthy life
years is significantly below the EU average (57.8
for females and 57.6 for males, versus an EU
average of 61.8 and 61.4 respectively). This
indicates that although the Austrians are living
longer than the EU average, they tend to live fewer
years in sound health conditions. Overall, the
outcomes of the healthcare system, although of
good level, do not appear to fully reflect the high
costs.
The main driver of the high healthcare
spending is the large hospital sector, while the
less costly outpatient care is underutilised.
Several indicators point to the over-utilisation of
hospital care in Austria. The number of available
acute care beds (535 per 100 000 inhabitants in
2013), is 50 % higher than the EU average (356).
At the same time, even if the average length of
curative care stays, at 6.5 days, is at about the EU
average in 2013, the number of inpatient
discharges(
12
) per 100 000 inhabitants (26.6) is
among the highest in the EU and more than 50 %
above the EU average (16.5). Consistently, the
number of day-case discharges is lower than
average (6 595 in Austria versus 7 031 in the EU
in 2013). Accordingly, public expenditure for the
hospital sector is among the highest in the EU
(Graph 3.1.4), while Austria at is below the EU
average in terms of public expenditure for
outpatient care (Austria 1.5 % of GDP, EU 2.2 %).
Graph 3.1.4:
Public expenditure for healthcare (2014)
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
% of GDP
Source:
European Commission
The financial and organisational structure of
the healthcare sector is complex and
fragmented.
The Austrian taxpayer contributes to
the healthcare system directly through compulsory
contributions to social security funds and indirectly
through taxes. While outpatient care is mainly
financed by social security funds, which have
direct agreements with healthcare providers, the
financing of inpatient care is more complex. Public
(
12
) An inpatient discharge is the discharge of a patient at the
end of an inpatient care service.
18
DK
FI
FR
NL
BE
AT
CZ
IE
UK
DE
IT
SE
HR
SL
PT
ES
MT
BG
LT
EE
HU
LU
EL
PL
RO
LV
CY
SK
Other expenditure
Outpatient services
Hospital services
Total expenditure - EU 28
Hospital services expenditure - EU 28
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0022.png
3.1. Public finances and taxation
hospitals are financed through nine healthcare
funds associated with the federal states, which
collect contributions from the three government
layers and the social security institutions. For each
government subsector, different forms of
contributions exist which depend on different
legislation and relate to different funds. In general,
the complexity of the system does not provide any
stakeholder with full control over the financing or
strong incentives to reduce costs. In addition,
managing and financing responsibilities are not
fully aligned, with federal states owning and
running most of the public hospitals but
contributing to less than half of the hospital
sector’s financing. This set-up provides federal
states with weak incentives to pursue efficiency
within the hospital sector or at health system level
by shifting services to the less costly outpatient
care.
The 2017 financial equalisation law takes steps
to promote efficiency, by reducing the
incentives for hospitals to treat outpatient cases
as inpatient ones.
The system of reimbursement
for hospitals based on the diagnosis-related groups
introduced in 1997 has applied so far only to
inpatient cases. As the ambulatory care department
of hospitals were reimbursed under a different and
less generous regime, hospitals had an incentive to
treat ambulatory cases as inpatients. From 2017,
the diagnosis-related groups reimbursement system
will also apply to the ambulatory departments.
This is likely to promote a shift of excess capacity
from the inpatient to the outpatient sector and a
consequent reduction in acute care beds.
The 2017 financial equalisation law strengthens
the provision of outpatient care outside
hospitals.
To provide patients with an effective
alternative to hospital services, a legal framework
for planning outpatient multi-disciplinary primary
care centres has been created. The framework also
provides for the creation of networks of primary
care providers, which is particularly relevant for
the more scarcely populated areas. Compared to
the traditional single-handed practices, the new
centres would offer a wider range of care services
and more patient-friendly conditions. Although the
establishment of the care centres is subject to the
local supply of outpatient care (which includes
single-handed practices), it was agreed to
implement 75 care centres by 2021, and EUR 200
million have been earmarked. So far, the low
development of outpatient care outside hospitals
was also due to the contracts agreed between
healthcare providers and social security funds,(
13
)
combining
lump-sum
with
fee-for-service
payments. The success of the multi-disciplinary
primary care centres depends on the
implementation of new payments schemes
ensuring the involvement of both practitioners and
social security funds.
Austria’s hospital sector makes insufficient use
of effective public procurement such as EU-
wide tendering, procurement aggregation and
non-price award criteria.
Effective public
procurement has the highest benefits in healthcare
systems, like Austria’s, which rely in particular on
institutional players such as hospitals. Based on the
EU’s TED database, however, Austria’s public and
confessional hospitals make little use of EU-wide
tendering. The value of health-related tenders
published EU-wide by the Austrian health sector is
0.23 % of GDP, compared to an EU average of
0.62 %; the total amount is EUR 0.78 billion
compared for example to Sweden’s EUR
3.59 billion for a population of similar size. A
related issue is that in a significant number of
tenders only one bid was received (41 % in
medical imaging equipment tenders in 2012-2015),
indicating a lack of competition. Furthermore,
Austria’s hospitals forego volume savings for
commoditised inputs and the amortisation of costly
expertise for complex products by not aggregating
their tenders. In addition, Austrian hospitals used
price as the sole award criterion in 54 % of tenders
in 2012-2015, which points to a lack of
sophistication in tendering practices.
3.1.6. LONG-TERM CARE
Austria has an ageing society whose long-term
care costs are expected to increase significantly.
Austria ranks in the middle of the EU on long-term
care costs as a percentage of GDP. However, it is
one of the countries with the highest projected
increase, with costs expected to double from 1.4 %
of GDP in 2013 to 2.7 % of GDP by 2060
(projected increase of 1.3 pps of GDP versus 1.1
pps for the EU average).
(
13
) Contracts for physicians are negotiated centrally between
the Medical Chamber and the main association of social
security funds (Hauptverband).
19
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0023.png
3.2. FINANCIAL SECTOR
Banking sector capitalisation improved in 2016,
but pockets of vulnerability still remain.
Capital
adequacy (including the capitalisation of CESEE
subsidiaries)(
14
) strengthened further and reached
16.5 % in June 2016 compared with 16.3 % in
2015. The common equity Tier 1 (CET 1) ratio
rose to 13.2 % in June 2016, up by 0.4 percentage
points
compared
with December
2015.
Notwithstanding efforts to strengthen their capital
buffers, the largest Austrian banking groups still
have lower capital ratios than European peers, as
shown also by the results of the 2016 EU-wide
stress test performed by the European Banking
Authority. One of the two Austrian banks included
in the stress test sample (i.e. Erste Bank Group and
Raiffeisen) was among the banks with the weakest
results. The two banks had lower starting point
capital ratios for the stress test and experienced
high credit losses, in particular for their CESEE
operations. Meanwhile, due to their traditional
business model, Austrian banks continue to have
lower leverage ratios than their European peers.
To increase the risk-bearing capacity and
overall resilience of the banking sector, Austria
activated several macro-prudential measures in
2016.
Following a recommendation from the
Austrian macro-prudential body (Financial Market
Stability Board), the Financial Market Authority
identified seven banks as 'other systemically
important institutions' ('O-SIIs') and set the
applicable O-SII buffers at 1 % and 2 %,
depending on the banking group.(
15
) The O-SII
buffers will be gradually phased in between 1 June
2016 and 1 January 2019. Since 1 January 2016,
the Financial Market Authority has also
implemented a systemic risk buffer (SRB) of 1 %
and 2 % for 12 banks,(
16
) depending on the
(
14
) The CESEE (Central, Eastern and South-eastern Europe)
region includes Turkey and the following sub-regions: i)
Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), consisting of the Czech
Republic, Hungary, Poland, the Slovak Republic and
Slovenia; ii) South-eastern Europe (SEE), consisting of
Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia,
Kosovo, FYR of Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania and
Serbia; iii) the Baltic region, consisting of Estonia, Latvia
and Lithuania; Russia, Ukraine and other countries in the
Commonwealth of Independent States.
(
15
) The 2 % O-SII buffer applies to: Erste Group Bank,
Raiffeisen Zentralbank, Raiffeisen Bank International,
UniCredit Bank Austria; the 1 % O-SII buffer applies to:
Raiffeisenlandesbank Oberösterreich, Raiffeisenlandesbank
Niederösterreich-Wien, BAWAG P.S.K.
(
16
) The 2 % SRB applies to: Erste Group Bank, Raiffeisen
Zentralbank, Raiffeisen Bank International, UniCredit
Bank Austria; 1 % SRB applies to: Raiffeisenlandesbank
banking group. The SRB will be gradually phased
in between 1 January 2016 and 1 January 2019 for
the institutions directly supervised by the ECB. For
those not directly supervised by the ECB, the
Authority set a SRB of 1 % from 1 January 2016,
which is applied without a phase-in period.(
17
)
Only the higher of the O-SII buffer and the SRB
applies.
The increase in real estate prices coupled with
the recent trends in housing loans underscores
the importance of macro-prudential measures.
Against the background of growth in housing
loans, especially over the last year, and signs of
real estate price overvaluation in some parts of the
country, the Financial Market Stability Board
called for the introduction of additional macro-
prudential instruments. In June 2016, the Board
recommended to the Ministry of Finance the
development of a legal basis for introducing limits
on the loan-to-value ratio, the debt-to-income ratio
or the debt service-to-income ratio for new real
estate lending. The Financial Market Stability
Board issued in September 2016 a communication
on sustainable lending standards in real estate
lending, which is crucial for maintaining stability
and growth. Furthermore, the European Systemic
Risk Board, which in 2016 conducted an EU-wide
forward-looking assessment of vulnerabilities
relating to residential real estate, issued a warning
to Austria on vulnerabilities in this sector and
made it public on 16 December 2016.
Austrian banks continue to have liquid balance
sheets.
The increase in deposits that has exceeded
loan growth has allowed banks to maintain a sound
funding profile. Their reliance on wholesale
funding has been moderate, but developments
linked to HETA Asset Resolution, the ‘bad bank’
of the former Hypo Alpe Adria, have hurt investor
confidence and led to an increase in the cost of
funding for senior unsecured debt issued by banks.
However, the cost of these instruments declined
again after the acceptance by creditors of the buy-
back program offered by Carinthia. The cross-
Oberösterreich, Raiffeisenlandesbank Niederösterreich-
Wien, BAWAG P.S.K., Hypo NOE Gruppe Bank,
Vorarlberger Landes− und Hypothekenbank, Hypo Tirol
Bank, Oberösterreichische Landesbank, Sberbank.
(
17
) These banks are: Hypo NOE Gruppe Bank, Vorarlberger
Landes− und Hypothekenbank, Hypo Tirol Bank,
Oberösterreichische Landesbank.
20
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0024.png
3.2. Financial sector
border intra-group financing of the largest Austrian
banks with international operations has declined
steadily since 2011 (Graph 3.2.1), as the funding
profile of the CESEE subsidiaries has continued to
improve. Supported by the increase in funding on
the local market due to the rise in customer
deposits but also by an orderly deleveraging
process, the funding gap of the CESEE
subsidiaries continued to decline. Consequently,
the loan-to-deposit ratio of these subsidiaries fell
to 81.0 % in Q3 2016 from 96.7 % in 2014.
Graph 3.2.1:
Intra-group liquidity to CESEE subsidiaries
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16Q3*
EUR bln
income. The reduction of the bank levy in 2017
will support profitability.
Although on a declining trend, foreign currency
loans to households remain a matter of concern.
The steady decline in foreign exchange-
denominated loans, in particular Swiss franc loans,
to Austrian households is a corollary of several
supervisory measures to curb foreign exchange
lending adopted by the Austrian supervisors since
2008. Swiss franc loans account for roughly 96 %
of foreign currency-denominated loans granted to
the private sector. At the end of 2015, the
outstanding stock of Austrian banks' foreign
currency loans to households amounted to EUR
24.4 billion, some EUR 14.7 billion lower than in
2008. About two thirds of these loans are 'bullet
loans', most of them linked to repayment vehicles,
which are sensitive to financial market
developments. Roughly 80 % of the outstanding
foreign currency loans to households are set to
mature from 2021 onwards.
Graph 3.2.2:
Net profits of Austrian subsidiaries in CESEE
5.0
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
EUR bln
CZ
HR
HU
RO
RU
SI
SK
Rest
Note: Liquidity transfers to credit institutions only
Source:
OeNB (central bank of Austria)
Notwithstanding recent positive developments,
banks' capacity to generate profits in the
domestic market remains under pressure.
