Europaudvalget 2025
KOM (2025) 0529
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EUROPEAN
COMMISSION
Brussels, 9.7.2025
COM(2025) 529 final
ANNEXES 1 to 2
ANNEXES
to the
Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the
European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions
Preparing the EU for the next health crisis : a Medical Countermeasures Strategy
EN
EN
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ANNEX 1: 2025 Health Threat Prioritisation
assessment for medical countermeasures
The purpose of the Commission’s 2025 Health Threat Prioritisation assessment for
medical countermeasures (MCMs) is to identify serious cross-border health threats that
necessitate targeted action at EU level to support access to and availability of MCMs,
including research and development, procurement, stockpiling and distribution.
The process of prioritising threats, once consolidated and taking into account stakeholder
feedback, will play a pivotal role in prioritising future EU action on medical
countermeasures. The 2025 Health Threat Prioritisation assessment gives an overview of
the most relevant health threats and the related MCMs, drawing on current knowledge
and expertise. Building on previous assessments, which were developed in close
collaboration with the Health Emergency Preparedness and Response Authority’s
(HERA) Board, HERA Advisory Forum, Commission services and EU agencies, this
assessment provides a foundation for understanding public health threats and identify
needs for MCMs.
Threat prioritisation is a dynamic, consultative, and iterative process that continuously
evolves. This assessment serves as a foundation for outreach and engagement with key
stakeholders, including Member States, other EU institutions and the professional and
scientific medical countermeasures community. It will facilitate a coordinated and
effective response to emerging threats. Building on this input, the Commission plans to
publish it in late 2025 as a Staff Working Document, and to update it by 2027 at the
latest.
The 2025 Health Threat Prioritisation assessment identifies four major threat categories
that can be addressed by means of MCMs:
Respiratory or contact-based viruses with pandemic potential –
highly
transmissible viruses with a history or likelihood of causing large-scale outbreaks
and influenced by e.g. biodiversity loss;
Vector-borne or animal-reservoir viruses with epidemic potential –
viruses
whose spread is accelerated because of climate change and other environmental
factors, which are qualified as a specific threat category due to its growing
relevance for the EU, the fastest warming continent;
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR);
a rising global concern that threatens the
efficacy of existing treatments and increases the burden of infectious diseases;
Armed conflict related threats and chemical, biological, radiological and
nuclear (CBRN) threats.
Informed by European and global activities, including work carried out by the World
Health Organization (WHO), the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control
(ECDC) and other global health institutions, the assessment prioritises 12 families of
viruses with pandemic and epidemic potential. It also examines the latest developments
in antimicrobial resistance trends, analyses emerging CBRN threats, and examines the
impact of climate change on the spread of infectious diseases.
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1.
V
IRAL FAMILIES OF EPIDEMIC AND PANDEMIC CONCERN
HERA’s prioritisation process took into account existing scientific and epidemiological
assessments, integrating global and EU-level frameworks, including from WHO and the
ECDC. The methodology used assesses the pandemic potential, the likelihood of an EU-
wide public health emergency, the availability of MCMs, and the impact of climate
change on the spread and severity of viral threats.
The assessment identifies two groups of viral families of epidemic and pandemic concern
that can be addressed by means of MCMs:
-
-
Group 1:
viral families of highest priority,
which pose the most immediate and
severe risk to the EU and global health security;
Group 2:
viral families of high priority,
which present serious but slightly lower
levels of immediate threat.
1.1. Respiratory or contact-based viruses with pandemic potential
1
1.1.1.
Group 1: Viral families of highest priority
Coronaviridae,
including SARS-CoV, MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2, remain a concern
due to their airborne transmissibility, their ability to cause severe disease outcomes, their
capacity for human-to-human transmission, relatively rapid mutation rate, and potential
for immune escape, including reduced effectiveness of vaccines and some therapeutics
against emerging variants. There are no licensed vaccines or treatments for SARS-CoV-1
or MERS-CoV, and overall availability of medical countermeasures remains variable.
Orthomyxoviridae,
including Influenza A subtypes such as H1, H2, H3, H5, H6, H7 and
H10, comprise both seasonal and potentially pandemic influenza viruses. These viruses
are a concern as they mutate frequently (antigenic drift), reassort rapidly (antigenic shift),
and have historically caused global pandemics. Although vaccines against seasonal
influenza and certain strains of zoonotic influenza are available, their efficacy is limited
by antigenic variability, and may not provide protection against novel pandemic strains.
Filoviridae,
including the Ebola and Marburg viruses, are a concern due to their
association with severe haemorrhagic fevers, high case fatality rates, and their potential
to cause large-scale outbreaks, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. Sporadic imported
cases remain a concern, and while vaccines and monoclonal antibody-based therapeutics
targeting Zaire ebolavirus are licensed – none for Sudan ebolavirus or Marburg virus –,
challenges remain in terms of equitable access, production scalability and swift
deployment, particularly in outbreak settings.
Poxviridae,
including the monkeypox (causing mpox) and variola virus (causing
smallpox), remain a concern in the context of bioterrorism and accidental release, but
also in view of the possible emergence of new, more virulent mpox strains. Existing
vaccines provide partial cross-protection, and limited availability of effective therapeutic
options remain as important challenges.
1.1.2.
Group 2: Viral families of high priority
Paramyxoviridae,
including the Nipah virus, pose a concern due to high fatality rate and
zoonotic potential. Although not currently a threat within the EU, climate change and
1
While the Corona- and Orthomyxoviridae families mark this category with their well documented
pandemic potential, the other viral families in this category typically exhibit epidemic rather than
pandemic potential, largely owing to differences in transmission dynamics.
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habitat disruption are altering bat migration and habitat patterns, increasing the likelihood
of spillover events. No authorised vaccines or specific treatments are currently available.
Picornaviridae,
including poliovirus and enteroviruses D68 and A71, remain a concern
due to the risk of wild-type or vaccine-derived polio outbreaks. While effective polio
vaccines are available, no authorised treatments exist for non-polio enteroviruses.