The
low interest rate environment continues to limit the
generation of net interest income by Austrian
banks which, like German banks, rely heavily on
interest income. Several credit institutions have
implemented cost-cutting measures in the domestic
market, but overall banks continue to have very
dense branch networks. The cost-to-income ratio
of Austrian banks declined in 2015 to 66.2 % from
69.7 % in 2014. However, it is higher than the
cost-to-income ratio for the CESEE subsidiaries,
which fell to 51 % in 2015 from 53 % in 2014.
Return on average equity at unconsolidated level
reached 4.9 % in June 2016, some 0.9 pps lower
than in the same period in 2015. Profitability
continues to be supported mainly by lower loan-
loss provisions than in previous years. Overall,
operating income decreased in the first half of
2016, compared with the same period in 2015, due
to the reduction in net interest income, lower fee
and commission income as well as lower trading
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
-3.0
08
RU
HR
UA
09
10
11
12
CZ
RO
13
14
15
15Q3* 16Q3*
SK
HU
CESEE total
Rest of CESEE
* Q3 data not comparable with yearly data
Source:
OeNB (central bank of Austria)
The exposure of the Austrian banking sector to
the CESEE region increased slightly in 2015.
Based on data from the Bank for International
Settlements, the total exposure of Austrian banks
to the CESEE countries stood at EUR 187.6 billion
in June 2016, up from EUR 184.8 billion in 2014
but roughly EUR 12 billion below the level
registered in 2008. Due to the transfer in
ownership of the CESEE subsidiaries of UniCredit
Bank Austria to the UniCredit Group, the exposure
of Austrian banks to the CESEE region has
declined considerably (however, this is not yet
21
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0025.png
3.2. Financial sector
reflected in the June 2016 data). The exposure to
the region accounts for roughly 64 % of the
consolidated foreign claims of majority-owned
Austrian banks. The CESEE exposure has
remained diversified and dominated by operations
in the EU Member States. Exposure to EU
Member States in the CEE region has been
prominent, the highest being to the Czech Republic
and Slovakia. In recent years, operations in
Ukraine, Russia and Turkey have been
increasingly hit by adverse economic and political
developments as well as the international
commodities cycle.(
18
)
Whereas CESEE operations have benefited
from improved asset quality and profitability,
several challenges remain.
In most CESEE
countries non-performing loans either remained
unchanged or declined significantly (i.e. in
Bulgaria, Romania, Slovenia) in 2015 on the back
of efforts to clean up balance sheets. Meanwhile,
subsidiaries operating in Ukraine and Russia
experienced a further deterioration in asset quality
in 2015. The profitability of CESEE operations
improved considerably in 2015, but the
subsidiaries in Ukraine and Croatia reported
losses, whereas the Russian subsidiaries remained
profitable (Graph 3.2.2). The aggregated net profit
after tax of the CESEE subsidiaries (excluding the
profits of UniCredit Bank Austria subsidiaries in
CESEE) stood at EUR 1.4 billion in June 2016
compared with EUR 0.9 billion a year earlier.
Austrian banks operating in CESEE have been
increasingly impacted by legislative initiatives in
several host countries (e.g. Hungary and Croatia)
aimed at converting foreign currency loans, in
particular Swiss franc loans, into local currency or
another foreign currency. Although declining, the
outstanding stock of foreign currency loans
granted abroad remains sizeable. The total foreign
currency loans granted by the Austrian subsidiaries
stood at roughly EUR 32.7 billion in June 2016.
This was down from EUR 69.3 billion in 2015 due
to the transfer of ownership of the CESEE
subsidiaries of UniCredit Bank Austria to the
UniCredit Group.
(
18
) Operations in Turkey are no longer part of Austria's
exposure to CESEE since October 2016.
3.2.1. NATIONALISED BANKS
Following a first unsuccessful offer, the
creditors of HETA accepted a second settlement
offer by the state of Carinthia.
In September
2016, Carinthia made a second offer to the
creditors of HETA to acquire certain the HETA
debt instruments for which Carinthia is statutorily
liable as deficiency guarantor (for the State aid
decision, see Commission 2016b). The offer,
which had to be accepted by a two-thirds majority
of HETA creditors in order to be implemented,
was accepted by creditors representing EUR 10.7
billion or 98.71 % of all HETA debt instruments.
The central government’s financial contribution is
substantial, leaving Carinthia with a minor share of
up to EUR 1.2 billion of the total cost, which will
be funded by a loan from the federal government
via its financing agency OeBFA. As all HETA
liabilities were already included in the government
accounts, honouring the offer is not expected to
imply additional costs for the general government.
The remaining assets of the three public
financial defeasance vehicles are being
progressively divested, with different time
horizons and limited risks overall.
The liabilities
of HETA, KA Finanz and Immigon had been
recorded as part of government debt, increasing it
significantly over 2009-2015 (see Graph 1.10, and
Commission, 2016c). The impaired assets of the
three vehicles are being divested over time in order
to cover the respective liabilities and allow a
corresponding reduction in government debt. In
the case of HETA, the impaired assets amounted to
around EUR 14.3 billion at the end of 2015. The
wind-down of HETA’s assets is expected to be
completed by 2020, but the bulk of assets is likely
to be divested already by 2018. The assets have
undergone different valuations, with the last
performed by the Financial Market Authority in
April 2016. As this valuation took a rather
conservative approach, risks that yields will be
lower than the expected values are limited. The
impaired assets of Immigon, a wind-down entity
created from the split of Österreichische
Volksbanken, amounted to around EUR 3 billion
at the end of 2015. Their resolution is expected to
be completed by 2017. In the case of KA Finanz,
the winding-down period of the remaining assets
amounting to EUR 12.9 billion is much longer.
However, the overall risk is limited as the rating of
the assets is relatively positive.
22
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0026.png
3.3. LABOUR MARKET, EDUCATION AND SOCIAL POLICIES
3.3.1. LABOUR MARKET
The labour market in Austria, although
affected by increased unemployment, remains
one of the best-performing in the EU.
Because
of weaker economic performance the labour
market has recently faced some difficulty in
absorbing the increased labour supply. Although
among the lowest in Europe, the unemployment
rate of 6.1 % (in Q3 2016) was the highest Austria
has seen, at least since 1968. However, this
historical peak is just above the earlier peak of
2004, and the increase in unemployment stopped
by the summer of 2016 as GDP growth picked up.
At the same time some groups of the working-age
population still suffer from weaker labour market
outcomes, notably older workers, low skilled
workers, women and people with a migrant
background.
The increasing labour supply has improved
growth potential and demographic trends, but
has not been fully absorbed by employment.
Labour immigration and an increasing activation
of older workers and women have been expanding
labour supply. Austria had one of the highest net
migration rates in the EU between 2000 and 2015.
Annually some 42 000 more people immigrated to
Austria than emigrated. Furthermore, Austria was
one of the main destinations of posted workers and
received, in net terms, about 60 000 such workers
in 2014. Since 2000, immigration has more than
compensated the effect of demographic ageing,
and the working-age population has expanded by
370 000 (6.9 %). The activity rate for older
workers rose from 47.2 % in 2000 to 62.9 % in
2015. For women it increased from 65.1 % to
74.0 % in the same period. In addition, economic
growth of less than 1 % in real terms between 2012
and 2015 was too weak to absorb the increasing
labour supply.
An increasing labour supply is not necessarily
in contradiction with lower unemployment.
Until 2011 unemployment fell from its 2004 peak
even though the labour supply was already
expanding. In addition, even if unemployment
started to increase in 2011, the long-term
unemployment rate has remained relatively low, at
1.7 % compared with the EU average of 4.5 % in
2015, and turnover on the labour market has
remained high. This is also explained by the high
seasonality of economic sectors like tourism and
construction. Most of the jobs created in recent
years are part-time (full-time employment has
picked up only recently) and a majority of the new
positions are in the low-wage sector.
Graph 3.3.1:
Labour market — key indicators
14
12
10
8
% of active
pop.
% of total
pop.
80
79
78
77
76
75
6
4
2
0
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
74
73
72
71
70
Activity rate 20-64 (rhs)
Unemployment rate 15-64
Long-term unemployment rate 15-64
Young unemployment rate 15-24
NEET
Source:
European Commission
Graph 3.3.2:
Unemployment rate by country of birth
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
Other EU-born
Non-EU born
Austrian born
%
Source:
European Commission
The current increase in unemployment is
concentrated in certain groups.
It affected in
particular
non-EU
born
people,
whose
unemployment rate in 2015 was 12.6 % compared
to 4.6 % for native-born people (see Graph 3.3.2).
The increase also particularly hit the low-skilled,
11.2 % of whom were unemployed in 2015,
compared to 5.7 % for all skill levels. By contrast,
the labour market situation of better-skilled
workers remained good. People with low
23
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0027.png
3.3. Labour market, education and social policies
qualifications also face the highest risk of long-
lasting
unemployment
(see
Graph 3.3.3).
Projections show that supply and demand are
going to diverge even further for low-qualified
labour (CEDEFOP, 2015). The labour force with
the lowest skills is expected to shrink, but the
number of such jobs is expected to shrink by far
more.
Graph 3.3.3:
Unemployment rate by educational
attainment
14
12
% labour force,
20-64
policy in response to the rise in unemployment. It
increased the staff of the Public Employment
Service Austria, reintroduced skilled workers
grants, stepped up initial and job-related training
and introduced a training guarantee for persons up
to the age of 25. Furthermore, non-wage labour
costs are being reduced by nearly EUR 1 billion in
several steps from 2016 to 2018 and further
reductions in form of an employment bonus is
announced in the government programme 2017-18.
Graph 3.3.4:
Regional dispersion of unemployment
0.7
0.6
10
8
6
4
2
0
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
BE
AT
FR
RO
DE
2015
Note: Unemployment rates ages 20-64 (% of labour force),
non-seasonally adjusted
Source:
European Commission
Labour market performance also varies across
regions.
Compared to the unemployment peak of
2004, the regional distribution of unemployment in
Austria has increased (see Graph 3.3.4). A regional
comparison of unemployment data shows an east-
west gap, with a stronger increase in
unemployment over recent years in the eastern part
of the country (Vienna, Lower Austria, Upper
Austria, Burgenland). Vienna is especially affected
by the strong increase in unemployment
(particularly long-term unemployment). In its
programme 2017-18 the government proposes
several measures for increasing mobility on the
Austrian labour market.
Expenditure on labour market policies has
increased somewhat as unemployment has
risen.
The budget for active and passive labour
market policies is projected to reach
EUR 8.6 billion in 2017, up from EUR 6.1 billion
in 2012. In September 2016 the government took a
number of measures to strengthen labour market
05
06
High skilled
07
08
09
Medium skilled
10
11
12
13
14
Low skilled
15
16Q1-Q3
HU
2004
CZ
UK
PL
NL
SE
Note: Dispersion is measured as the coefficient (between 0
and 1) of variation of unemployment rates across NUTS2
regions
Source:
European Commission
Getting older workers into work remains a
challenge, although increasing and targeted
activation measures are delivering good results.
The employment rate of older workers has been
continuously increasing as a result of government
measures targeting this age group, but still only
49.7 % of people aged 55-64 were employed in the
third quarter of 2016, below the EU average of
55.6 %. The employment rate of older women
(41.5 % in the third quarter of 2016) remained
significantly lower than that of men (58.3 %).
Those over 50 face a comparatively lower risk of
becoming unemployed, but once they lose their job
they tend to remain unemployed for a relatively
long period. Over the last few years, the Austrian
government has increased efforts to deliver active
labour market policies targeting these groups, and
employers are encouraged to provide age-friendly
working conditions and employ older workers.
These measures are helping to increase their
24
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0028.png
3.3. Labour market, education and social policies
employability and keep them longer in
employment. Furthermore, the government
programme 2017-18 announces an employment
initiative of yearly up to 20 000 new jobs for long-
term unemployed above the age of 50. In this
programme, the government also announced its
intention to modify the current provisions in the
field of dismissal protection to facilitate hiring
older workers.
Women’s labour market potential is underused,
as reflected in the high share of part-time
employment and the high gender pay gap.
While the employment rate of women aged 20-64
is above the EU average (70.8 % vs 65.3 % in the
second quarter of 2016), taking full-time
equivalents into account brings it back to average
levels (55.1 % v the EU average of 55.3 % in
2015). The gender gap in pay remains wide
(22.2 % in 2014, compared to the EU average of
16.1 %) but has narrowed slightly (from 24 % in
2010). The high and above-average proportion of
women working part-time is not decreasing and is
largely driven by care responsibilities. In 2015,
52.2 % of young Austrian women (aged 15-39)
working part-time mentioned caring for children or
the elderly as their main reason for part-time work.
This is well above the EU average of 33.6 %.
Childcare provision is improving but Austria is
still below the Barcelona target for children
under 3 years of age.
The number of early
childcare places for children under 3 has been
increased, but the current level of 25.5 % in
2015/2016 is still below the Barcelona target for
this group of 33 %. Moreover, there are still major
regional differences in the level, e.g. Vienna
45.1 %, Upper Austria 14.5 %, Styria 13.4 %,
Carinthia 20.6 % (Statistik Austria 2016).
Furthermore, the percentage of children staying in
formal childcare for 30 hours or more is far below
the EU average for all age groups from 0 to 12
years. A nationwide needs assessment of
additional care places is so far lacking. Women are
still interrupting their professional career for a
relatively long period after giving birth, supported
by the relatively generous system of parental leave
allowances. The share of dependents cared for by
family members in their own or their family’s
home is relatively high. The vast majority of care
givers are working-age women. No high-quality,
recent data exist on the share of informal provision
in the total provision of long-term care, or on the
share of working-age women providing informal
and/or unpaid care.
The proportion of the population with a
migrant background is increasing, while their
labour market potential is underused.
Some
9.3 % of the Austrian population was born outside
the EU, and with an employment rate of 60.6 % in
2015 they are much less likely to be in
employment than native-born people, whose rate
was 76.4 %. By contrast, people born in other EU
countries have an employment rate that is similar
to the native-born population. Since 2011 the gap
has widened as the employment rate of native-born
people has increased by 0.6 pps while that of non-
EU-born people has declined by 3.6 pps.
Employment rates for those born outside the EU
lag behind those for native-born people at all
qualification levels (see Graph 3.3.5) but some
groups appear to face particular challenges. The
female employment rate differs according to the
country of origin. Women born in other EU
countries have similar employment rates to native-
born women (69.5 % v 72.2 % in 2015), while
women born outside the EU have significantly
lower rates (47.6 %).
Graph 3.3.5:
Employment rate by qualifications and country
of birth (2015)
100
90
80
70
60
50
40
4.6
9.6
17.6
%
30
49.5
20
10
66.5
68.2
0
1.Low
Non-EU born
2.Medium
Gap to Austrian born
3.High
Austrian born
Source:
European Commission
People born outside the EU are often under-
employed and face a high risk of being
overqualified when employed.
According to data
of the ad hoc module of the Labour Force Survey
2014 (Statistik Austria, 2015a), 23.5 % of foreign-
25
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0029.png
3.3. Labour market, education and social policies
born people in Austria reported being
overqualified for their current job against 8.8 % of
the native-born population. Especially for some
groups of non-EU nationals this combines with
insufficient knowledge of German, a sometimes
relatively low level of formal education and the
lack of recognition of formal qualifications
obtained abroad. According to the survey
mentioned above, around 75 % of the non-EU
nationals received their qualifications outside
Austria but only around 25 % of them applied for
them to be recognised. The recently adopted
Recognition Act provides various tools to facilitate
the recognition of qualifications of non-EU
nationals. The legal entitlement to recognition and
to an assessment procedure should lead to better
labour market integration of non-EU nationals with
qualifications obtained abroad and help them find
jobs corresponding to their qualification levels
more quickly.
3.3.2. SOCIAL POLICIES
achievements
and
the
influence
of
socioeconomic status remains important.
The
performance of 15-year-olds in mathematics,
reading and science worsened compared to 2012 as
measured by the 2015 PISA test (OECD
Programme for International Student Assessment)
(see Graph 3.3.6). The proportion of low achievers
reached 21 % in science and 22 % in reading and
maths. The share of top performers in science
decreased from 10 % in 2006 to 8 % in 2015.
These developments may hinder future potential to
innovate. Education outcomes for those with an
immigrant background remained significantly
below those of the population without an
immigration background. The share of low
achievers in science for both first generation
immigrants and children of immigrants in Austria
is among the most pronounced among EU
countries even when adjusted for socioeconomic
status. Between 2012 and 2015, in Austria the
share of low performers in science increased by 5
pps, more than in Finland and Germany, while for
instance Denmark and Sweden registered a
decrease.
Graph 3.3.6:
PISA performance 2012 -2015 in science -
share of top and low performers
25
20
15
%
The social situation is overall good.
The
proportion of the population at risk of poverty or
social exclusion decreased in 2015 and is one of
the lowest in the EU (18.3 % in 2015 against the
EU average of 23.7 %). The wide gender gaps in
pay, working hours and length of working life
persist, impacting pension adequacy and leading to
a substantial difference between the at-risk-of-
poverty rate for women aged 65 and over (15.1 %)
and that of men of the same age (10.7 %).
Although the effective retirement age is
continuously
increasing,
harmonising
the
retirement ages for men and women by increasing
the statutory retirement age for women, combined
with respective job creation policies, would reduce
the gender gap in pay and pensions and reduce the
risk of poverty for women aged 65 and over. In
addition, the situation of specific groups at risk of
poverty in Austria remains a concern. This applies
in particular to the children of foreign-born
parents, with poverty rates of 34.6 %, above the
EU average of 33.2 %, and the long-term
unemployed.
10
5
0
Top performers
Low performers
Top performers
Low performers
Top performers
Low performers
Top performers
Low performers
Top performers
Low performers
AT
FI
NL
DE
SE
DK
Source:
OECD (2016) PISA 2015, table 1.2.2a
3.3.3. EDUCATION
The amount of science instruction available differs
significantly
between
advantaged
and
disadvantaged schools; in addition both grade
repetition and truancy have increased. Austria has
halved the gender gap in reading but boys continue
to outperform girls in both maths and science.
School education in Austria produces only
average outcomes in terms of basic skills
26
Top performers
Low performers
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
3.3. Labour market, education and social policies
Recent measures aim at improving skill levels.
The recently adopted Act on an education and
training obligation until the age of 18
(Ausbildungspflichtgesetz) provides a framework
for upgrading the skills of disadvantaged young
people. In addition, planned standardised forms of
partial qualifications aim at improving the
educational achievement of learners. Though
participation in lifelong learning in Austria, at
14.4 %, almost reaches the EU benchmark of
15 %, the ‘Educational guidance and counselling
Austria’ (Bildungsberatung
Österreich)
initiative
is promoting the extension and further
development of cost-free educational guidance and
counselling for adults (CEDEFOP, 2016). This is
intended to increase their employability.
The government is starting to implement the
first package of the November 2015 education
reform plan.
It provides for a better transition by
linking the last compulsory year of childhood
education and the first 2 years of primary school.
This allows for a more intensive exchange of
information between the institutions and more
tailor-made support to students, including language
support, if needed. Education outcomes are
recorded in the ‘education compass’ and the
system of grading has been adapted in primary
schools. The government programme 2017-18
proposes increasing autonomy of schools and
further strengthening early childhood education
and care through a pilot project exploring
compulsory attendance from age 4 on. The number
of all-day school places more than doubled
between 2007 and 2016 from 77 000 to
approximately 160 000. About 40 % of school
locations now offer all-day schooling, but only
5 % of schools have a curriculum with classes
during the whole day (OECD, 2016a). Austria
already has a EUR 375 million investment
programme to increase the number of all-day
schools between 2015 and 2019. A further
EUR 750 million from federal funding has been
made available for the coming 8 years, with a
particular focus in the first 2 years on increasing
the number of schools with an integrated
curriculum. Simplifying the administration of these
funds will help regions to use them fully, which
has not always been the case in the past.
Austrian teachers do not make sufficient use of
digital teaching tools yet.
According to the
Austrian Education Report 2015 nearly all teachers
— 90 %, irrespective of their age — use digital
means and the internet for preparing lessons but
much less often during the lessons themselves. The
report finds that teachers do not know enough
about relevant digital teaching methods. A new
digitalisation strategy in the government
programme 2017-18 envisages equipping all
schools with broad band and wireless internet
access by 2020/21 and introducing teaching basic
digital skills into the regular curriculum of primary
and lower secondary schools.
Austria faces challenges in meeting the growing
demand of ICT specialists, digital skills among
the general workforce and e-entrepreneurs.
The
share of ICT specialists in the Austrian workforce
of around 4 % is only around the EU average.
Students' motivation to engage in science has
further deteriorated since 2006 and is now at one
of the lowest levels in the EU. Even if interest in
science topics has risen back to the OECD average
again (Bifie, 2016), this comparative lack of
motivation does not help achieve the increase in
human resources devoted to science, technology,
engineering and mathematics that is needed for
Austria to become an innovation leader. Education
and digital skills is one of the 12 focus areas of the
Digital Roadmap Austria.
Funding remains an issue in the higher
education system and is preventing Austria
from improving education outcomes.
Austria’s
tertiary attainment rate was 38.7 % in 2015, the
same as the EU average. Austria reached its
Europe 2020 national target of 38 %. Austria has a
comparatively larger share of studies on ISCED 5
level (OECD 2016b). In 2014, per 1 000
population in the age group 20-29 Austria had
22.5 graduates
in
science,
mathematics,
computing, engineering, manufacturing &
construction, above the EU average of
18.7 graduates. However, it has a lower proportion
of graduates at higher qualification levels (i.e.
master’s degrees and PhDs) than those countries it
aims to join in its ambition to become an
innovation leader. The big increases in student
numbers over recent years have not been matched
by corresponding staff or funding increases (EUA,
2016). A concept for capacity based financing of
university places is planned in the government
programme 2017-18 and to be implemented by
2019. The government’s university development
plan for 2016-2021 had already identified a
27
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0031.png
3.3. Labour market, education and social policies
funding gap of EUR 500 million, in addition to the
EUR 600 million generally available for 2016-
2018 to implement such a scheme based on
capacity oriented financing. The additional
EUR 116 million granted to higher education in
2016 falls short of covering this. Adequate funding
and supportive student/staff ratios are a
precondition for realising the ambition of having a
higher education system that is characterised by
excellence. In addition, Austria has developed a
Box 3.3.1:
strategy in 2016 to improve the social dimension in
higher education and therefore make better use of
the human capital available.
Integration of refugees
Austria has made considerable efforts to accommodate and integrate refugees.
The Austrian
government decided in 2016 to implement a programme containing a variety of measures to swiftly integrate
refugees and to some extent also those asylum seekers considered to have prospects of being granted
residency. Key features of this programme are an expansion of German-language and orientation courses,
including education on Austrian values and integration requirements. The package also supports initiatives
for community services to be performed by asylum seekers. For those asylum seekers, with high prospects
of being granted residency, a compulsory integration year together with language classes is planned. The
recently adopted Recognition Act aims to speed up recognition of the qualifications of non-EU nationals and
to introduce more flexible procedures for those who have no formal evidence (certificates) of their
qualifications. Several organisations and the social partners are proposing initiatives for developing an
integration process that starts at the moment of the asylum application, including faster and broader access
to the labour market. Overall, it can be expected that integrating migrants and refugees who entered the
country in 2015-2016 into the labour market quickly and successfully could also help Austriaʼs social
cohesion and growth as well as generate additional tax revenues.
Asylum seekers and refugees are entering the labour market only gradually.
Asylum seekers can enter
the Austrian labour market after a waiting period of 3 months, based on a labour market test that allows
entry into a number of sectors (e.g. tourism and agriculture as well as apprenticeships in occupations facing
shortages). Recognised refugees have full access to the labour market, but face considerable difficulties in
finding a job because of their insufficient knowledge of German, their skills and discrimination (see Country
Report 2016). Overall, there appears to be further room for increasing the number and reach of language
courses — German language courses for refugees often do not go beyond B1 level (BMEIA, 2016). The
process of identifying and registering the qualification level based on competency checks has improved, but
it is still difficult to give an overall assessment of refugees’ qualification levels.
Austria faces a challenge to integrate a large number of asylum seekers and refugees into its education
system.
In 2015, 88 851 people applied for asylum in Austria and by September 2016 a further 35 000 had
done so. The 2015 level was three times the 2014 figure and included 9 331 unaccompanied minors under
18 years and 663 under 14. Integrating over 9 000 pupils (about 1 % of the total school population) into
compulsory schools is a challenge, particularly since refugees tend to concentrate in metropolitan areas, with
a focus on Vienna. This means there is a need to create additional classes and to allocate additional
resources for teaching German as a second language, for integrating pupils from a variety of language
backgrounds and for dealing with traumatised children.
The federal and regional governments have taken several measures to address the integration of
refugees.