1.2. Vector-borne or animal-reservoir viruses with epidemic potential
Viral families in this category are of increasing concern for Europe because climate and
environmental changes are highly dynamic drivers of their spread, divided according to
the same criteria, into group of highest and high priority in relation to MCMs.
1.2.1.
Group 1: Viral families of highest priority
Flaviviridae,
including the dengue, West Nile, tick-borne encephalitis, Yellow Fever,
Zika, and Japanese encephalitis viruses, are a growing concern due to vector-borne
transmission and the expanding range of mosquitoes and ticks, driven by climate change.
While vaccines exist for some flaviviruses, treatment options are limited, and the number
of cases originating locally is increasing in parts of Europe.
1.2.2.
Group 2: Viral families of high priority
Togaviridae,
including the chikungunya and Venezuelan equine encephalitis viruses,
pose a threat due to severe disease outcomes and their potential for rapid geographic
spread. While newly authorised vaccines for chikungunya represent major progress in
treating these viruses, most viruses of this viral family, like Venezuelan or Eastern equine
encephalitis viruses, currently lack medical countermeasures.
Arenaviridae,
including the Lassa, Junin and Lujo mammarenaviruses, as well as
Hantaviridae,
including Hantaan and Sin Nombre viruses, are zoonotic pathogens
maintained in rodent-reservoir hosts, and are associated with viral haemorrhagic fevers
and significant epidemic potential. No vaccines or specific treatments are currently
authorised in the EU.
Phenuiviridae,
including severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTSV) and
Rift Valley fever viruses (RVFV), pose a threat due to their capacity to cause severe
disease and large-scale outbreaks. SFTSV is primarily transmitted by ticks, while RVFV
is transmitted by mosquitoes, particularly
Aedes
and
Culex
species. No vaccines or
specific antiviral treatments are currently authorized in the EU.
Nairoviridae,
including Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV), are of
growing public health concern, and are already endemic in parts of southern and eastern
Europe. CCHFV is primarily transmitted by
Hyalomma
ticks, whose range is expanding
due to climate change. Currently, there are no authorised vaccines or specific antiviral
treatments available in the EU.
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Figure 1. Overview of prioritised viral families, including a partially semi-quantitative mapping of relevant attributes. The information is primarily based on
publicly available sources;.
(Disclaimer: This figure is intended for general informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, medical, or professional
advice.)
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2.
A
NTIMICROBIAL RESISTANCE
Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) continues to grow as one of the most pressing global health
threats, undermining the effectiveness of existing treatments and increasing the burden of
infectious diseases through higher morbidity, mortality and healthcare costs. Without urgent
action, AMR is projected to become a leading cause of death worldwide by 2050, with annual
fatalities potentially reaching 10 million people.
In 2021, AMR contributed to 4.71 million deaths globally, with 1.14 million directly
attributed to resistant infections. In the EU/EEA, over 35 000 deaths occur every year due to
AMR infections, disproportionately affecting infants, older people and immunocompromised
people. The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated antimicrobial resistance, as the increased use
of last-resort antibiotics led to a rise in multidrug-resistant bacterial and fungal infections.
The WHO, with support of HERA, updated the AMR pathogen prioritisation at global level,
including the (i)
WHO Bacterial Priority Pathogens List 2024
and (ii)
WHO Fungal Priority
Pathogens List 2022.
The assessment highlights key bacterial priority pathogens, including
rifampicin-resistant
Mycobacterium tuberculosis.
It also emphasizes that
rifampicin-resistant (RR), multi-
resistant (MDR)
and
extensively-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis,
continue to remain a critical
challenge especially in high-burden regions. It also identifies
Enterobacterales
resistant to
third-generation cephalosporins,
as top priorities. In addition, ECDC surveillance data
further underline increasing and concerning resistance trends in
carbapenem-resistant
Enterobacterales
and
vancomycin-resistant
Enterococcus faecium.
Lastly, the increasing
rates of AMR in
N. gonorrhoeae
in the EU, and the emergence of
extensively drug-resistant
N. gonorrhoeae,
are a major global public health concern.
The
antibiotics
pipeline analysis notably shows that while the number of antibacterial agents
in clinical development increased in 2023, it is not sufficient to address serious infections and
to complement antibiotics that are becoming ineffective due to AMR. The current pipeline
continues to show a
major gap in antibacterials with activity against metallo-β-lactamase
(MBL) producers,
while the prevalence of those enzymes in resistant pathogens is
increasing. Alternative to antibiotics such as the use of
bacteriophages
and
monoclonal
antibodies
may serve as alternative treatment options in the near future.
Finally,
fungal priority pathogens,
including
Cryptococcus neoformans, Candida auris,
Aspergillus fumigatus,
and
Candida albicans
require attention as they pose a growing threat
due to their multidrug resistance, particularly to immunocompromised patients.
The 2023 WHO antibacterial pipeline highlights a shift towards the development of narrow-
spectrum antibacterials which will likely require an increased use of
rapid diagnostics
to
ensure these narrow-spectrum products are used in the correct patients.
Both
vaccines
against viral and bacterial infections can contribute to reducing the spread of
infections and AMR by preventing the need for a treatment with antimicrobials. Although,
new vaccines are under development, vaccines against high priority bacterial pathogens are
still
missing.
Beyond the insufficient innovation, the
lack of availability of certain antibiotics in the EU
has the potential to worsen the AMR threat, either by causing a direct risk for the patients, or
by hindering the proper use of antibiotics and consequently promoting AMR emergence and
spread.
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Against this multifaceted and complex threat, a wide arsenal of MCM is necessary, which
currently suffers from both lack of innovation and access, requiring a multifaceted approach,
combining push and pull interventions to ensure both the development of novel antibacterials,
as well as the availability and access of both new and old antibacterials, and other MCM. This
is complemented by work of the ECDC and other ongoing Commission work strengthening
surveillance and promoting AMR stewardship and responsible use.