In all nine regions, a total of 99 specific transition classes for approximately 1 900 young asylum
seekers/refugees were created. To expand the language training available to refugees additional resources
are being invested in 2016 and 2017, respectively. About 1 150 additional teachers and mobile intercultural
teams with a staff of 80 have been engaged, with most of them in compulsory education. Additional funds
are being made available to finance one-year transition levels in vocational education and training schools
and colleges that allow refugees to catch up on language and other skills. For younger refugees above the
compulsory school age, approximately 2 400 offers for basic education courses focusing on literacy are
available within the Initiative for Adult Education.
28
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0032.png
3.4. INVESTMENT
3.4.1. GENERAL INVESTMENT SITUATION
Investment growth returned in 2016, but with
continued weaknesses of investment by SMEs
and in the service sector.
Investment increased by
3.6 % in 2016 after an extended period of
stagnation since the crisis, but is expected to grow
more slowly in 2017 (2.4 %) and 2018 (2.0 %). On
a quarterly basis, investments picked up in Q4 of
2015 (0.8 %), peaked in Q1 of 2016 (1.3 %) and
then declined in the two next quarters (1.2 % in Q2
and 0.9 % in Q3), according to WIFO (Austrian
Institute of Economic Research). The good
investment growth in 2016 is mostly driven by
strong equipment investment as firms work
through a backlog of necessary replacements.
Business expansion is the key driver for
investment only for a minority of businesses
(39 %), which cited digitalisation and expected
improvements in market conditions as their main
motives to invest. Investment plans are strong in
the manufacturing and exporting sectors, while
businesses in the service sector (other than
tourism) and SMEs in general are more hesitant
(WKÖ, 2016). Increased investment by Austrian
businesses, notably investment in business
expansion, is crucial for sustained growth and to
absorb the increasing labour supply (see Section
3.3).
3.4.1) (
20
). The number of trades subject to a
particular access requirement is twice as high in
Austria as, for example, in Germany. This high
level of regulation has gone hand in hand with
declining wage-adjusted labour productivity and
negative levels of allocative efficiency in this area
(European Commission, 2016a, p. 67). It also
limits employment and contributes to wage
inequalities. Around 22 % of the Austrian labour
force works directly in regulated professions.
Graph 3.4.1:
Regulatory restrictiveness indicator 2016
Austria and the EU
Tourist guide
Real estate agent
Patent agent
Lawyer
Civil engineer
Architect
Accountant
00
01
EU
AT
02
03
score
04
Source:
European Commission
3.4.2. REGULATORY FRAMEWORK IN THE
SERVICES SECTOR
Austria remains one of the Member States with
the highest regulatory barriers in the services
sector.
In Austria, market services(
19
) directly
account for 50 % of GDP and 45 % of employment
(European
Commission,
2016d,
pp. 2-3).
Furthermore, around 35 % of the value created by
Austrian manufacturing is created by service
inputs (ECSIP, 2014, p. 59). Better performance in
the services provided to firms (business services)
would therefore have positive productivity effects
on Austrian manufacturing too. In key business
services, such as legal, accounting, architectural
and engineering services, Austrian regulation is
restrictive and, except for lawyers and accountants,
significantly more restrictive than the EU average
(European Commission, 2016e/f and see Graph
(
19
) Market services are defined as NACE sectors G to N.
The Austrian government announced a revision
of the trade licence act in late 2016 which will
bring welcome improvements but falls short of
removing key barriers.
The trade licence act
(Gewerbeordnung) regulates access to and
exercise of currently around 540 trades. Apart
from administrative simplification aspects, the
draft
revision
removes
specific
access
requirements for 19 of these trades (Teilgewerbe)
but maintains specific access requirement for 80
trades (reglementierte
Gewerbe).
This compares to
41 of such trades in, for example, Germany and
includes trades which typically present low risks to
consumers. The planned reform also increases the
scope of activities a tradesperson can exercise in
other trades without being required to obtain an
additional licence. As a consequence of the current
(
20
) For civil engineers Austria has the most restrictive
regulation among EU Member States, for architects the
second most restrictive and for patent/trademark agents the
third most restrictive.
29
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0033.png
3.4. Investment
requirement to hold separate licences, there are one
third more licences than licence holders. The scope
increase will mitigate but not remove this issue.
Other efforts to lower access and exercise
barriers in business services and regulated
professions are not progressing.
Austria has not
yet used the mutual evaluation of regulated
professions to systematically lower regulatory
barriers. By way of numerical example, reducing
the restrictiveness for patent agents in Austria to
the EU average could raise the number of firms by
around 1 % and reduce the profession’s gross
operating rate by 3 %, thus lowering the input
costs of its customers (European Commission,
2016f). Restrictions on interdisciplinary firms
between regulated professions remain in force in
Austria and particularly affect architects, engineers
and patent/trademark agents. Efforts to
systematically review such restrictions started in
November 2015 but have not resulted in changes,
despite a genuine business demand to receive
interdisciplinary services from one provider. A
similar limiting effect can result from
shareholding, company form or exclusivity
requirements, such as exist in Austria notably for
architects, engineers and patent/trademark agents.
Professions such as architects, engineers,
accountants, tax advisers, patent/trademark agents
and tourist guides also have a particularly wide
scope of activities reserved to them in Austria. In
combination with access requirements or high
training obligations, this can limit competition and
investment in the activities covered.
Commission, 2016i). More recently start-up
numbers have been increasing, by 3.5 % from
2015 to 2016 (WKÖ, 2017), partly reflecting the
general recovery of the economy. Implementing its
2015 start-up strategy (Land
der Gründer)
(BMWFW, 2015), in July 2016 Austria announced
a package of measures to facilitate the creation of
new businesses, comprising financial support and
administrative simplification measures.
Austrian start-ups have a good chance of
surviving but face difficulties in scaling up.
The
business survival rate in Austria is above the EU
average (74 % compared to 65 %, both 2013;
European Commission, 2016i). However, in
Austria the share of high-growth firms among
active companies with at least 10 employees is at
7.3 % considerably below the EU average of 9.2 %
(see Graph 3.4.2). This lack of high-growth firms
presents Austria with a productivity challenge, as
company productivity is highly correlated with
firm size. While studies have shown that start-ups
making the transition to become bigger firms
create a disproportionate number of new jobs
(European Commission 2016g), fast-growing
innovative firms represented only about 2.1 % of
employment in the Austrian business economy
compared with an EU average of 3.3 % (2014;
European Commission 2016i).
Business creation and enterprise growth are
held back by a combination of regulatory and
cultural obstacles.
Starting a business in Austria
takes 8 days (the second longest in the EU) and
costs EUR 305 on average, which does not meet
the EU targets of 3 days and EUR 100 set by the
Council in 2011 (figures refer to limited liability
companies) (European Commission, 2016h). In the
composite indicator-set of framework conditions
for high-growth innovative enterprises (European
Commission, 2016i), entrepreneurial culture is an
area where Austria scores below the EU average
(0.32 compared to 0.42). Fear of failure, for
example, is an important deterrent for would-be
entrepreneurs in Austria, which is among the few
European countries where resolving insolvencies
(and thus preparing the ground for an entrepreneur
to get a second chance) has become more difficult
in recent years (European Commission, 2016j,
3.4.3. INVESTMENT IN BUSINESS CREATION AND
SCALING UP
Austria’s rate of creating new businesses is
growing in line with the recovering economy,
but from a comparatively low level.
Austrian
start-ups create on average 2.4 jobs in the first year
and 7.4 jobs in the first 3 years (BMWFW, 2015,
p. 7), which shows the importance of business
creation for employment. Austria’s business
environment has traditionally been difficult for
starting a business. Its enterprise birth rate(
21
) was
7.4 % compared to an EU average of 10.8 % in
2013, the last year of EU-wide data (European
(
21
) The number refers to newly created enterprises as a
percentage of the total number of active enterprises.
30
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0034.png
3.4. Investment
p. 58) (
22
). In addition, direct transfers of registered
offices from Austria abroad or vice-versa are still
not possible under national legislation, except for
companies which use the Societas Europaea legal
form. This lack of a suitable framework makes it
more difficult and costly for Austrian companies
and companies from other European countries
alike to scale up on a cross-border basis and take
advantage of business opportunities offered by the
single market.
Graph 3.4.2:
High-growth enterprises as % of all active
enterprises with at least 10 employees
15
%
3.4.4. FUNDING OF PRIVATE SECTOR
INVESTMENT
10
5
Austria has no short-term bottlenecks
regarding bank credit, but private sector
investment would benefit from a more
developed equity financing culture.
Austrian
companies traditionally rely on bank lending for
funding(
23
) and only 7 % of Austrian businesses
consider finding bank credit to be a problem
(European Commission, 2016k). A more
diversified Austrian funding system would
however broaden the scope of companies, projects
and business models that receive funding and
would also allow a broader class of citizens to
participate and benefit in high-growth projects and
firms. This could compensate for the declining
availability of small-scale financing (business
loans of less than EUR 25 000) (European
Commission, 2016l, p. 11). The alternative
financing law adopted in 2015 has resulted in a
noticeable
increase
in
crowdfunding,
demonstrating the positive impact that the
regulatory framework can have on funding
options. Social entrepreneurship and (family)
foundations are untapped sources of funding.
Venture capital financing in Austria remains
scarce and relies heavily on the public sector.
Venture capital and private equity fund volumes in
Austria (as a proportion of GDP) decreased by
more than two thirds in the aftermath of the
financial crisis and have not yet recovered. The
availability of venture capital in Austria also
remains below the EU average (0.051 % of GDP in
2015 versus 0.063 % at EU level) (European
Commission, 2016m). The main weakness is the
mobilisation of own funds within Austria – the
inflow of risk capital is higher than the outflow,
which suggests that there are enough suitable
projects to invest in. The public sector carries out a
high share of venture capital investment due to the
weakness of private financing. Austria has
announced a number of measures to stimulate
private venture capital financing, such as the
introduction of a risk capital premium
(Risikokapitalprämie), an increase in the volume
of
guarantees
given
by
the
Austria
(
23
) According to the 2016 SAFE survey (p. 18), 90 % of
Austrian SMEs do not consider equity capital as relevant
for their funding needs, which is higher than in previous
years.
0
Source:
European Commission
Austria has started to implement fiscal
incentives to stimulate investment.
Given the
impact of taxation and other excises on investment
incentives, Austria has announced a number of
measures in late 2016 and early 2017. These
include partly subsidizing social security
contributions of innovative start-ups from social
security contributions for the first 3 employees and
the first 3 years, thereby mitigating an important
obstacle to job creation by small firms (see also
Section 3.3). Austria also plans to provide a total
of EUR 175 million to SMEs which increase their
capital goods investment compared to the 3
preceding years (Investitionszuwachsprämie).
Finally, Austria announced to grant more
favourable depreciation possibilities to companies
with more than 250 employees for promoting
investment. Such firms are allowed an additional
write-down of 30 % on investment goods in 2017.
(
22
) In January 2017, Austria has announced a revision of the
insolvency rules to allow failed entrepreneurs a faster
resolution of the insolvency proceedings.
MT
UK
LV
IE
SE
HU
SK
LT
BG
HR
FI
LU
NL
ES
PL
EU
DK
EE
PT
DE
FR
CZ
BE
SI
AT
IT
RO
CY
31
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0035.png
3.4. Investment
Wirtschaftsservice, the creation of an Austrian
private-equity growth fund (EUR 30 million with
expected leverage to EUR 100 million), as well as
a new participation holding (Mittelstands-
finanzierunggesellschaft).
Graph 3.4.3:
Venture capital as % of GDP
0.14
0.12
0.10
0.08
0.06
0.04
% of GDP
most often cited by Austrian businesses (WKÖ,
2016). On average Austria ranks slightly above
other Member States in terms of businesses using
digital technology (European Commission, 2017b).
Austrian businesses are ahead of their European
peers in the use of e-invoicing. This is related to
e-invoicing requirements by Austrian public
authorities and demonstrates how important
government practices can be in promoting the
uptake of digital technologies. But only 15 % of
Austrian SMEs sell online, which despite a 1 pps
increase from 2015 to 2016 is still below the EU
average. While 41 % of Austrian firms exchange
value chain data electronically (above the EU
average of 36%), only 10 % use cloud services
(below the EU average of 13.5 %).
Austria has started to screen and adapt its
regulatory framework to the challenges and
opportunities of digital business models.
Digital
business models, such as those of the collaborative
economy, can provide significant price and choice
advantages for Austrian consumers. They also
allow a wider range of people to participate
productively in the economy than traditional
business models. The uptake of such business
models in Austria is lagging behind the EU
average, with only 2 % of Austrian consumers
having participated in the collaborative economy
and 81 % not having even heard of it (the
respective EU averages are 5 % and 73 %) (ING,
2015, p. 5). Among the Austrian users of these
services, liability questions seem to be a
preoccupation (TNS, 2016, p. 23), while public
authorities have focused on taxation questions
(European Commission 2016n, pp. 42)(
24
).