3.
CONFLICT
-
RELATED THREATS AND CHEMICAL
,
BIOLOGICAL
,
RADIOLOGICAL
AND NUCLEAR
(CBRN)
THREATS
A
RMED
Assessing preparedness for chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear (CBRN) incidents
is a key component of the work to boost the EU’s health security. Russia’s war of aggression
against Ukraine and the overall more volatile geopolitical situation have heightened the need
for preparedness in this area.
The assessment provides an overview of current CBRN threats and also covers emerging
threats and the medical countermeasures that can be used against these threats. The
assessment covers the availability of medical countermeasures for all priority CBRN agents,
as well as gaps and medical countermeasures under development It is developed in close
consultation with civil authorities in Member States through an iterative process. This
assessment contains classified information, due to its sensitive nature, and is not publicly
available. Identified threat include:
Biological agents,
including anthrax, smallpox, haemorrhagic fevers and plague. These
pathogens, known for their high case fatality rates, potential for weaponisation and social
disruption, remain the primary focus for biodefense initiatives.
Chemical warfare agents,
including nerve agents, blister agents, pharmaceutical-based
agents and vesicants. They were used during the civil war in Syria and in targeted attacks in
Europe and Asia over the past decade.
Biotoxins,
covered by both the Chemical and Biological Weapons Conventions, and at the
intersection of biological and chemical agents. There have been several incidents involving
biotoxins in Europe since 2018, including in Germany, Norway and the UK, underscoring the
need for more medical countermeasures to protect from and treat biotoxin exposure and
injury.
Emerging biological and chemical threats.
Biotechnology and computational chemistry are
progressing rapidly, presenting promising advancements in the development of medicines but
also bringing potential threats.
Radiological and nuclear threats.
These threats are an increasing concern in Ukraine and
the EU. The situation is especially concerning around the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant.
By setting up rescEU, a strategic reserve of disaster response capabilities, the Commission has
made substantial progress in stockpiling personal protective equipment, detection and
decontamination tools, vaccines and therapeutics needed in the event of a CBRN incident.
Additional efforts are ongoing to quantify potential needs for medical countermeasures for
selected threats in the event of an incident involving each agent.
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ANNEX 2: EU strategic plan for stockpiling of medical countermeasures
Introduction
The EU Strategic Plan for Stockpiling Medical Countermeasures (“the strategic plan”) is a
pillar of the EU’s Medical Countermeasures Strategy’s
end-to-end approach. It establishes
a comprehensive and proactive framework to strengthen preparedness and rapid response to
health emergencies via stockpiles of medical countermeasures (MCMs).
Building upon the Niinistö report
1
, the Preparedness Union Strategy
2
and the EU Stockpiling
Strategy
3
, the strategic plan will contribute to
strengthening access
to critical resources
across the EU, in the area of medical countermeasures. The strategic plan builds upon the
lessons of response to COVID-19 and of the current medical and chemical, biological,
radiological, and nuclear (CBRN) rescEU stockpiles. The strategic plan proposes actions to
enhance the current framework and will be used as a tool to guide future decisions.
Establishing stockpiles of medical countermeasures at EU level means creating and managing
a strategic capability with a
specific focus on global or Europe-wide public health
emergencies
to protect EU citizens. Strategic stockpiles of medical countermeasures
act as
an insurance
and allow gaining time in the event of a health crisis, mitigating its economic
and social costs. This work aims at complementing Member States’ national stockpiles and
global efforts in order to ensure a cost-effective approach that enhances solidarity in the
European Union in the event of a health crisis
4
.
Although the EU and national stockpiles are established to address local and regional risks, on
occasions, they have also been deployed to
show global solidarity
to mitigate threats in third
countries (and to prevent further spread beyond these). Despite the regional focus,
complementarity with globally held stockpiles is equally relevant. This layered approach is
not only important to ensure complementarity, but also to avoid market disruptions.
Over the past few years, the European Commission has significantly enhanced its ability to
anticipate, prepare and respond to disasters and crises, notably through the
establishment of
rescEU,
a pioneering strategic reserve of European disaster response capabilities and
stockpiles, fully funded by the EU. This initiative has provided a critical safety net, enabling
the EU to respond swiftly and effectively in times of crisis. To date, the Commission has
invested €1.65 billion and created 22 specialised medical and CBRN countermeasures
stockpiles, strategically located across different Member States.
These stockpiles bolster the EU’s collective response capacity and have helped to address
critical gaps in national response capabilities, particularly in situations across different
Member States or where national response capabilities are insufficient, inadequate, or
unavailable. The value of this investment has been demonstrated by the successful
deployment of these stockpiles in response to high-pressure situations, such as the mpox
outbreaks and the geopolitical tensions triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine,
underscoring the EU's commitment to protecting its citizens' health and well-being in the face
of emerging threats.
The lessons from this investment show that
stockpiling medical countermeasures is
significantly more complex
than storing non-perishable items. This complexity stems also
1
2
Safer together: A path towards a fully prepared Union - European Commission
Joint Communication to the European Parliament, the European Council, the Council, the European Economic and Social
Committee and the Committee of the Regions on the European Preparedness Union Strategy, JOIN(2025) 130 final of
26.03.2025
3
EU Stockpiling Strategy COM(2025)528
4
In line with Art 222 TFEU.
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from strict regulatory requirements for medical countermeasures and market viability
challenges. These are further compounded by the
unique characteristics
of medical
countermeasures - their high value, need for technical expertise, stringent security measures,
demanding logistical needs, such as storage conditions and shelf-life constraints, and
deployment constraints, such as specific customs rules. This distinguishes stockpiling of
medical countermeasures, in many instances, from non-medical stockpiles such as emergency
shelters or generators.
Strategic stockpiling is done both by the
military and civilian
sectors, with a need to align
preparedness strategies. Military expertise is also required as stockpiles may be subject to
external physical and digital disruption or destruction, being considered dual-use assets and
therefore potential targets.
The
key objective under this strategic plan
is to ensure the efficient and effective
stockpiling of relevant medical countermeasures that can address the threats identified in
Annex 1 of the EU’s Medical Countermeasures Strategy (viruses with pandemic or epidemic
potential and chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear threats) so as to secure their
timely availability and access in time of emergency as a concrete example of European
solidarity in the event of health crisis.
Building on lessons learnt from
rescEU
implementation, the plan seeks to identify and
implement actions to ensure a comprehensive management of the stockpiling of medical
countermeasures. It encompasses detailed
processes for
identifying
essential
medical countermeasures,
determining
necessary quantities
and the potential
need for replenishment (section 1),
followed by
effective procurement
strategies, which also include the use of
joint procurement as a cost-effective tool
for strengthening national stockpiles
(section 2). The plan also outlines
elements to strengthen the
efficient
management
(section 3) of these stocks
to guarantee readiness and timely access
during emergencies as well as a
deployment
strategy (section 4), which
includes streamlined request processes, efficient transportation, and clear procedures for
receiving States.
The strategic plan feeds into the discussion on future funding, considering that there is no
further budget allocated to expand or maintain the established EU stockpiles under the current
multiannual financial framework (MFF). Building-up a strategic stockpile takes a
long-term
commitment
and requires sustainable funding to be prepared for future crises
5
. In this
respect, factoring stockpiling considerations in the EU budget programmes from the start,
may help reduce vulnerabilities and exposure to risks, reducing the cost of potential remedial
action.
5
As a reference, the US has invested between 2014 and 2024 on a yearly basis between $534 million and $995 million for
their strategic national stockpile of medical countermeasures, and additionally between $225 million and $830 million
annually for their Bioshield project, which also allows them to purchase countermeasures which are not yet on the
commercial market, but under development (The
Strategic National Stockpile: Overview and Issues for Congress |
Congress.gov | Library of Congress)
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1.
STRATEGIC STOCKPILE ASSESSMENT – DETERMINING THE NEEDS FOR
EU STOCKPILES OF MEDICAL COUNTERMEASURES
To ensure the availability and rapid deployment of relevant medical countermeasures
during health crises, it is essential to establish a coordinated EU-level system for the
identification and quantification of medical countermeasures to be stockpiled.
Until now, the items stockpiled in rescEU have been proposed by the Member States based on
a priority list established by the Commission. In the future, to ensure alignment with the
HERA threat assessment and facilitate effective planning, the Commission, in close
collaboration with Member States,
intends to propose items and quantities
for stockpiling
based on the methodology described below.
Indeed, Annex 1 of the
EU’s Medical Countermeasures Strategy identifies the pathogens
or agents
that have the potential to cause public health emergencies and require EU
interventions in the area of medical countermeasures. Beyond the likelihood of these threats
materialising and their potential impact on health, it assesses the adequacy of the current
medical countermeasures arsenal to respond to these threats, focusing on the availability of
vaccines and therapeutics.
Since 2020, the Commission
has worked with Member States
to identify priority items for
the rescEU stockpiles. A common and layered strategic approach to stockpiling was
presented
6
, to ensure adequate emergency reserves managed at sub-national, national, and
regional levels, complemented with EU level reserves. Different practices were exchanged
during workshops and training that took place over time. These inputs were compared with
international practice concerning the creation of strategic stockpiles for health crises.
Building upon that experience and the existing stocks, a
new approach
was developed
leading to the process and criteria outlined in the section below.
1.1. A methodology to identify the medical countermeasures for EU stockpiling
The Commission will develop
a methodology by 2025
to assess which threats and medical
countermeasures would be suitable for EU stockpiling as a relevant and cost-effective
intervention to enhance EU preparedness and response, while ensuring that the quality,
efficacy and safety standards meet the requirements of the EU regulatory framework.
The Commission will conduct an assessment that will result in a
compendium
of selected
medical countermeasures, using a set of predefined
criteria to identify and prioritise
those
to be stockpiled at EU level. The main criteria could be:
Potential impact:
this criterion assesses the likely impact of the medical
countermeasures on the response to serious cross-border health threats, if made
accessible rapidly. This criterion considers the characteristics, existing evidence of the
considered product (e.g. safety, efficacy, etc.) or the availability or absence of
potential alternative products. Where a product has received approval from a stringent
regulatory authority and is deemed essential for an effective response, the absence of
EU authorization alone should not prevent its consideration for stockpiling.
Time-Critical Effectiveness:
this criterion assesses whether the considered medical
countermeasures effectiveness will be conditioned to a quick deployment.
6
Register of Commission expert groups and other similar entities
-
Background paper for the HERA Board -common
strategic approach to stockpiling - final version
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Redundancy:
this criterion assesses whether other instruments or systems already
exist to ensure access to the considered medical countermeasures, such as national
stockpiles or other EU instruments then stockpiling, such as joint procurement.
Market failure/limitations:
this criterion assesses whether the existing (commercial)
market ensures access to the concerned medical countermeasures outside and during
emergencies, or whether public intervention is necessary.
Production capacity:
this criterion will identify products that have limited production
capacity or scalability, or other vulnerabilities in the supply chain that could lead to
unacceptable delays in time of crisis.
In cases where multiple medical countermeasures are available to address the same cross-
border health-threat or indication, the identification process could include additional criteria
such as:
EU strategic autonomy:
this criterion will assess whether the supply chain for the
considered medical countermeasures presents vulnerabilities, notably whether the EU
is highly dependent on supply chains outside the EU. The EU strategic autonomy in
crisis response is crucial even more so in the light of the current geopolitical tensions,
i.e. medical countermeasures with EU-controlled manufacturing capacities and supply
chain will be prioritised to strengthen strategic preparedness and reduce reliance on
third countries during global health emergencies.