Adopting a modern regulatory framework for
digital business models is one of the 12 guiding
principles of the Digital Roadmap for Austria
(BKA, BMWFW, 2017).
0.02
0.00
Source:
European Commission
Public capital markets underperform in
providing access to capital markets for SMEs
and mid-caps.
Such markets play a pivotal role in
offering exit options for investors through, for
example, initial public offerings. However, the
high administrative burden of regulation,
insufficient research on listed SMEs in Austria and
the resulting low visibility of listed companies for
potential investors create bottlenecks that prevent
junior market segments from growing. Multilateral
trading facilities are particularly suitable to
facilitate SME access to public capital markets.
The respective offering of the Vienna Stock
Exchange (Wiener
Börse)
is however restricted to
registered shares, which hampers its growth
(BMWFW, 2016, p. 47). A further instrument is
the indirect stock exchange participation of SMEs
via a quoted holding company.
EE
FI
UK
LV
NL
IE
FR
LT
SE
BE
CY
PT
EU
DK
HU
HR
AT
DE
LU
ES
PL
IT
BG
RO
CZ
SK
SI
EL
MT
3.4.5. INVESTMENT IN DIGITAL
TRANSFORMATION
(
24
) On 9 November 2016 the Austrian government adopted a
legislative initiative concerning online hotel booking
platforms and their contractual relation to accommodation
providers. In January 2017, Austria announced measures to
address taxation issues resulting from online activities of
foreign firms.
Austrian businesses excel in the use of some
digital technologies (e.g. e-invoicing), but lag
behind their peers in others (e.g. e-commerce).
Digitalisation is one of the investment reasons
32
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0036.png
3.4. Investment
Box 3.4.1:
Investment challenges and reforms in Austria
Section 1. Macroeconomic perspective
Investment in Austria (see also Section 1) held up fairly well throughout the financial crisis. Compared to
the EU average the decline was less severe and the recovery quicker. Since the end of 2015 investment
activity by the corporate sector has picked up, partly due to replacement needs. Higher private consumption
triggered by the 2016 tax reform has also helped increase investment.
Austrian companies have sufficient financial resources so it is not the availability of bank credit that is
acting as a macroeconomic constraint on investment but rather the lack of opportunities in a climate of
uncertainty and subdued consumption. Regarding public investment, housing demand in Austria is high due
to continuing immigration and a growing population. This calls for higher investment in social housing, but
the availability of fiscal space can constitute a macroeconomic constraint.
Section 2. Assessment of barriers to investment and ongoing reforms
Regulatory/ administrative burden
Public administration
Public
administration/
Public procurement /PPPs
Business
Judicial system
environment
Insolvency framework
Competition and regulatory framework
EPL & framework for labour contracts
Labour market/
Wages & wage setting
Education
Education
Legend:
CSR
Financial Sector
Taxation
/ Taxation
Access to finance
Cooperation btw academia, research and business
R&D&I
Financing of R&D&I
Business services / Regulated professions
Retail
Sector specific
Construction
regulation
Digital Economy / Telecom
Energy
Transport
CSR
No barrier to investment identified
CSR
Investment barriers that are also subject to a CSR
No progress
Limited progress
Some progress
Substantial progress
Fully addressed
Barriers to investment in Austria exist but are relatively modest overall, as the European Commissionʼs
assessment confirms (European Commission, 2015). Some reforms have been adopted in the area of labour
taxation (see Section 3.1) as well as regulated professions and administrative simplification (see
Section 3.4). Continued efforts and further reform measures to improve the business environment and better
meet consumption and housing demand will help strengthen overall investment in Austria.
Main barriers to investment and priority actions underway:
1. Taxes on labour as well as the overall tax wedge remain high despite the 2016 tax reform. Fiscal drag
tends to increase the tax wedge overtime, for which the announced indexation of tax brackets can help to
counter this effect (see Sections 1 and 3.1). Reducing labour costs for companies in general like the
reduction of non-wage labour costs for employers by around EUR 1 billion annually and shifting taxation to
more growth-friendly sources like property or environmental taxes can incentivise investment activities.
2. The high degree of regulation of the services sector as well as of trade licences constitutes a barrier to
investment and competition. While the reform of the trade licence act presented in 2016 brings some
improvements, restrictions on access to trades and professions, and to exercising them, continue to hinder
market access and business development (see Section 3.4).
3. Despite recent efforts, the business environment in Austria can benefit from more start-ups and scaling
up. The enterprise birth rate, while improving, is still on a low level as is the proportion of high-growth
companies. Business creation and growth are key triggers of investment and job creation (see Section 3.4).
33
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0037.png
3.5. SECTORAL POLICIES
3.5.1. INNOVATION POLICY
Austria ranks second among Member States on
public and private R&D spending but has not
yet achieved a matching performance in
innovation.
In Austria R&D spending as a
percentage of GDP amounted to 3.07 % in 2015
(Eurostat), the second-highest level in the EU.
Austria is also among the EU countries with the
strongest increase in R&D intensity since 2000, as
a result of increases in both public and business
R&D expenditure. However, like in other
comparable Member States, progress on R&D
intensity has slowed in recent years, especially for
public expenditure. Despite the high overall
spending levels, funding of basic research remains
low and there is scope to increase excellence in
research, a field where Austria scores only near the
EU average (11.7 % of publications are highly
cited, compared to an EU average of 10.5 % in
2013). The increase in the budget for universities
by EUR 615 million for the period 2016-2018 is an
important step. Public spending on R&D co-
financed by private companies, an indicator of the
level of public-private cooperation in R&D,
accounted for 0.042 % of Austria’s GDP in 2013,
compared with an EU average of 0.052 %.
Austria’s performance on innovation outputs
leaves room for improvement in some areas. These
include: the sales shares of new product
innovations (9.8 % in 2012, below the EU average
of 12.4 %); licence and patent revenues from
abroad (0.25 % of GDP in 2014, below the EU
average of 0.54 %); and medium- and high-tech
product exports (57.4 % in 2015, only slightly
above the EU average of 56.1 %).
Since formulating its innovation leadership
ambition in 2011, Austria has tabled a
multitude of initiatives and programmes but
has not yet evaluated their overall effectiveness.
In 2011 Austria formulated a comprehensive
national strategy to boost the performance of its
research and innovation system (Der
Weg zum
Innovation Leader).
Among the more recent
follow-up measures are the research action plan
published in 2015 and new guidelines for research,
technology and innovation funding which entered
into force on 1 January 2015. In line with a shift
from direct to indirect support such as tax
incentives, the research premium was increased
from 10 % to 12 % in January 2016. In early 2017
Austria announced a further increase to 14 %
effective as of January 2018. There has also been a
growing number of initiatives in recent years
focusing on improving knowledge transfer and
cooperation between public research (including
research at universities) and business. The ongoing
evaluation of the effectiveness of the research
premium could help to further optimise its impact.
Graph 3.5.1:
Evolution of business and public R&D intensity
2.5
(% of GDP)
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
Public R&D intensity (including higher education expenditure)
Business R&D intensity
Source:
European Commission
3.5.2. TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY
Austria faces particular challenges in ensuring
that next-generation broadband coverage also
extends to rural areas.
In 2016, 89 % of all
households in Austria were covered by a high-
speed broadband (next-generation access) network,
which is above the EU average. Austria increased
the coverage of high-speed broadband in rural
areas from 26 % in 2015 to 41 % in 2016 reducing
the 'digital divide' between urban and rural areas.
However, it only ranks at EU average in providing
adequate access in rural areas for individuals and
businesses to the digital economy and digital
society. In response to the challenge of financing
the high cost of high-speed roll out in rural and
mountainous areas, Austria has started in 2016 to
implement an ambitious funding scheme from the
proceeds of spectrum revenues – distribution of the
so-called Broadband Billion (Breitbandmilliarde).
In January 2017, Austria announced an increase of
its national targets of availability and take-up of
high-speed broadband, including connecting all
schools, SMEs and 75 % of citizens with high-
speed broadband by 2020. In addition, Austria has
34
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0038.png
3.5. Sectoral policies
started a process to create a 5G strategy until the
end of 2017 and aims at starting the roll-out of 5G
(mobile) technologies by 2018 leading to coverage
of all regional capitals (Landeshauptstädte) by
2020.
3.5.3. ENERGY, CLIMATE AND RESOURCES
Austria is on track to meet only two of the three
Europe 2020 targets on energy and climate
change.
It is well on track towards its 2020 target
on renewable energy and is stepping up its efforts
to ensure achievement of the energy efficiency
target. However, while it complied in 2015 with its
annual target for reducing greenhouse gas
emissions (EEA approximated data), Austria is
among five Member States which are expected to
miss their target for 2020(
25
).
Graph 3.5.2:
Europe 2020 emission reduction targets
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
IE
BE
LU
AT
DK
FI
DE
ES
UK
FR
NL
IT
PL
LV
SE
SI
EE
RO
SK
CZ
LT
HR
MT
EL
BG
PT
HU
CY
management and bidding-zone definition in central
Europe do not necessarily reflect actual congestion
accurately, and this is leading to increasing
limitations on cross-border flows of electricity.
The issue lacks a joint regional solution agreed by
all affected neighbours. Swift implementation of
the planned cross-border capacities in particular
with Germany, Italy and Switzerland remains a
priority. On gas infrastructure, Austria’s role as an
important transit country benefits from the
implementation of a more regional approach to
network planning. A further reinforcement of
interconnections is under development.
There is untapped potential for the Austrian
economy to benefit from more efficient resource
use.
Austria’s resource productivity (which
measures how efficiently the economy uses
material resources to produce wealth) improved
modestly from 1.60 EUR/kg in 2011 to 1.80
EUR/kg in 2015 but remained below the EU
average of 2.18 (Eurostat, 2016). This might be
explained by the high income and its export-
oriented manufacturing sector. No overarching
policy programme exists to move Austria towards
a circular economy, though various government
bodies have taken some measures and initiatives in
recent years relating to eco-innovation and, to a
limited extent, to the circular economy. In 2012
Austria adopted an action plan to improve its
overall resource efficiency by 50 % compared to
2008 by 2020. This target will not be met without
additional efforts, as resource productivity is
expected to grow by only 1.2 % a year under a no-
policy-change scenario.
(reduction as
% of base
year
emissions)
Projected reduction overachievement/not used allowance
Projected ESD emissions reduction in 2020
Gap between 2020 projections and reduction target
ESD reduction target for 2020
ESD allowed emission increases
Source:
European Commission
Active regional cooperation remains critical to
the development and operation of Austria’s
electricity and gas networks.
Implementation of
the new energy infrastructure law adopted in
January 2016 has started. This lays out the
framework for accelerating the granting of permits
for energy infrastructure projects and implements
the one-stop shop required under the TEN-E
Regulation (EU) No 347/2013. Minor progress
was achieved towards completing the high-tension
380-kV ring in Austria with the positive result of
the environmental assessment at regional level.
The current national arrangements for congestion
(
25
) See also table in Annex A.
3.5.4. PUBLIC PROCUREMENT AND E-
GOVERNMENT
Austria has one of the lowest publication rates
for public procurement contracts advertised at
EU level and also ranks low on joint
procurement between public authorities.
In
2015 the share of public contracts for works, goods
and services (including utilities and defence)
published by the Austrian authorities and entities
under EU procurement legislation was only 2.2 %
of GDP. This is a slight reduction of 0.1 pp. from
2014 and is only around half the EU average of
4.17 %. Contract notices from Austrian tendering
authorities are not always complete, as in the 32 %
of notices in 2016 where the actual contract
35
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0039.png
3.5. Sectoral policies
volume was not indicated. Furthermore, in 2016
Austria used central purchasing bodies on joint
procurement among public authorities for only 5 %
of tenders, which constitutes no improvement over
the 2011 value and is markedly below the EU
average of 9 % (European Commission, 2016o).
The principles of good public procurement
practices also hold for public-private partnerships
and mixed rental and public works agreements.
Austria
scores
highly
in
providing
e-government to businesses and citizens but
risks problems in rolling out e-procurement.
The vast majority (98 %) of the most-used public
services are available online, notably via the
platform ‘Digitales Österreich’. Of these, 58 % are
mobile friendly. The usability of these services
also scores high in terms of support and interactive
feedback functionalities. Austria plans to introduce
the right for citizens and businesses to digitally
contact public administration (Recht
auf
elektronischen Verkehr mit Behörden).