Operational considerations:
medical countermeasures of similar quality, safety and
efficacy could be prioritised, for instance according to how they fit international
guidelines on national healthcare capabilities, national preparedness plans and
emergency response logistics. In addition, factors such as storage conditions, like
temperature control, special handling conditions and shelf-life could be considered.
For instance, among similar medical countermeasures with different shelf-life those
with longer shelf-life should be preferred, as they reduce the need for frequent stock
rotation and minimise waste.
The same methodology will be applied to inform strategic decisions about
re-procurement.
The approach should be tailored to the specificity of the medical countermeasure. While some
therapeutics may need to be restocked immediately, it may be different for others in case the
cross-border health threats situation has changed. For high impact - low probability threats,
the replenishing can increase production and ensure continuity of supply.
The Commission will propose to Member States a compendium of medical
countermeasures suitable for EU stockpiling, in Q3 2025.
Among the medical countermeasures identified for potential EU stockpiling, certain ones,
particularly those comprising antidotes against chemical agents, require administration as
soon as possible after exposure, and must be available close to the intervention site. In such
cases, there is the need for these medical countermeasures to be
available at local, regional
or national level.
Furthermore, medical kits can provide added value in scenarios such as
mass casualty events, where multiple medical countermeasures for wound management, burn
treatment or trauma care are simultaneously required.
However, under rescEU, the pre-positioning of stocks can only be requested in exceptional
situations of increased risk, as it was the case during the 2024 Olympic games in Paris or the
2023 Rugby World Cup. With the current geopolitical tensions, the
need for pre-positioning
certain medical countermeasures
might increase
to ensure immediate treatment.
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In the future, the Commission could propose the procurement and pre-positioning of
“EU
medical countermeasures kits”
in each Member State, including overseas departments, to
ensure rapid initial responses to serious health threats at both national and EU levels, in
accordance with the EU solidarity. These kits would contain a range of medical
countermeasures, which would be stored in a manner that allows for a swift deployment,
either as a complete kit or as individual components to meet the needs of a rapidly evolving
health crisis.
The Commission will conduct meetings as of 2025 with Member States to discuss the
relevance, the composition and location
of such kits
7
. This discussion is crucial, as the kits
will need to be useful for different national context. Additionally, the Commission will
explore with the receiving Member States if the management of the kits is feasible in terms of
labelling, transportation, regulatory considerations, security, and ensuring compatibility with
regional healthcare systems and infrastructures.
The Commission will explore different
possibilities to procure such kits.
The kits could be
centrally procured, after which the recipient Member States would determine where best to
store and manage them. Additionally, to improve national preparedness and complement the
EU stockpile, the pertinence of organising joint procurement for EU emergency kits will be
considered together with Member States, as national preparedness is in the first place a
national responsibility
The Commission, together with Member States will explore possibilities of the
composition, location, and procurement of EU medical countermeasures kits.
1.2.
Identification of potential stockpiling advance purchase commitments
Since threats and response capacities develop over time, the compendium needs to be
reviewed regularly, including when health threat specific plans are published or revised. The
Commission is building on its work of the
medical countermeasures preparedness
roadmaps
for specific health emergency scenarios
8
. These operational plans will identify
what steps are needed at EU-level to ensure availability of medical countermeasures for
priority threats and function as adaptable blueprints for crises. The first set of plans is
expected to be completed by 2026. Therefore, it should be assessed in 2026 if (future)
strategic stockpiling would be a suitable instrument for the pipeline candidates, considering
alternatives like capacity reservation contracts.
The Commission will establish a list of medical countermeasures candidates suitable for
advance purchase commitments in the EU strategic stocks, with consultation of the
European Medicines Agency (EMA), in 2026.
1.3. Quantification and information exchange
Upon establishment of the compendium of medical countermeasures suitable for potential EU
stockpiling, the Commission will use specific criteria to determine the
optimal quantities
for
stockpiling. In doing so, the Commission will engage closely with Member States, without
prejudging future budget decisions.
This includes the consideration for preparedness for armed conflict, as highlighted in section 5.2 of the EU’s Medical
Countermeasures Strategy
8
As highlighted in section 2.1 of the Medical Countermeasures Strategy
7
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The
quantification of medical countermeasures
will be on priority scenarios such as
pandemics, industrial/laboratory accidents, transportation incidents, climate-related events,
food/water contamination, intentional events, terrorist threats, state-sponsored events or
hybrid attacks, and conflicts. It will consider the existing national, EU and global
preparedness plans or other strategies that Member States aim to implement in response to
these scenarios.
Where necessary, modelling capacities will be mobilised to determine the quantity of medical
countermeasures that could significantly decrease the health burden in such scenario, if
stockpiled at EU level. In addition, the estimation of quantities will consider:
The type of threat (i.e. spread likelihood, severity, duration),
The estimation of affected population including vulnerable population (i.e. elderly,
children, pregnant women, etc.)
The use of medical countermeasures (e.g. dosage, duration of treatment).
To be able to determine the appropriate quantities for an EU-level reserve, a critical element
is the
collaboration with Member States and the exchange of classified information
on
national needs and capabilities. When defining quantities, it is important to consider in the
exchange of information with Member States their contingency stockpiling obligations.
To overcome these challenges and make informed decisions, the Commission facilitates
discussions, with Member States in a classified format. IT tools supporting this exchange will
be enhanced, which will also support forward planning for stockpiles.
The Commission will present in a classified format draft quantification for EU
stockpiling of medical countermeasures to Member States for their input, in Q1 2026.
To further strengthen the information exchange, the Commission will need to tackle several
challenges, including
sensitivity of information
and the lack of
comprehensive data-
sharing mechanisms.
Member States are cautious about sharing sensitive data due to security
concerns, while private companies hesitate to disclose inventory levels or supply-chain data
for competitive reasons. Additionally, the disparity in preparedness among Member States
might create fragmentation, making it difficult to establish a stockpiling at EU level.
The Regulation on serious cross border threats to health
9
requires Member States to report on
the capacity that Member States have in place to be ready for a public health emergency,
including arrangements aimed at ensuring the continuous delivery of critical services and
products, such as stockpiles of medical products. The Commission could consider options to
strengthen reporting requirements.
2.
PROCURING FOR THE FUTURE: A FLEXIBLE AND RESILIENT APPROACH
TO THE ESTABLISHMENT OF STOCKPILING
EU preparedness and response to health emergencies can also be enhanced by refining
procurement strategies for medical countermeasures stockpiles, prioritising centralised
purchases, stockpiling of unfinished products, non-EU authorised and investigational
medicinal products to ensure flexibility, resilience, and strategic autonomy.
Budget implementation methods directly influence the effectiveness, efficiency, and
sustainability of the stockpiling of medical countermeasures, making it a critical component in
9
Regulation (EU) 2022/2371 of 22 December 2022 on serious cross-border threats to health.
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preparedness and response strategies. Looking ahead, the Commission is committed to
refining and advancing the procurement strategies
for EU medical countermeasures
stockpiles to maximize their impact.
2.1. Stronger coordinating role for the Commission
Thus far, the Commission has established EU medical countermeasures stockpiles through
grants,
where the Member States become grant holders and are responsible for the purchase,
management and deployment of the stocks as owner of the stocks. The
advantage of using
this forms of grants
is that they enable a comprehensive arrangement whereby all aspects of
the process, from purchase to deployment, are managed under a single agreement
At the same time, with several grants holders in charge of the purchase, there is the risk that
different buyers reach out to the same company,
causing a surge in demand
that the
company may struggle to meet, resulting in
delayed deliveries, higher prices, or stockouts.
By better coordinating medical countermeasures purchase plans and providing visibility into
demand, the stockpiles holders can optimize the purchase of medical countermeasures, reduce
inefficiencies, and ensure a more reliable supply chain.
The Commission will take a stronger coordinating role in future stockpiling
procurements, which will be based on the compendium.
2.2. Procurement of unfinished products
Stockpiling unfinished products would ensure that the stockpiled medicines are suitable for
long-term storage and customised
to the specific emergency use. It would provide for a
more flexible response as more final products can be manufactured when required.
Additionally, if all the processes within the supply chain take place in the EU, it could
strengthen the EU’s resilience and strategic autonomy. For a production capacity to ramp up it
is essential to have advanced pharmaceutical ingredients, excipients, packaging and
manufacturing facilities.
Exploring different options along the different production stages may help also to extend
shelf-life as certain “pre”-products are often more stable compared to the finalised product.
Examples of different unfinished products include:
Stockpiling of raw materials, excipients, active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs)
and their intermediates,
suitable if the emergency lasts for a longer period.
Stockpiling in bulk,
for instance for vaccines, with vials quickly filled once there is a
need. 
Lyophilisation,
i.e., freeze-drying of a product, often suitable for vaccines.
However, the management of these stockpiles
requires specific arrangements
such as
transport, manufacturing capacities, access to additional ingredients, etc. It is therefore
important to establish the intended use of such stockpiles of ingredients.
Currently, is not possible to stockpile unfinished products under rescEU, given the need for
swift deployment.
An innovative approach to stockpiling is emerging, one that
combines the long-term storage
of
APIs with flexible, continuous manufacturing processes to produce finished dose forms.
This new concept has the potential to transform the EU's stockpiling system, making it more
cost-effective, less wasteful, and more responsive to health emergencies.
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By storing APIs under optimal conditions, it is possible to maintain their physical and
chemical stability for up to 20 years, depending on the ingredient. When paired with a
compact, modular, and flexible continuous manufacturing platform, this approach enables the
rapid production of medical countermeasures
in response to emerging health threats. This
decentralised network can be established across EU, providing a resilient and adaptable
manufacturing capacity that can be quickly scaled up or down as needed. The benefits of this
approach are numerous such as cost savings, increased flexibility, improved sustainability and
enhanced resilience.
This action could be aligned with:
EU FAB to provide EU with a manufacturing capacity reservation beyond vaccines
and provide the infrastructure with an activation system under the Emergency
Framework Regulation.
Civil-military interactions to provide an infrastructure able to respond to a range of
threats.
The Commission, in collaboration with Member States, will conduct a pilot study on the
benefits and added value of stockpiling unfinished products at EU level in 2026.
2.3. Procurement of non-EU authorised and investigational medicinal products
The current rescEU legislation does not address the stockpiling of
investigational medicinal
products
10
and of medical countermeasures that
lack marketing authorisation
or a
recommendation for compassionate or emergency use from EMA or a Member State
11
.
In the absence of such stocks, there is a risk that the relevant products will not be available
when a public health crisis emerges, or in case of high-risk events relating to chemical,
biological, radiological and nuclear threats.
Despite the potential strategic value of such medical countermeasures, the lack of
authorisation in the EU may stem from factors such as
a limited or unpredictable market,
high production costs, or burdensome post-marketing obligations.
This also prevents the quick deployment of non-authorised products that are often under
clinical investigation, to outbreaks, where they could also facilitate clinical trials and
ultimately support the future authorisation of much-needed medical countermeasures, such as
those for haemorrhagic fevers.
Although from a health security and reputational point of view, it is strongly recommended to
stockpile medicines authorised in the EU (and therefore it is important to incentivise
developers to obtain marketing authorisation for the countermeasures before they are
stockpiled), for some health threats this may not be possible.
To address this gap, the Commission has proposed in the revision of the pharmaceutical
legislation new tools, like the temporary emergency marketing authorisation to further
faciliate authorisation of medical countermeasures in the EU, and
will facilitate the
implementation of flexibilities stemming from the current and future legislations..
For investigational products, the Commission will also consider how it could be possible to
secure stocks of medical countermeasures that present a strategic interest as regards emerging
threats, through
funding for their research and development.