It also
plans to upgrade the existing e-ID card to an
Box 3.5.1:
A comprehensive income tax reform
electronic proof of identity (elektronischer
Identitätsnachweis)
and to further expand the
mobile accessibility of online public services. In
January 2017, Austria announced that the platform
‘data.gv.at’ will be expanded by 2020 to include
open data from the private sector and enable access
to all public data as open data. In contrast, Austria
has not yet fully transposed the e-procurement
provisions of the 2014 Procurement Directives (
26
).
Individual public authorities (e.g. Lower Austria,
Vienna) are beginning to introduce e-procurement
systems but these differ from each other. Ways
exist for the Austrian authorities to ensure that,
even with several technical solutions, bidders
throughout the EU could participate in calls for
tender. The authorities could do so by
implementing
the
principles
from
the
e-government action plan such as ‘once-only’
submitting information on the (winning) bidder
and ‘interoperability by default’, and by using
harmonised technical standards.
(
26
) Directives 2014/24/EU, 2014/25/EU and 2014/23/EU.
Selected highlights
The 2016 tax reform is a good example of how a comprehensive approach to reducing the cost of labour can
have a very positive effect on growth and economic activity. By lowering taxes for the large majority of
low- and medium-income earners and at the same time increasing the tax rate for the highest tax bracket, it
gave an impulse to private consumption and investment without putting too much strain on public finances.
The question is not merely about raising or lowering taxes but rather how to find the right mix of measures
that have a positive impact on growth without excessively undermining the fiscal position. The introduction
of a ‘negative tax’, in the form of a partial repayment of social security contributions, enabled low-income
earners with no taxable income to benefit from the reform as well.
The income tax reform took effect at the beginning of 2016 and increased households’ disposable income.
This gave a strong boost to private consumption, which grew by 1.5 % in 2016 after stagnating for 3 years
between -0.3 % and 0.0 %. This in turn spurred a 7.0 % jump in investment in machinery and equipment as
companies tried to keep up with the increased domestic demand. GDP growth in 2016 was thus driven
largely by the tax reform and its stimulating effect on private consumption and investment. Moreover, the
reduction in the tax wedge from 49.5 % to 46.7 % helped employment and investment further by lowering
the cost of labour in Austria and increasing the country's attractiveness to foreign investors.
Regarding the social dimension, the tax reform is a step towards improving equality and social cohesion.
The implicit tax rate on labour decreased by around 2 pps (European Commission, 2017c). This reduction
has been more pronounced in the lower half of the income distribution, amounting to around 2.4 pps for the
first five income deciles. The reform also contributed to reducing the poverty rate by about one pp. to
12.5 %. Before the reform 13.3 % of the population had an equivalised disposable income below the poverty
line of EUR 1 117 (60 % of median equivalised disposable income at the individual level).
Overall, the tax reform has increased economic growth and investment as well as social inclusion and
cohesion in Austria. These positive trends could be maintained in the future by continuing to reform the
taxation and social welfare system in order to further reduce the cost of labour.
36
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0040.png
ANNEX A
Overview table
Commitments
2016 Country-specific recommendations (CSRs)
CSR 1:
Ensure that the deviation from the medium-
term budgetary objective in 2016 and in 2017 is
limited to the allowance linked to the budgetary
impact of the exceptional inflow of refugees in 2015,
and to that effect achieve an annual fiscal adjustment
of 0.3 % of GDP in 2017 unless the medium-term
budgetary objective is respected with a lower effort.
Ensure the sustainability of the healthcare system,
and of the pension system by linking the statutory
pension age to life expectancy. Simplify, rationalise
and streamline fiscal relations and responsibilities
across the various layers of government.
Austria has made
some progress
in
addressing CSR 1 (this overall assessment of
CSR 1 does not include an assessment of
compliance with the Stability and Growth
Pact):
Summary assessment (
27
)
Ensure that the deviation from the medium-term
budgetary objective in 2016 and in 2017 is limited
to the allowance linked to the budgetary impact of
the exceptional inflow of refugees in 2015, and to
that effect achieve an annual fiscal adjustment of
0.3 % of GDP in 2017 unless the medium-term
budgetary objective is respected with a lower
effort.
The compliance assessment with the
Stability and Growth Pact will be included
in Spring when final data for 2016 will be
available.
(
27
) The following categories are used to assess progress in implementing the 2016 country-specific recommendations:
No progress:
The Member State has not credibly announced nor adopted any measures to address the CSR. Below a number of
non-exhaustive typical situations that could be covered under this, to be interpreted on a case by case basis taking into account
country-specific conditions:
• no legal, administrative, or budgetary measures have been announced in the National Reform Programme or in other official
communication to the national Parliament / relevant parliamentary committees, the European Commission, or announced in
public (e.g. in a press statement, information on government's website);
• no non-legislative acts have been presented by the governing or legislator body;
• the Member State has taken initial steps in addressing the CSR, such as commissioning a study or setting up a study group to
analyse possible measures that would need to be taken (unless the CSR explicitly asks for orientations or exploratory actions),
while clearly-specified measure(s) to address the CSR has not been proposed.
Limited progress:
The Member State has:
• announced certain measures but these only address the CSR to a limited extent;
and/or
• presented legislative acts in the governing or legislator body but these have not been adopted yet and substantial non-legislative
further work is needed before the CSR will be implemented;
• presented non-legislative acts, yet with no further follow-up in terms of implementation which is needed to address the CSR.
Some progress:
The Member State has adopted measures that partly address the CSR
and/or
• the Member State has adopted measures that address the CSR, but a fair amount of work is still needed to fully address the CSR
as only a few of the adopted measures have been implemented. For instance: adopted by national parliament; by ministerial
decision; but no implementing decisions are in place.
Substantial progress:
The Member State has adopted measures that go a long way in addressing the CSR and most of which have
been implemented.
Full implementation:
The Member State has implemented all measures needed to address the CSR appropriately.
37
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0041.png
A. Overview table
Ensure the sustainability of the healthcare system,
Some progress
can be reported in
ensuring the sustainability of the
healthcare system. The 2017 financial
equalisation law has set more stringent
expenditure targets. The provision of
outpatient care has been strengthened by
the creation of a new legal framework for
multi-disciplinary primary care centres
with an earmarked budget. Incentives for
hospitals to treat outpatient cases as
inpatient cases have been reduced.
Limited progress
in ensuring the long-
term sustainability of the pension system,
as financial incentives for working beyond
the statutory retirement age are likely to
marginally
increase
the
effective
retirement age.
by linking the statutory pension age to life
expectancy.
No progress
has been made in addressing
CSR 1 on increasing the sustainability of
the pension system by linking the statutory
retirement age to life expectancy. The
Austrian government has no intention to
take measures establishing a link between
the statutory retirement age and life
expectancy.
Some
progress
in
simplifying,
rationalising and streamlining fiscal
relations and responsibilities across the
various layers of government. The 2017
financial equalisation law implemented a
few steps to increase the tax autonomy of
sub-national governments, even if the
misalignment between revenue-raising
powers and spending responsibilities
remains high. The system of inter-
government transfers has been slightly
simplified, while the revenue-sharing
system has been made more task-
orientation. The efficiency and adaptability
of the fiscal framework has been improved
with the introduction of the legal basis for
regular spending reviews and a system of
benchmarks. The different government
subsectors have committed to a reform of
their respective competencies.
Simplify, rationalise and streamline fiscal
relations and responsibilities across the various
layers of government.
38
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0042.png
A. Overview table
CSR 2:
Improve the labour market participation of
women. Take steps to improve the educational
achievements of disadvantaged young people, in
particular those from a migrant background.
Austria has made
addressing CSR 2:
some
progress
in
Improve the labour market participation of
women.
Some progress
can be reported regarding
increasing childcare infrastructure and
services. The right for part-time workers of
a business to receive information about
full-time job offers has been implemented.
Awareness-raising of the advantages and
disadvantages of full-time and part-time
employment has been enforced. Overall
the increasing labour market participation
of women is mainly based on part-time
employment. No new measures have been
taken to substantially increase full-time
employment of women.
Take steps to improve the educational
achievements of disadvantaged young people, in
particular those from a migrant background.
Some progress
in addressing the need to
improve the educational achievements of
disadvantaged young people, in particular
those from a migrant background. This
progress takes the form of the step-by-step
implementation of the education reform
agreed in September 2015 which allocates
EUR 750 million for expanding the
number of all-day schools over the next 6
years. Reform measures in early childhood
education and care and primary schools
have already been implemented. Measures
to increase schoolsʼ autonomy and
improve task distribution between the
federal level and the regions are planned
for adoption before April 2017. However,
these measures have not yet had an impact
on education outcomes.
39
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0043.png
A. Overview table
CSR 3:
Reduce, in the area of services,
administrative
and
regulatory
barriers
for
investments, such as restrictive authorisation
requirements and restrictions on legal form and
shareholding, and impediments to setting up
interdisciplinary companies.
Austria has made
limited progress
in
addressing CSR 3:
Reduce, in the area of services, administrative and
regulatory barriers for investments, such as
restrictive authorisation requirements and
restrictions on legal form and shareholding,
Limited progress.
Austria presented a
draft revision of the trade licence act
(Gewerbeordnung) in November 2016.
This revision removes access barriers for
19 trades (Teilgewerbe), abolishes the
initial registration fee and increases the
scope for performing side activities
without an additional licence (15-30 %
instead of currently around 10 %). The
high number of regulated trades
(reglementierte
Gewerbe)
remains
unchanged, however, and the law still
requires separate licences for each of the
459 free trades (freie
Gewerbe).
Austria is
also simplifying the procedure for
authorising installations on business
premises (Betriebsanlagen). Low-risk
installations will benefit from a simplified
procedure,
deadlines
for
granting
authorisations will be shortened, a one-
stop shop for different types of permits
will be
created
and
publication
requirements will be reduced. As regards
other restrictions on access to and exercise
of the regulated professions, only
relatively minor changes have been
implemented.
No progress.
Efforts which were started in
November 2015 to remove restrictions on
interdisciplinary
companies
have
subsequently been discontinued.
and impediments to setting up interdisciplinary
companies.
40
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0044.png
A. Overview table
Europe 2020 (national targets and progress)
Employment rate target: 77-78 %
Employment rate for the population aged 20 to
64:
74.4 % in 2012,
74.6 % in 2013,
74.2 % in 2014 and
74.3 % in 2015.
Given the current trend in the Austrian
employment rate, it remains a challenge to
meet the national target of 77-78 % by 2020.
R&D target: 3.76 % of GDP
Austria continued to make progress in
increasing R&D intensity. R&D expenditure
as a percentage of GDP increased from 2.97 %
in 2013 to 3.06 % in 2014 and 3.07 % in 2015,
the second-highest level in the EU. However,
progress needs to be accelerated to meet the
ambitious 2020 target.
Although complying with its annual emission
reduction target in 2015 [EEA approximated
data], Austria is among the five Member
States which are expected to miss their
greenhouse gas emission reduction target for
2020. In the light of the latest projections
submitted by Austria, the emission target for
sectors not covered by the Emissions Trading
Scheme is expected to be exceeded by 4
percentage points (12 % emission reduction
by 2020 compared to 2005 instead of a 16 %
reduction target). Austria may therefore need
to take additional measures to meet its target
or make use of the flexibility mechanisms
provided in the Effort Sharing Decision.
Austria remains on track towards meeting its
2020 target for promoting the use of
renewable energy. Energy from renewable
sources represented 33.6 % of Austria’s
energy consumption in 2015 (proxy), close to
its 2020 target of 34 %(
28
). Austria ranks
fourth in the EU on the share of energy
obtained from renewable sources.
National greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions target:
-16 % in 2020 compared with 2005 (in sectors not
included in the Emissions Trading Scheme)
2020 Renewable energy target: 34 %
(
28
) Renewable energy shares for 2015 are approximations and not official data, reflecting the available data (04.10.2016).
41
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0045.png
A. Overview table
Energy efficiency target:
AT’s 2020 energy efficiency target is 31.5 Mtoe
expressed in primary energy consumption (25.1 Mtoe
expressed in final energy consumption)
Austria is stepping up efforts, however
increased its primary energy consumption
from 30.45 Mtoe in 2014 to 31.33 Mtoe in
2015. Final energy consumption increased as
well from 26.74 Mtoe in 2014 to 27.37 Mtoe
in 2015. Austria has set an ambitious energy
efficiency target, requiring a real reduction of
20 % in energy consumption compared to a
sound and updated forecast. The target is
underpinned
by
comprehensive
implementation and monitoring. Maintaining
the rate of reduction of primary energy
consumption (2005-2014) would be sufficient
for staying below the primary energy
consumption target for 2020 (31.5 Mtoe).
However, it would not be sufficient for
meeting the final energy consumption target
for 2020 (25.1 Mtoe).