10
11
A pharmaceutical form of an active ingredient being tested or used as a reference in a clinical trial
Annex vi of https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX%3A32020D0414
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The Commission, in collaboration with the Member States and the European Medicines
Agency, will assess how purchase of unauthorised or investigational medicinal products
can be further faciliated.
3.
BUILDING RESILIENCE THROUGH SUSTAINABLE AND PROACTIVE
STOCKPILE MANAGEMENT
Enhancing EU emergency preparedness and response can be further achieved by
establishing a centralised, sustainable, and cost-effective management framework for
medical countermeasure stockpiles, which integrates IT tools for real-time tracking,
implements shelf-life extension programmes, and fosters collaboration among
stakeholders to ensure operational efficiency and proactive crisis readiness.
Good stockpile management
strengthens the sustainability and cost-effectiveness
of the
stockpiled items. A common set of principles and clear governance for the management of
medical countermeasures stockpiles across the EU should be established to ensure consistency
and increase the efficiency, safety and security of the stocks.
Indeed, stocks of medical countermeasures must be operated and managed under strict
regulatory controls,
necessitating a high level of oversight to ensure full compliance with
pharmaceutical legislation and good management practices. Additionally, attention must be
paid to the specific management of the stocks, such as the management of the shelf-life, the
special storage conditions, the interoperability of the items, the labelling, the packaging, the
rotation and the waste management, without forgetting the management of the security of the
stocks. This makes the medical countermeasures stock management a
different expertise
from non-medical stockpiles.
The current management of the stockpiles, with different grant holders acting independently,
results in different approaches which may affect both the composition, the management and
the deployment of the stocks. For instance, while the grant holders are fully responsible for
the warehouses, they have different approaches as regards the management of the stockpiles,
with different stakeholders involved, such as public/private partnerships, partnerships with
different national authorities and agencies, partnerships with military, civil protection and
other actors.
3.1. Exchange of information
To manage the rescEU stockpiles, the Commission needs a comprehensive overview of all
items, at every stage of the process. This encompasses items that are yet to be procured as
well as those currently in the procurement process. The overview of all the items should be
kept in a secure database. This starts with
effective IT tools
for stockpile management. They
are crucial for ensuring accuracy and real-time tracking of the stocks to avoid waste and
overstocking. Access to precise data and analytics improves decision-making especially in
time of deployment. Overall, IT tools for stockpile management are essential for maintaining
operational efficiency, reducing costs, and enhancing the ability to the demand effectively.
The stockpile manager should ensure interoperability with the Common Emergency
Communication and Information System
12
(CECIS 2.0), which integrates stocks, shelf-life,
early flagging of end of shelf-life and procurement planning to ensure a centralised vision of
the stock developments. This allows stockholders to move from reactive to proactive stock
management.
12
CECIS is web-based alert and notification application enabling a real-time exchange of information.
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Exchange of information and best practices amongst the stockpiles managers is also essential.
The Commission intends to facilitate a network of warehouses to share experiences,
guidelines, the use of IT-tools for management, and to train on specific good management
practices, such as sustainability tools, deployment, and use the network to create synergies
and improvements where desirable.
The Commission will facilitate a continuous exchange with the network of grant holders
of stockpiles on best practices, organise trainings, and create synergies.
3.2. Shelf-life extension programme
Because a stockpile functions much like an insurance policy—you invest in it for protection,
hoping you will never need to use it—some
items will inevitably expire and require
disposal.
This is an expected part of stockpile management, and the associated costs must be
factored into planning.
For those medical countermeasures that cannot be used outside of an emergency, such as
antidotes and certain vaccines, the Commission will work together with the Member States
and the European Medicines Agency, to pilot a
shelf-life extension
programme of medical
countermeasures which are currently in the rescEU stockpiles, and which are reaching the end
of their shelf-life. Shelf-life extension of selected medical countermeasures is a strategic
measure to enhance sustainability, reduce waste, and optimize stockpile management, while
also ensuring that the medical countermeasures still meet the regulatory standards. With
structured shelf-life extension programme, medical countermeasures could remain usable
beyond their initial expiration date, provided they undergo rigorous scientific testing and
regulatory oversight. This initiative, conducted in non-crisis periods, ensures that cost-
effective stockpiling practices support continuous emergency preparedness. The Commission
has already started such a collaboration for the current rescEU grants.
The Commission, European Medicines Agency (EMA) and grant holders have started to
implement a pilot on shelf-life extension programme for certain medical
countermeasures, with full roll-out in Q3 2026.
3.3. Other sustainable approaches to stockpiles management
Given the unique requirements of medical countermeasures, including shelf-life and storage
conditions, sustainability is a crucial aspect. When a medical countermeasure approaches one
year from expiry and its shelf life cannot be extended,
different sustainability approaches
must be considered by the stockpile manager.
The most sustainable way would be
stock rotation
– meaning when the end of shelf-life
approaches of a regularly used product it is replenished via normal supply chain, with
products with a longer shelf-life. This sustainability tool is possible in the current practice,
and procedures are predefined and pre-agreed in the grants preventing waste and maintaining
stock freshness. Implementation of this tool depends on legal elements such as national
marketing authorisation for the specific stocked formulation, and how the national
procurement of the specific good is arranged. Furthermore, it also depends on the size of the
EU stockpile, this might be larger than annual national usage of the routine product. As a
result, it is crucial to consider sustainability not only in stock management, but also
throughout all aspects of the process, including procurement.
For routine products with a short shelf-life, or personal protective equipment that is both
bulky to store and dispose of, a viable option is to procure these medical countermeasures
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through contracts with a specific manufacturer and have them stored by the manufacturer at
the manufacturer's premises. This arrangement, known as
Vendor Managed Inventory
is a
strategic reserve of a predefined quantity of selected medical countermeasures. Vendor
Managed Inventory can achieve several key objectives:
Guaranteed rapid access and availability of specific medical countermeasures when
required, 24/7 access.
The product is stored at the manufacturers warehouse in full compliance with
regulatory requirements and rotated through the manufacturer's normal sales /
distribution processes, hence the product never goes out of date and no need to
replace.
No replacement costs and no destruction costs.
It simplifies rotation for the routine products which serve as a safety net.
However, the manufacturer would have to have premises in the EU, and there are limited
manufacturers able to facilitate warehouse capacities. Within the grant agreements there is the
possibility for the grant holder to set-up a Vendor Managed Inventory, as long as the grant
holder remains the owner of the product.
If national rotation is not possible, asking consent for a
donation
(without an activation of the
Union Civil Protection Mechanism) is a possibility under Article 36 of the Union Civil
Protection Mechanism Implementing Decision
13
. In such a case, the logistics costs remain a
factor to be determined.
Ensuring the
security
of the stocks at their location and during transport is another crucial
element. When designing their stocks, stockpile managers will have to consider issues such as
access control, surveillance and monitoring, inventory management, physical security
measures, cybersecurity, fire and safety protocols, scenario planning and emergency response
planning.
4.
STOCKPILING FOR SUCCESS: ENSURING TIMELY DEPLOYMENT AND EU
MINIMUM BUFFER FOR MEDICAL COUNTERMEASURES
Finally, effective response can only be achieved by ensuring timely deployment of the
medical countermeasures via resilient logistics services and compliance with the
regulatory requirements and by securing minimum buffer stocks at EU level.
4.1. Deployment tools
Timely and safe deployment
is a critical objective for effective emergency response and
patient care.
For the deployment of rescEU medical countermeasures stocks, the Union Civil Protection
Mechanism needs to be activated. This ensures that EU resources are utilized efficiently, and
only when necessary, complementing national capabilities. Upon receiving a request for
assistance, the Commission’s European Response Coordination Centre (ERCC) assesses
whether existing capacities offered by Member States are sufficient to ensure an effective
response to that request. Where an effective response cannot be ensured, the Commission
through the ERCC decides on the deployment of rescEU capacities
14
in accordance with the
13
Commission Implementing Decision 2025/704 of 10 April 2025 laying down rules for the implementation of Decision N°1213/2013/EU of
the European Parliament and of the Council on the Union Civil Protection Mechanism
14
In accordance with the procedure laid down in Article 12(6) of Decision No 1313/2013/EU
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criteria laid down in Commission Implementing Decision (EU) 2025/704, such as the
operational situation across Member States and potential disaster risks, as well as additional
criteria in the event of conflicting requests for assistance, such as
allocation keys based on
different scenarios.
Based on the lessons from previous deployments, the Commission will
analyse the pertinence of the current deployment criteria.
To support the deployment of medical countermeasures stocks, it is essential to ensure a
resilient distribution scheme with
expedited logistics providers
through multimodal
distribution capabilities (road, air, sea, and rail), including temperature control. This includes
overseas regions and the EU’s outermost regions. Several options exist for the optimal
deployment of stocks such as the rescEU or reliefEU capacities, or through agreement with
the company supplying the medical countermeasures. It also requires the development of
deployment, distribution, and dispensing plans at national level. The plans should be
developed, exercised and reviewed, to ensure their effectiveness during serious cross-border
outbreaks or high-impact events.
The deployment of medical countermeasures across Europe is subject to
several regulatory
requirements
aimed at ensuring safety, efficacy, and quality. Navigating these regulatory
requirements necessitates careful planning and coordination among manufacturers, regulatory
bodies, and health authorities to ensure the timely and efficient deployment of medical
countermeasures while adhering to legal requirements. In addition, the donation of the EU
stockpiles to beneficiary countries involves additional challenges such as regulatory
compliance, customs regulations, liability issues, traceability, etc. which have to be agreed
between the stakeholders to ensure regulatory compliance and effectiveness of the donations.
To address these challenges, in 2025 the Commission will build on existing tools and
resources, such as template contracts outlining considerations for donations. These challenges
also apply for the donations of national stockpiles, therefore the Commission played a strong
coordination role in the donation of mpox vaccines, to support the EU’s solidarity in times of
global health threats. The lessons learned from this valuable experience will be included in the
tools.
The Commission will also continue to support Member States to integrate medical
countermeasures deployment into comprehensive emergency response trainings.
The Commission together with Member States will build on existing
deployment tools
in
the second half of 2026, including on the experience from the mpox donations.
4.2.
EU minimum buffer
The Union Civil Protection Mechanism has a broad reach, and covers the 27 EU Member
States, and ten participating states (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Iceland, Moldova,
Montenegro, North-Macedonia, Norway, Serbia, Türkiye, and Ukraine). The rescEU stocks
can be requested in times of crisis, including for humanitarian aid reasons, which may mean
stocks are deployed beyond these countries.
Medical countermeasures are often much
more costly than non-medical goods
and the lead-
time for restocking a medical product can be much longer than for a non-medical product.
This makes
replenishment
of medical countermeasures under rescEU more challenging, and
the problem is exacerbated by the limitations of the current funding streams for
replenishment. Having medical countermeasures available for deployment at any time, is only
feasible when there is stock maintained in the warehouses to use for pandemic preparedness
and response as well as CBRN threats within the EU. The
possibility of replenishment
after
deployment will be explored in the preparation for the next multi-annual financial framework.
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To be able to find a balance between the optimal use of EU stockpiles and the level of EU
preparedness, safety margins are envisaged to be established in the form of an
EU minimum
buffer under future procurements.
This buffer is envisaged to ensure that a part of the
stockpiles remains available at EU level in case of an emergency. The optimal use of EU
stockpiles in this context cannot be seen in isolation from national stockpiles, their availability
and use and is dependent on strengthened secured information exchange and transparency on
national stocks, including in real-time.
The Commission will explore possible options to always maintain sufficient stocks at EU
level and establish safety margins.
19