Austria is already outperforming the Europe
2020 targets:
8.5 % in 2011
7.6 % in 2012
7.3 % in 2013
7.0 % in 2014
7.3 % in 2015.
However, efforts to reduce the early school
leaving rate among young people with a
migrant background need to be maintained.
Early school/training leaving target: 9.5 %
Tertiary education target: 38 %
The target has been fulfilled, with a tertiary
education rate of 38.7 % in 2015.
In the baseline year 2008, the number of
people at risk of poverty and social exclusion
was 1 699 000. The respective number for
2015 was 1 551 000, i.e. 147 000 less,
requiring additional efforts to meet the target.
Risk of poverty or social exclusion target: -235 000
42
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0046.png
ANNEX B
MIP Scoreboard
Table B.1:
The MIP Scoreboard for Austria
Thresholds
Current account balance,
(% of GDP)
3 year average
-4%/6%
-35%
2010
3.3
-5.2
2011
2.4
-1.9
2012
2.0
-3.2
2013
1.7
1.3
2014
1.9
2.2
2015
2.1
2.9
Net international investment position (% of GDP)
Real effective exchange
External imbalances rate - 42 trading partners,
and competitiveness HICP deflator
Export market share - %
of world exports
Nominal unit labour cost
index (2010=100)
3 years % change
±5% & ±11%
-2.0
-1.9
-4.7
0.7
1.9
1.8
5 years % change
-6%
-12.3
-12.1
-21.1
-17.8
-16.3
-9.6
3 years % change
9% & 12%
8.9
5.9
3.7
6.3
7.7
6.1
Deflated house prices (% y-o-y change)
6%
4.4be
3.0
4.8
2.9
1.4
3.5
Private sector credit flow as % of GDP, consolidated
14%
0.3
3.0
1.3
0.7
0.9
2.1
Internal imbalances
Private sector debt as % of GDP, consolidated
General government sector debt as % of GDP
Unemployment rate
3 year average
133%
60%
10%
16.5%
132.9
82.8
4.7
-1.9
130.1
82.6
4.9
1.5
129.2
82.0
4.8
0.4
128.0
81.3
5.0
-3.2
126.2
84.4
5.3
-1.1
126.4
85.5
5.6
0.6
Total financial sector liabilities (% y-o-y change)
Activity rate - % of total population aged 15-64 (3 years
change in p.p)
-0.2%
0.9
0.7
0.8
1.1
0.8
0.4
New employment
indicators
Long-term unemployment rate - % of active population
aged 15-74 (3 years change in p.p)
0.5%
-0.1
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.5
Youth unemployment rate - % of active population aged
15-24 (3 years change in p.p)
2%
0.1
0.4
-1.3
0.2
1.4
1.2
1) House price index: e = source NCB.
2) b: break in time series. e: estimated.
Note: Figures highlighted are those falling outside the threshold established in the European Commission’s Alert Mechanism
Report. For real effective exchange rate and unit labour costs, the first threshold applies to euro area Member States.
Source:
European Commission, Eurostat and Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs (for real effective
exchange rate), and International Monetary Fund
43
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0047.png
ANNEX C
Standard tables
Table C.1:
Financial market indicators
Total assets of the banking sector (% of GDP)
Share of assets of the five largest banks (% of total assets)
Foreign ownership of banking system (% of total assets)
Financial soundness indicators:
1)
- non-performing loans (% of total loans)
- capital adequacy ratio (%)
- return on equity (%)
2)
Bank loans to the private sector (year-on-year % change)
Lending for house purchase (year-on-year % change)
Loan to deposit ratio
Central Bank liquidity as % of liabilities
Private debt (% of GDP)
Gross external debt (% of GDP)
1)
- public
- private
Long-term interest rate spread versus Bund (basis points)*
Credit default swap spreads for sovereign securities (5-year)*
2011
327.3
38.4
20.9
4.0
13.6
1.4
2.0
3.8
108.8
2.3
130.1
57.3
37.5
71.1
76.8
2012
307.4
36.5
22.2
4.3
14.2
4.1
0.8
2.6
107.4
2.7
129.2
61.2
40.0
87.8
78.9
2013
283.3
36.7
23.1
4.2
15.4
-0.7
-1.0
2.2
103.4
1.6
128.0
66.6
33.2
44.0
19.8
2014
265.1
36.8
24.8
6.2
15.6
1.1
0.5
3.0
100.5
1.8
126.2
74.7
35.1
32.4
20.1
2015
251.3
35.8
26.6
5.5
16.2
7.6
0.6
4.3
99.6
2.1
126.4
70.1
36.9
25.0
16.4
2016
238.5
-
-
4.9
16.5
4.0
1.7
4.3
98.5
1.7
-
70.8
36.7
28.7
18.0
1 Latest data Q2 2016.
2 Quarterly values are not annualised.
* Measured in basis points.
Source:
European Commission (long-term interest rates); World Bank (gross external debt); Eurostat (private debt); ECB (all
other indicators).
44
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0048.png
C. Standard tables
Table C.2:
Labour market and social indicators
2011
2012
74.4
1.0
69.6
79.3
41.6
25.2
9.3
50.4
4.9
1.2
9.4
6.8
7.8
2013
74.6
0.3
70.0
79.1
43.8
26.0
9.2
44.5
5.4
1.3
9.7
7.3
7.5
2014
74.2
0.9
70.1
78.3
45.1
26.9
9.2
48.9
5.6
1.5
10.3
7.7
7.0
2015
74.3
0.6
70.2
78.4
46.3
27.3
9.1
44.3
5.7
1.7
10.6
7.5
7.3
2016
4
74.7
1.3
70.8
78.7
49.0
27.7
9.0
:
6.1
1.9
11.3
:
:
Employment rate
(% of population aged 20-64)
Employment growth
(% change from previous year)
Employment rate of women
(% of female population aged 20-64)
Employment rate of men
(% of male population aged 20-64)
Employment rate of older workers
(% of population aged 55-64)
Part-time employment (% of total employment,
aged 15-64)
Fixed-term employment (% of employees with a fixed term
contract, aged 15-64)
Transitions from temporary to permanent employment
Unemployment rate
1
(% active population,
age group 15-74)
Long-term unemployment rate
2
(% of labour force)
Youth unemployment rate
(% active population aged 15-24)
Youth NEET
3
rate (% of population aged 15-24)
Early leavers from education and training (% of pop. aged 18-24
with at most lower sec. educ. and not in further education or
training)
Tertiary educational attainment (% of population aged 30-34
having successfully completed tertiary education)
Formal childcare (30 hours or over; % of population aged less
than 3 years)
74.2
1.6
69.2
79.2
39.9
24.5
9.6
42.5
4.6
1.2
8.9
7.3
8.5
23.6
26.1
27.1
40.0
38.7
:
3.0
7.0
8.0
7.0
:
:
1 The unemployed persons are all those who were not employed but had actively sought work and were ready to begin
working immediately or within 2 weeks.
2 Long-term unemployed are people who have been unemployed for at least 12 months.
3 Not in education, employment or training.
4 Average of first three quarters of 2016. Data for total unemployment and youth unemployment rates are seasonally
adjusted.
Source:
European Commission (EU Labour Force Survey).
45
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0049.png
C. Standard tables
Table C.3:
Labour market and social indictors (continued)
Expenditure on social protection benefits (% of GDP)
Sickness/healthcare
Disability
Old age and survivors
Family/children
Unemployment
Housing
Social exclusion n.e.c.
Total
of which: means-tested benefits
Social inclusion indicators
People at risk of poverty or social exclusion
1
(% of total population)
Children at risk of poverty or social exclusion
(% of people aged 0-17)
At-risk-of-poverty rate
2
(% of total population)
Severe material deprivation rate (% of total population)
Proportion of people living in low work intensity households (% of
people aged 0-59)
In-work at-risk-of-poverty rate (% of persons employed)
Impact of social transfers (excluding pensions) on reducing poverty
Poverty thresholds, expressed in national currency at constant prices
Gross disposable income (households; growth %)
Inequality of income distribution (S80/S20 income quintile share ratio)
GINI coefficient before taxes and transfers
GINI coefficient after taxes and transfers
5
4
3
2010
7,3
2,2
14,2
3,1
1,6
0,2
0,4
29,0
2,4
2010
18,9
22,4
14,7
4,3
7,8
7,5
43,5
11929
0,7
4,3
50,7
28,3
2011
7,2
2,1
14,0
2,9
1,5
0,1
0,4
28,2
2,3
2011
19,2
22,1
14,5
4,0
8,6
7,6
46,5
11957
2,9
4,1
49,9
27,4
2012
7,3
2,1
14,3
2,8
1,5
0,1
0,4
28,5
2,3
2012
18,5
20,9
14,4
4,0
7,7
8,1
44,2
11730
3,8
4,2
49,7
27,6
2013
7,3
2,1
14,6
2,8
1,6
0,1
0,4
28,9
2,4
2013
18,8
22,9
14,4
4,2
7,8
7,9
44,4
11576
0,4
4,1
49,5
27,0
2014
7,4
2,0
14,8
2,8
1,6
0,1
0,5
29,2
2,5
2014
19,2
23,3
14,1
4,0
9,1
7,2
44,5
11920
2,1
4,1
49,9
27,6
2015
:
:
:
:
:
:
:
:
:
2015
18,3
22,3
13,9
3,6
8,2
7,9
45,7
11774
1,6
4,1
49,8
27,2
1 People at risk of poverty or social exclusion: individuals who are at risk of poverty and/or suffering from severe material
deprivation and/or living in households with zero or very low work intensity.
2 At-risk-of-poverty rate: proportion of people with an equivalised disposable income below 60 % of the national equivalised
median income.
3 Proportion of people who experience at least four of the following forms of deprivation: not being able to afford to i) pay
their rent or utility bills, ii) keep their home adequately warm, iii) face unexpected expenses, iv) eat meat, fish or a protein
equivalent every second day, v) enjoy a week of holiday away from home once a year, vi) have a car, vii) have a washing
machine, viii) have a colour TV, or ix) have a telephone.
4 People living in households with very low work intensity: proportion of people aged 0-59 living in households where the
adults (excluding dependent children) worked less than 20 % of their total work-time potential in the previous 12 months.
5 For EE, CY, MT, SI and SK, thresholds in nominal values in euros; harmonised index of consumer prices = 100 in 2006 (2007
survey refers to 2006 incomes).
Source:
For expenditure for social protection benefits ESSPROS; for social inclusion EU-SILC.
46
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0050.png
C. Standard tables
Table C.4:
Product market performance and policy indicators
Performance indicators
Labour productivity (real, per person employed, year-on-year %
change)
Labour productivity in industry
Labour productivity in construction
Labour productivity in market services
Unit labour costs (ULC) (whole economy, year-on-year % change)
ULC in industry
ULC in construction
ULC in market services
Business environment
1
Time needed to enforce contracts (days)
Time needed to start a business (days)
Outcome of applications by SMEs for bank loans
Research and innovation
R&D intensity
Total public expenditure on education as % of GDP, for all levels of
education combined
Number of science & technology people employed as % of total
employment
3
Population having completed tertiary education
Young people with upper secondary education
Trade balance of high technology products as % of GDP
Product and service markets and competition
OECD product market regulation (PMR)
5
, overall
OECD PMR
5
, retail
OECD PMR , professional services
OECD PMR , network industries
5
6
5
4
2
1
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
5.74
-5.52
0.61
-5.43
3.95
0.88
2010
397.0
25.0
0.23
2010
2.74
5.91
37
16
86
-0.10
3.26
-2.04
1.36
0.23
4.29
1.24
2011
397.0
25.0
0.24
2011
2.68
5.80
38
16
85
-0.03
1.55
-1.22
-0.69
2.96
4.72
4.05
2012
397.0
25.0
0.23
2012
2.93
5.62
39
17
86
0.13
2.04
0.52
0.08
1.73
3.35
3.75
2013
397.0
25.0
0.35
2013
2.97
5.66
41
18
87
0.19
2003
na
3.50
3.21
2.47
1.13
-1.22
0.36
1.20
4.75
2.22
2014
397.0
22.0
0.41
2014
3.06
na
46
27
90
0.50
2008
1.37
3.30
3.08
1.84
1.20
-1.18
1.08
1.48
1.84
2.58
2015
397.0
22.0
0.49
2015
3.07
na
47
28
89
0.09
2013
1.19
2.40
2.71
1.55
1 The methodologies, including the assumptions, for this indicator are shown in detail at
http://www.doingbusiness.org/methodology.
2 Average of the answer to question Q7B_a. ‘[Bank loan]: If you applied and tried to negotiate for this type of financing over
the past six months, what was the outcome?’. Answers were scored as follows: zero if received everything, one if received
most of it, two if only received a limited part of it, three if refused or rejected and treated as missing values if the application is
still pending or or if the outcome is not known.
3 Percentage population aged 15-64 having completed tertiary education.
4 Percentage population aged 20-24 having attained at least upper secondary education.
5 Index: 0 = not regulated; 6 = most regulated. The methodologies of the OECD product market regulation indicators are
shown in detail at http://www.oecd.org/competition/reform/indicatorsofproductmarketregulationhomepage.htm
6 Aggregate OECD indicators of regulation in energy, transport and communications.
Source:
European Commission; World Bank — Doing Business (for enforcing contracts and time to start a business); OECD (for
the product market regulation indicators); SAFE (for outcome of SMEs’ applications for bank loans).
47
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
1728502_0051.png
C. Standard tables
Table C.5:
Green growth
2010
kgoe / €
kg / €
kg / €
kg / €
% GDP
%
%
% of value
added
ratio
% GDP
kgoe / €
% of value
added
% GDP
€ / kWh
€ / kWh
% GDP
% GDP
%
%
kgoe / €
kg / €
%
HHI
HHI
0,12
0,31
0,68
0,13
-2,9
7,86
1,4
13,8
0,10
2,3
0,17
12,8
10,53
0,11
0,04
0,01
0,01
59,4
38,7
0,68
1,75
62,9
28,9
0,28
2011
0,11
0,30
0,69
-
-3,7
8,89
2,2
13,7
0,11
2,4
0,16
14,1
11,44
0,11
0,04
0,01
0,02
56,7
39,3
0,65
1,65
70,3
34,6
0,26
2012
0,11
0,29
0,68
0,12
-3,9
9,09
1,1
14,1
0,10
2,4
0,15
13,7
11,33
0,11
0,04
0,01
0,02
57,7
37,8
0,65
1,65
64,5
40,5
0,27
2013
0,11
0,29
0,66
-
-3,5
9,41
-0,1
13,7
0,10
2,4
0,16
13,1
10,09
0,11
0,04
0,02
0,02
57,7
37,3
0,67
1,75
61,6
25,2
0,27
2014
0,11
0,27
0,67
0,20
-3,0
9,75
-1,8
12,6
0,10
2,4
0,15
12,7
10,20
0,11
0,04
0,02
0,01
56,3
36,8
0,66
1,69
66,1
36,3
0,27
2015
0,11
-
0,66
-
-
8,86
-3,0
-
-
-
0,15
-
10,33
0,10
0,04
0,02
0,01
56,0
37,4
0,68
-
60,8
-
-
Green growth performance
Macroeconomic
Energy intensity
Carbon intensity
Resource intensity (reciprocal of resource
productivity)
Waste intensity
Energy balance of trade
Weighting of energy in HICP
Difference between energy price change and inflation
Real unit of energy cost
Ratio of environmental taxes to labour taxes
Environmental taxes
Sectoral
Industry energy intensity
Real unit energy cost for manufacturing industry excl.
refining
Share of energy-intensive industries in the economy
Electricity prices for medium-sized industrial users
Gas prices for medium-sized industrial users
Public R&D for energy
Public R&D for environmental protection
Municipal waste recycling rate
Share of GHG emissions covered by ETS*
Transport energy intensity
Transport carbon intensity
Security of energy supply
Energy import dependency
Aggregated supplier concentration index
Diversification of energy mix
All macro intensity indicators are expressed as a ratio of a physical quantity to GDP (in 2005 prices).
Energy intensity: gross inland energy consumption (in kgoe) divided by GDP (in EUR).
Carbon intensity: greenhouse gas emissions (in kg CO2 equivalents) divided by GDP (in EUR).
Resource intensity: domestic material consumption (in kg) divided by GDP (in EUR).
Waste intensity: waste (in kg) divided by GDP (in EUR).
Energy balance of trade: the balance of energy exports and imports, expressed as % of GDP.
Weighting of energy in HICP: the proportion of ‘energy’ items in the consumption basket used for the construction of the HICP
Difference between energy price change and inflation: energy component of HICP, and total HICP inflation (annual %
change).
Real unit energy cost: real energy costs as a percentage of total value added for the economy .
Environmental taxes over labour taxes and GDP: from European Commission’s database, ‘Taxation trends in the European
Union’.
Industry energy intensity: final energy consumption of industry (in kgoe) divided by gross value added of industry (in 2005
EUR).
Real unit energy costs for manufacturing industry excluding refining: real costs as a percentage of value added for
manufacturing sectors.
Share of energy-intensive industries in the economy: share of gross value added of the energy-intensive industries in GDP.
Electricity and gas prices for medium-sized industrial users: consumption band 500-20 00MWh and 10 000-100 000 GJ; figures
excl. VAT.
Recycling rate of municipal waste: ratio of recycled and composted municipal waste to total municipal waste.
Public R&D for energy or for the environment: government spending on R&D for these categories as % of GDP.
Proportion of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions covered by EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) (excluding aviation): based on
greenhouse gas emissions (excl. land use, land use change and forestry) as reported by Member States to the European
Environment Agency.
Transport energy intensity: final energy consumption of transport activity (kgoe) divided by transport industry gross value
added (in 2005 EUR).
Transport carbon intensity: greenhouse gas emissions in transport activity divided by gross value added of the transport
sector.
Energy import dependency: net energy imports divided by gross inland energy consumption incl. consumption of
international bunker fuels.
Aggregated supplier concentration index: covers oil, gas and coal. Smaller values indicate larger diversification and hence
lower risk.
Diversification of the energy mix: Herfindahl index over natural gas, total petrol products, nuclear heat, renewable energies
and solid fuels.
* European Commission and European Environment Agency
Source:
European Commission (Eurostat) unless indicated otherwise
48
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
REFERENCES
Arnold, J., Brys, B., Heady, C., Johansson, Å., Schwellnus, C., & Vartia, L., (2011), Tax Policy For
Economic Recovery and Growth, Economic Journal, Vol. 121, F59 -F80 .
BB and Bifie (2016), Bundesministerium für Bildung and Bundesinstitut für Bildungsforschung,
Innovation & Entwicklung des österreichischen Schulwesens,
Nationaler Bildungsbericht Österreich
2016,
Wien.
Bifie (2016), Bundesinstitut für Bildungsforschung, Innovation & Entwicklung des österreichischen
Schulwesens,
PISA 2015, Grundkompetenzen am Ende der Pflichtschulzeit im internationalen Vergleich.
BKA, BMWFW (2017), Bundeskanzleramt und Bundesministerium für Wissenschaft, Forschung und
Wirtschaft,
Digital Roadmap Austria,
Wien.
BMASK (2016), Bundesministerium für Arbeit, Soziales und Konsumentenschutz,
Das Beschäftigungs-,
Rehabilitations- und Pensionsmonitoring für das erste Halbjahr 2016 — Kurzfassung,
Wien.
BMWFW (2015), Bundesministerium für Wissenschaft, Forschung und Wirtschaft,
Land der Gründer:
Auf dem Weg zum gründerfreundlichsten Land Europas,
Wien.
BMWFW (2016), Bundesministerium für Wissenschaft, Forschung und Wirtschaft,
Wirtschaftsbericht
Österreich 2016,
Wien.
CEDEFOP (2015), European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training,
Skills forecasts country
report – Austria,
Thessaloniki.
CEDEFOP (2016), European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training,
VET in Austria —
Policies & measures to address the Riga mid-term deliverables,
Thessaloniki.
Der Rechnungshof (2016),
Schüler mit Migrationshintergrund — Antworten des Schulsystems; Follow-
up-Überpüfung,
Wien.
ECB (2016), The Household Finance and Consumption Survey: results from the second wave, Household
Finance and Consumption Network, Statistics Paper Series, No. 18, European Central Bank, Frankfurt am
Main.
ECSIP (2014), European Competitiveness and Sustainable Industrial Policy Consortium,
Study on the
relationship between industry and services in terms of productivity and value creation,
Wien.
EUA (2016), European University Association,
Public Funding Observatory 2016,
Brussels.
European Commission (2013),
Tax reforms in EU Member States 2013, Tax policy challenges for
economic growth and fiscal sustainability,
Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2014),
Cross country review of taxes on wealth and transfers of wealth,
Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2015a),
The 2015 Ageing Report: Economic and budgetary projections for the 28
EU Member States (2013-2060),
Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2015b),
Education and Training Monitor 2015 — Volume 2,
Austria,
Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
49
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
References
European Commission (2016a),
Country Report Austria 2016, Including an In-Depth review on the
prevention and correction of macroeconomic imbalances,
Publications Office of the European Union,
Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016b),
SA.45940 (2016/N) — Austria — Repurchase offer for guaranteed
liabilities of Heta Asset Resolution AG,
Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016c),
Education and Training Monitor 2016 — Volume 2, Austria,
Publications
Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016d),
European semester thematic fiche for services,
Publications Office of the
European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016e),
Reform recommendations for regulation in professional services,
COM(2016)820, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016f),
Reform recommendations for regulation in professional services, Staff
Working Document
SWD (2016)436, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016g),
Europe's next leaders: the start-up and scale up initiative,
COM(2016)733, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016h),
Start-up procedures, country by country assessment for 2015. March
2016,
Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016i),
Framework Conditions for High Growth Innovative Enterprises (HGIEs),
Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg. [forthcoming]
European Commission (2016j),
Single Market Integration and Competitiveness Report 2016,
Publications
Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016k),
Survey on the access to finance of enterprises (SAFE),
Analytical Report
2016, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016l),
SBA fact sheet 2016 Austria,
Publications Office of the European Union,
Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016m),
European Innovation Scoreboard 2016, Annex B Performance by
Indicator,
Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016n),
A European agenda for the collaborative economy,
Staff Working
Document SWD(2016)184, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2016o),
Single Market Scoreboard 2016, covering the period 01/2015 to 12/2015,
European Commission, Brussels.
European Commission (2017a),
2016 Debt Sustainability Monitor,
Publications Office of the European
Union, Luxembourg.
European Commission (2017b),
Digital Scoreboard 2017,
European Commission, Brussels.
50
kom (2017) 0090 - Ingen titel
References
European Commission (2017c),
Personal income taxation in Austria — A look at the impact of the tax
reform of 2015/2016 on the budget, labour market incentives and income distribution,
Publications Office
of the European Union, Luxembourg.
Fiskalrat (2016),
Recommendation of the Fiscal Advisory Council on Austria’s budget policy,
Adopted at
the Fiscal Advisory Council meeting on June 29,
2016,
Wien.
GÖG and BMGF (2016), Gesundheit Österreich GmbH (GÖG) and Ministerium für Gesundheit und
Frauen,
Zielsteuerung-Gesundheit Monitoringbericht I/2016,
Wien.
ING (2015), ING International Survey,
What’s mine is yours — for a price. Rapid growth tipped for the
sharing economy,
ING International Survey, Amsterdam.
OECD (2016a), Reviews of school Resources: Austria, Paris.
OECD (2016b), Education at a Glance 2016. OECD Indicators, Paris.
Rechnungshof (2016),
Instrumente zur finanziellen Steuerung der Krankenversicherung RH,
Wien.
Stadtrechnungshof Wien (2017a),
Unternehmung Wiener Krankenanstaltenverbund, Prüfung der
Wartezeiten von Patientinnen bzw. Patienten auf eine strahlentherapeutische Behandlung,
StRH II -
KAV-5/15, Wien.
Stadtrechnungshof Wien (2017b),
Unternehmung Wiener Krankenanstaltenverbund, Prüfung der
Verweildauer bei Hüft- und Knieoperationen,
StRH II - 31/16, Wien.
Statistik Austria (2015a), Bundesanstalt Statistik Österreich,
Arbeitsmarktsituation von Migrantinnen und
Migranten in Österreich. Modul der Arbeitskräfteerhebung 2014,
Wien.
Statistik Austria (2015b), Bundesanstalt Statistik Österreich,
Bildung in Zahlen 2014/15,
Wien.
Statistik Austria (2016), Bundesanstalt Statistik Österreich,
Kindertagesheimstatistik 2015/2016,
Wien.
TNS (2016), TNS Political & Social,
Flash Eurobarometer 438: The Use of Collaborative Platforms,
Brussels.
WKÖ (2016), Wirtschaftskammer Österreich,
Wirtschaftsbarometer Oktober 2016,
Wirtschaftskammer
Österreich, Wien.
WKÖ (2017), Wirtschaftskammer Österreich,
Unternehmensgründungen 1993-2016, Vorläufige
Ergebnisse Jänner 2017,
Wien.
51